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L3 Autonomous Driving Approval: Automakers' Tech Route and Regulatory Balance Strategies

#autonomous_driving #l3_approval #regulatory_compliance #automaker_strategies #tech_routes #self_driving_cars #industry_analysis
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December 28, 2025

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Let me provide you with an in-depth analysis of the key strategic issue of how automakers balance technical routes and regulatory requirements after the implementation of L3 autonomous driving access approval.

I. Essential Differences Between Two Technical Routes
1. Technical Logic of the “Skip L3 and Go Straight to L4” Camp

Views from Horizon’s Su Qing and Xpeng’s He Xiaopeng
represent the thinking of the tech radical camp:

  • Technical Feasibility
    : L3 systems require human-machine co-driving handover, which has the problem of ambiguous responsibility boundaries, while L4 can completely avoid this issue through scenario limitation
  • Cost Efficiency
    : Dual-line parallel investment is huge; concentrating resources to break through L4 has more strategic value
  • Market Positioning
    : L4 has clear commercialization scenarios (Robotaxi, unmanned delivery, etc.), while L3 faces challenges in user expectation management

Tesla’s Practical Verification
: From the rollout of FSD V14.2 in North America and Austin Robotaxi tests [1], the pure vision solution + end-to-end neural network is accelerating towards L4 evolution. Tesla was even required by the California DMV to stop using related promotions due to its marketing of the “autonomous driving” term [2], reflecting regulatory vigilance against “full autonomous driving.”

2. Practical Considerations of the “Stick to L3” Camp

Views from traditional automakers like BAIC Research Institute
are based on regulatory reality:

  • Legal Watershed
    : L3 is a key node for responsibility division—drivers are responsible for L3 and below, while automakers are responsible for L4 and above. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) issuing L3 access approval and the special license plate “Beijing AA0001Z” marks the official opening of this responsibility watershed by the regulatory system
  • Data Accumulation
    : L3 provides large-scale real road data, laying the foundation for L4 algorithm training
  • Technical Ladder
    : The gradual path from L2→L2+→L2.9→L3 conforms to the law of engineering iteration
II. Rigid Constraints of Regulatory Requirements
1. Specificity of China’s Regulatory Framework

China’s L3 access approval implementation reflects the regulatory philosophy of

“Examination Before Use”
:

  • Product Access
    : MIIT conducts L3 function certification for vehicle models (e.g., Changan Deepal SL03, BAIC Arcfox Alpha S)
  • License Plate Management
    : The special license plate “Beijing AA0001Z” facilitates identification and tracking by regulatory authorities
  • Liability Insurance
    : Corresponding insurance products need to be matched to cover liability risks in L3 scenarios
2. International Regulatory Comparison
  • U.S. California Model
    : Requires Tesla to stop using the “self-driving” term [2], showing strict control over marketing promotions
  • European Model
    : Emphasizes the strict technical requirements of UN-R157 regulations for ALKS (Automated Lane Keeping System)
  • China Model
    focuses more on a trinity management system of “access approval + special license plate + liability insurance”
III. Balance Strategy Framework for Automakers
Strategy 1:
Dual-Track Parallel, Scenario Segmentation
Technology Roadmap:
Passenger Car Market: L2+ → L2.9 (Conditional L3) → Scenario-Limited L4
Commercial Operation: L4 Robotaxi/Unmanned Delivery (Area-Limited)

Applicable Automakers
: Leading enterprises with strong R&D capabilities

  • Xpeng
    : While advancing L4 Robotaxi, it can first meet user needs through L2+ products to avoid regulatory risks
  • Tesla
    : Advance L4 Robotaxi in North America; in China, it can adapt to L3 access requirements as a transition
Strategy 2:
“Nominal L3, Substantial L2+”

Technical Strategy
: Hardware pre-installs L4 capabilities; software is gradually unlocked via OTA

  • Current
    : Launch under the name of L2.9 (e.g., Tesla FSD, Xpeng XNGP)
  • Regulatory Compliance
    : Apply for L3 access approval, but clarify user responsibility boundaries
  • Future Evolution
    : After regulations mature, upgrade to real L4 via OTA

Advantages
: Avoid responsibility traps while reserving technical space for the future

Strategy 3:
Market-Specific Differentiated Routes
China Market: Strictly adhere to L3 access framework, accumulate data, improve regulatory system
Europe & US Markets: Directly advance L4 commercialization (e.g., Waymo model)

Applicable Automakers
: Multinational enterprises with global layout (e.g., Tesla, Xpeng Internationalization)

IV. Key Challenges of Industrial Ecosystem Transformation
1. Reconstruction of Responsibility and Insurance System

The core contradiction of L3 is the “responsibility vacuum period”:

  • Takeover Scenario
    : L3 requires drivers to take over when requested by the system, but how to define collision responsibility before takeover?
  • Solution
    : Automakers need to cooperate with insurance companies to develop “L3 exclusive insurance”, learn from Tesla Robotaxi’s business model of charging $150 cleaning fee [3], and establish supporting service systems
2. Data and Privacy Regulation

L3 operation generates massive driving data:

  • Data Localization
    : Must comply with China’s “Data Security Law” requirements; data stored domestically
  • Privacy Protection
    : In-car sensors such as cameras and microphones must comply with personal information protection norms
3. Road Infrastructure Collaboration
  • V2X Construction
    : L3/L4 require vehicle-road collaboration; China is accelerating the advancement of intelligent road infrastructure
  • Geofencing
    : Initial L3/L4 may be limited to specific cities or roads (e.g., Beijing Yizhuang, Shanghai Jiading)
V. Strategic Recommendations and Path Selection
For Radicals (Horizon, Xpeng):
  1. Short-Term Strategy
    : Accumulate users and data through L2.9 products to avoid L3 responsibility traps
  2. Mid-Term Layout
    : Advance L4 commercialization in limited scenarios (e.g., parking lots, highways)
  3. Long-Term Goal
    : After the regulatory framework matures, fully switch to L4
For Conservatives (BAIC, Changan):
  1. Leverage First-Mover Advantage
    : As the first batch of automakers to obtain L3 access, establish technical and data barriers
  2. Improve Supporting Services
    : Cooperate with insurance companies and government departments to build an L3 ecosystem
  3. Technical Reserve
    : Develop L4 technology in parallel to prepare for future switching
For Regulatory Authorities:
  1. Dynamically Adjust Access Standards
    : Update L3/L4 certification requirements in a timely manner according to technological evolution
  2. Pilot Sandbox
    : Establish L4 test zones in specific areas (e.g., Beijing, Shanghai)
  3. Liability Insurance Innovation
    : Promote the insurance industry to develop exclusive products for autonomous driving
VI. Future Outlook

2025-2027 (Transition Period)
:

  • L3 models will be gradually mass-produced, mainly limited to highway scenarios
  • L4 Robotaxi will be piloted in limited areas (e.g., Tesla Austin, Waymo Phoenix)
  • Regulatory framework will be gradually improved, and responsibility boundaries will be clarified

2028-2030 (Maturity Period)
:

  • Technology matures and costs decrease; L4 begins large-scale commercialization in specific scenarios
  • L3 gradually evolves to L4, and responsibility is fully transferred to automakers
  • Industrial ecosystem is reconstructed; cars transform from transportation tools to mobile service terminals
Conclusion

Automakers should not simply choose to “skip L3” or “stick to L3”; instead, they should adopt the

“dual-track system” strategy
:

  • Technical Aspect
    : Hardware pre-installs L4 capabilities; software is gradually unlocked
  • Market Aspect
    : Passenger cars take the L2.9→L3 route; commercial operations take the L4 route
  • Regulatory Aspect
    : Actively cooperate with the L3 access framework, participate in standard setting, and pave the way for L4

Key Insight
: The real value of L3 is not in the technology itself, but in that it is a
training ground for industrial ecosystem transformation such as regulation, insurance, and infrastructure
. Automakers need to break out of the pure technical perspective and plan autonomous driving strategies from the height of industrial ecosystem reconstruction.

References

[1] Tesla Ramps Up Robotaxi Push Amid 2025 Deadline and Delays - WebProNews (https://www.webpronews.com/tesla-ramps-up-robotaxi-push-amid-2025-deadline-and-delays/)
[2] California Demands Tesla Stop Calling Its Cars ‘Self-Driving’ - SlashGear (https://www.slashgear.com/2059436/tesla-california-full-self-driving-false-marketing/)
[3] Tesla Will Charge You $150 If You Puke In A Robotaxi - InsideEVs (https://insideevs.com/news/782837/tesla-cybercab-150-cleaning-fee/)

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