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Nike (NKE) Days Inventory Change and Inventory Pressure Analysis

#inventory_management #nike #retail #earnings_analysis #market_analysis #consumer_discretionary #apparel_industry
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December 29, 2025

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Nike (NKE) Days Inventory Change and Inventory Pressure Analysis

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Nike (NKE) Days Inventory Change and Inventory Pressure Analysis
1. Key Data Overview
Indicator Value YoY Change
Current Stock Price $60.93 +1.55%
Days Inventory (August 2025)
105.04 days
↓ 8.6 days
Days Inventory (August 2024) 113.64 days -
FY2025 Inventory $7.489 billion Flat
52-Week Stock Price Range $52.28 - $82.44 -

2. Days Inventory Analysis

Positive Signal: Inventory Turnover Efficiency Continues to Improve

According to GuruFocus data, Nike’s days inventory decreased from

113.64 days in August 2024 to 105.04 days in August 2025
, a drop of approximately
7.6%
[1]. This trend indicates:

  1. Improved Inventory Management Capability
    : A decrease in days inventory means Nike is managing its inventory more effectively, shortening the cycle from goods warehousing to sale
  2. Industry Comparative Advantage
    : The 105.04-day turnover is better than the industry average of 126.01 days, and Nike ranks in the top 40% of the Manufacturing - Apparel and Accessories industry [1]

3. Inventory Level Trend
Time Point Inventory Amount (in millions of USD) Trend
May 2022 $9,326 Peak Period
May 2023 $8,454 ↓ 9.4%
May 2024 $7,519 ↓ 11.1%
May 2025 $7,489 ↓ 0.4%

Key Findings
:

  • Nike’s inventory has decreased from the
    FY2023 peak of $8.454 billion to $7.489 billion in FY2025
    , a drop of
    11.4%
    [2][3]
  • FY2025 inventory is roughly flat with FY2024 (only a slight drop of 0.4%), indicating that inventory clearance has entered a stable phase [3]

4. Quarterly Inventory Fluctuation Analysis

Latest quarterly data shows seasonal fluctuations in inventory:

  • August 31, 2025
    : $8.114 billion (seasonal stocking)
  • May 31, 2025
    : $7.489 billion (end of fiscal year)
  • February 28, 2025
    : $7.539 billion

Inter-quarterly fluctuations are within the normal range, and the August peak conforms to the autumn stocking pattern of the apparel industry.


5. Inventory Pressure Assessment
Assessment Dimension Status Explanation
Inventory Turnover Efficiency ✅ Improved Days inventory decreased by 7.6%, outperforming industry average
Absolute Inventory Value ✅ Decreased Down 11.4% from FY2023 peak
Inventory-to-Revenue Ratio ⚠️ Attention Needed FY2025 revenue $46.3 billion, inventory-to-revenue ratio about 16.2% (FY2022: 18%)
Cash Flow Impact ⚠️ Under Pressure FY2025 cash and cash equivalents dropped to $7.464 billion (YoY -24%) [3]

Conclusion
: Nike’s inventory pressure has significantly eased compared to the
FY2022-FY2023 peak period
, but attention is still needed on:

  1. Potential pressure from revenue decline (FY2025 revenue down 9.6% YoY) on inventory turnover [3]
  2. Challenges in the Greater China market may affect overall inventory efficiency

6. Investment Implications
  • Positive Factors
    : Significant results in inventory clearance, improved turnover efficiency
  • Risk Factors
    : Revenue decline, stock price down 26% from peak, reduced cash flow
  • Valuation Level
    : Current P/E ratio of 35.63x, slightly higher than historical average

References

[1] GuruFocus - Nike (NKE) Days Inventory (https://www.gurufocus.com/term/days-inventory/NKE)

[2] Macrotrends - NIKE Inventory 2012-2025 (https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/NKE/nike/inventory)

[3] NIKE, Inc. Reports Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results (https://investors.nike.com/investors/news-events-and-reports/investor-news/investor-news-details/2025/NIKE-Inc--Reports-Fiscal-2025-Fourth-Quarter-and-Full-Year-Results/default.aspx)


Nike Days Inventory and Inventory Pressure Analysis

Chart Description: The chart above shows Nike’s inventory change trend from FY2019 to FY2025, quarterly inventory trend, comparison of days inventory, and correlation analysis between revenue and inventory.

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.