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Analysis of AIKO Solar's Silver-Free Metal Coating Technology in Responding to Silver Price Hike Stress Tests

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December 31, 2025

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Analysis of AIKO Solar's Silver-Free Metal Coating Technology in Responding to Silver Price Hike Stress Tests

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Analysis of AIKO Solar’s Silver-Free Metal Coating Technology in Responding to Extreme Silver Price Increase Stress Tests
I. Core Conclusions

AIKO Solar’s silver-free metal coating technology can fully and effectively respond to the extreme stress test of silver prices rising to 18,000 yuan/kg, and this technology has become the company’s core competitive advantage against the backdrop of the current silver price surge.
[1][2]


II. Technology Overview and Progress
2.1 Principle of Silver-Free Metal Coating Technology

AIKO Solar’s silver-free metallization technology uses an

electroplated copper process
, depositing copper, nickel, and tin through electrochemical and chemical methods to achieve higher cell conversion efficiency at a lower cost. This technology completely abandons the traditional silver paste screen printing process, fundamentally solving the photovoltaic industry’s dependence on silver. [3]

2.2 Technology Development History
Time Node Milestone Event
2016 The company identified N-type ABC cells as the main direction for mass production development, and made the strategic judgment that “BC technology must be deeply bound to silver-free solutions” [4]
2021 Foshan silver-free ABC cell pilot line put into production, becoming the first enterprise in the industry to apply silver-free technology to BC cell mass production [4]
Second half of 2022 Zhuhai base’s 6.5GW silver-free ABC cell capacity officially put into production, marking the technology’s entry into large-scale mass production stage [4]
2023 ABC modules won the Intersolar AWARD Innovation Award with silver-free technology, and formed 10GW module capacity in the same year [4]
2025 Jinan base’s 10GW is also planned to fully adopt silver-free technology [1]
2.3 Technology Advantages

(1) Significant Cost Advantage

  • In the metallization process, compared with silver paste screen printing, it can save
    0.03-0.05 yuan per watt
    in cost [1]
  • Completely avoids cost pressure from silver paste price increases

(2) Efficiency Increases Instead of Decreasing

  • In the electroplated copper solution, the material purity is higher, laying the foundation for lower resistance and current loss
  • Conversion efficiency increases instead of decreasing; the mass production delivery conversion efficiency of ABC modules reaches
    24.2%
    [3]

(3) Higher Reliability

  • Silver paste is a sintered mixture of silver powder and glass powder, with a loose structure and relatively easier to break
  • The copper grid lines of electroplated copper are pure metal, with better ductility and less likely to break when subjected to external impact [1]
  • Alloy protective layer + advanced oxygen barrier film technology ensures stability within a 25-year life cycle [4]

III. Silver Price Stress Test Analysis
3.1 Current Silver Market Situation

As of December 22, 2025, spot silver prices once broke through the

69 USD/oz
mark, setting a new historical high, and have risen by about
138%
since the beginning of 2025. The main contract of Shanghai Silver Futures broke through the
16,200 yuan/kg
mark [1].

3.2 Cost Calculation Under Extreme Scenarios
Indicator Current Price Extreme Scenario (18,000 yuan/kg) Change Range
Silver Price (yuan/kg) 16,200 18,000 +11.1%
TOPCon Front Silver Cost (yuan/W) 0.162 0.180 +11.1%
TOPCon Back Silver Cost (yuan/W) 0.049 0.054 +11.1%
TOPCon Total Silver Consumption Cost (yuan/W) 0.211 0.234 +11.1%
Cost Increase per Watt (yuan/W) -
0.0234
-

Note: Calculation is based on the industry average silver consumption of 10-13mg/W for TOPCon cells [0]

3.3 Cost Impact Comparison of Mainstream Technology Routes

(1) Traditional TOPCon Technology

  • Silver paste accounts for
    35%-40%
    of the non-silicon cost of N-type cells [2]
  • Silver paste prices have risen from an average of over 4,000 yuan/kg last year to over 7,000 yuan/kg now, an increase of more than
    40%
    [2]
  • Industry forecast: If silver prices rise to 10,000 yuan/kg, the paste cost of TOPCon modules will reach
    0.1-0.13 yuan/W
    [2]

(2) Silver-Coated Copper Technology (DK Science & Technology, JinkoSolar)

  • The silver content of mainstream low-temperature silver-coated copper paste has been reduced to
    30%-40%
    [1]
  • DK Science & Technology’s ultra-low silver content silver-coated copper paste (≤20%) has been put into mass production application [1]
  • Can reduce silver consumption by more than 50%, but cannot completely get rid of silver dependence

(3) AIKO Silver-Free Technology (Electroplated Copper)

  • Completely zero silver use
    , fundamentally avoiding silver price fluctuation risks
  • During silver price rise cycles, cost advantages continue to expand

IV. Evaluation of AIKO Solar’s Response Capability
4.1 Capacity Layout
Base Capacity Status Technology Route
Zhuhai 10GW Mass-produced Silver-free electroplated copper process
Jinan 10GW Planned Fully adopt silver-free
Total
20GW
- -

Note: Currently, only AIKO Solar has realized large-scale mass production of silver-free technology in the industry [1][4]

4.2 Financial Impact

From the company’s 2025 Q3 report data [0]:

  • Operating Revenue: 3.15 billion yuan (2025 Q3)
  • Although overall still in a loss state,
    it achieved a single-quarter profit turnaround in Q2 2025
  • Electroplated copper technology, as a core competitiveness, is one of the important pillars for its differentiated development path [4]
4.3 Competitive Advantage Analysis

Facing the extreme scenario of silver prices rising to 18,000 yuan/kg:

Dimension Traditional TOPCon Silver-Coated Copper Technology AIKO ABC Silver-Free
Silver Consumption Sensitivity High Medium
Zero
Cost Increase +11.1% +5-6%
0%
Cost Reduction Potential Limited Limited
Continuously Expanding
Technology Barrier Low Medium
High
Mass Production Capability Mature Gradually Mass-Produced
Leading Mass Production

V. Industry Impact and Outlook
5.1 Changes in Photovoltaic Silver Supply and Demand Pattern

According to data from the “2025 World Silver Survey” [5]:

  • Global photovoltaic silver demand in 2024 was 6,147 tons, accounting for
    19%
    of total silver supply, an increase from previous years.
  • However, the growth rate of photovoltaic silver demand has dropped from
    63.8%
    in 2023 to a lower level in 2024.
  • BNEF predicts: In 2025, silver demand for solar modules may drop to 194 million ounces (about 6,028 tons), a
    7%
    decrease from 2024 [5]
5.2 Technology Development Trends

Short-term (1-2 years):

  • Silver-coated copper technology accelerates promotion in the TOPCon field
  • AIKO silver-free technology capacity continues to expand

Medium-term (3-5 years):

  • The cost of electroplated copper process equipment is expected to decrease, promoting industry popularization
  • Silver supply and demand pattern may reverse
5.3 AIKO’s Strategic Moat
  1. First-Mover Advantage
    : Layout 10 years in advance, achieved mass production in 2021, leading the industry by at least 3-4 years
  2. Technology Barrier
    : Core processes such as high-precision patterning technology, alloy protective layer + oxygen barrier film
  3. Capacity Scale
    : 20GW silver-free capacity forms scale effect
  4. Brand Recognition
    : Won Intersolar AWARD, products have been market-verified

VI. Investment Conclusion

Facing the extreme stress test of silver prices rising to 18,000 yuan/kg, AIKO Solar’s silver-free metal coating technology shows extremely strong response capability:

  1. Completely immune to silver price fluctuations
    : Zero silver use, fundamentally avoiding cost risks
  2. Cost advantages continue to expand
    : Mainstream technology’s silver consumption cost increases by 11.1%, while AIKO has no such pressure
  3. Technology leads by 3-5 years
    : The only enterprise in the industry to realize large-scale mass production of silver-free technology
  4. Capacity scale effect
    : 20GW capacity layout supports cost competitiveness

Against the backdrop of current silver prices hitting new highs repeatedly, AIKO Solar’s silver-free technology has transformed from a “forward-looking layout” to a “core competitive advantage”. As silver prices continue to rise, this technological advantage will become even more prominent.


References

[1] Securities Times - “Continuous Breakthroughs in Photovoltaic ‘Silver-Free’ Technology: Will Silver Supply and Demand Pattern Reverse?” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3554851.html)

[2] Wall Street News/Sina Finance - “Under Silver Price Surge: Cell Enterprises Will Shift from Production Control to Maintain Prices to Production Suspension!” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/roll/2025-12-30/doc-inhepnty4409933.shtml)

[3] AIKO Solar 2023 ESG Report - “Silver-Free Metal Grid Line Coating Technology” (https://aikosolar.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/04/2023-AIKO-ESG-Report-cn.pdf)

[4] Shanghai Securities News/Solar Energy Magazine - “Industrial Breakthrough Under Silver Price Surge: Reducing Silver Has Become a Must-Answer Question for Photovoltaic Enterprises” (https://www.sfam.org.cn/news/71196)

[5] Caiwen News - “Silver Price Surge Hurts Photovoltaics” (https://www.caiwennews.com/article/1410681.shtml)

[6] National Business Daily - Reports Related to Silver Prices

[0] Jinling API - AIKO Solar (600732.SS) Company Data and Financial Analysis

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