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Tianli Composite (920576.BJ) Investment Value Analysis Report

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January 4, 2026

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Tianli Composite (920576.BJ) Investment Value Analysis Report

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Tianli Composite (920576.BJ) Investment Value Analysis Report
I. Company Overview and Core Business

Tianli Composite is a Beijing Stock Exchange-listed company specializing in the R&D, production, and sales of

layered metal composite materials
. As a holding subsidiary of Western Materials (002149.SZ) (with a 44.27% stake), the company has established strong technical barriers in the metal new material field relying on the technical background of the Northwest Institute for Nonferrous Metal Research [1][2].

Main Product Application Areas:

  • Commercial Aerospace
    : Key structural material for satellites and rocket engines
  • Nuclear Industry
    : Composite materials for nuclear power equipment, first wall material for fusion devices
  • Semiconductor
    : High-end metal composite materials for chip manufacturing equipment
  • New Energy
    : Applications of corrosion-resistant and high-temperature-resistant materials
II. 2025 Market Performance and Concept Catalysts
Stock Price Performance Review

Tianli Composite showed significant market heat in 2025:

Indicator Data
December monthly increase 142.84%[1]
9-trading-day increase 194%[2]
Full-year cumulative increase 242.13%[3]
Historical highest price 94.20 yuan (Dec 25)[3]

Driven by the dual concepts of commercial aerospace and controlled nuclear fusion, the company’s stock became one of the top gainers on the Beijing Stock Exchange in 2025 [1][2][3].

III. Fundamental Performance Analysis
Financial Data Overview

Despite the impressive stock price performance, the company’s fundamentals show a

“hot concept, cold performance”
feature:

2025 first three quarters:

  • Operating revenue: 404 million yuan,
    down 11.26% year-on-year
    [2]
  • Net profit attributable to parent company: 22.4693 million yuan,
    down 49.34% year-on-year
    [2]

Positive signals:

The third quarter performance showed a clear recovery; operating revenue and net profit attributable to parent company increased by
56.03% and 47.39% year-on-year
, respectively, mainly benefiting from the release of some project orders [2].

Performance and Valuation Divergence

Current valuation level deviates significantly from performance:

  • Parent company Western Materials’ P/E ratio climbed from
    112.33x
    on Dec 5 to
    206.49x
    on Dec 19 [4]
  • P/B ratio rose from 3.44x to 5.74x, an increase of 66.9%[4]
IV. Core Growth Logic Analysis
1. Commercial Aerospace Material Breakthrough

Tianli Composite has made substantial progress in its commercial aerospace layout:

  • Technical qualification
    : Participated in drafting the military standard (GJB3797A-2015) “Specification for Titanium-Stainless Steel Explosive Composite Transition Joint Rods for Satellites” [4]
  • Supply capacity
    : As an important part of Western Materials’ subsidiary matrix, it has mass supply capacity for key materials of satellites and rocket engines
  • Market background
    : Commercial aerospace was included in the strategic emerging industry cluster in 2025, and the industry entered a rapid development period [3]
2. Nuclear Industry and Controlled Nuclear Fusion

The company’s breakthrough in the nuclear industry is its core value point:

  • Project winning
    : In June 2025, as a consortium member, it won the bid for the first wall heat sink project for internal component transformation of the device of the Institute of Plasma Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences Hefei Institute of Physical Science [3][4]
  • Supply capacity
    : Currently has
    mass supply capacity
    for materials related to the first wall of fusion devices [3][4]
  • Industry prospect
    : Controlled nuclear fusion is regarded as the “ultimate energy source”, and the acceleration of commercialization brings long-term demand growth
3. Semiconductor Field Expansion

The company’s layout in the semiconductor field opens up new growth space:

  • Demand for high-end metal composite materials for semiconductor equipment continues to grow
  • Under the domestic substitution trend, domestic suppliers face development opportunities
V. Evaluation of Order Increment Sustainability
Factors Supporting Sustained Order Growth
  1. Clear policy support
    :

    • Commercial aerospace and nuclear fusion are included in the national strategic emerging industry plan
    • Domestic substitution policies continue to advance, and the demand for localization of high-end materials is urgent
  2. High technical barriers
    :

    • High technical threshold for layered metal composite materials
    • Participation in drafting military standards demonstrates leading technical position
    • Mass supply capacity means technology and production capacity have been certified
  3. Parent company synergy
    :

    • Western Materials supplies niobium alloy materials to SpaceX through Xinuo Xigui (the only supplier in mainland China) [4]
    • Tianli Composite is expected to expand international markets via the parent company’s channels
Potential Risk Factors
  1. Performance fulfillment pressure
    :

    • Current valuation fully reflects expectations; whether performance can be fulfilled is key
    • Short-term stock price increase is too large, with correction risk
  2. Order confirmation cycle
    :

    • Long order cycle for nuclear power and aerospace projects
    • Uncertainty in the commercialization process of cutting-edge projects like fusion devices
  3. Intensified market competition
    :

    • More competitors in the high-end metal composite material field
    • Technological iteration may affect existing advantages
VI. Investment Recommendations and Risk Warnings
Investment Views

Short-term
: The stock price has fully reflected concept expectations, with high valuation; it is recommended to be cautious about chasing highs

Mid-term
: Focus on order execution and the sustainability of performance improvement, especially:

  • Delivery progress of fusion device projects
  • Acquisition of new orders in commercial aerospace
  • Whether the third-quarter performance recovery trend can continue

Long-term
: The company is in strategic emerging industries such as commercial aerospace, nuclear fusion, and semiconductors, with long-term growth space, but technical progress and order execution need continuous tracking

Core Risk Warnings
  1. Valuation risk
    : Current valuation is divorced from fundamentals, with large correction risk
  2. Performance risk
    : Order execution is below expectations, and performance continues to decline
  3. Concept risk
    : Market sentiment fades, and concept speculation corrects
  4. Technical risk
    : Changes in technical routes affect existing advantages

References

[1] Lanfu Finance - “Lanfu Year-end Data Inventory: All Monthly ‘Monster Stocks’ in 2025 Bought, 10,000 Becomes 27 Billion” (https://emcreative.eastmoney.com/app_fortune/article/index.html?artCode=20251231145027702053640)

[2] Global Tiger Finance - “Tianli Composite Surges 194% in Nine Trading Days, Western Materials ‘Enjoys’ Capital Carnival” (https://caifuhao.eastmoney.com/news/20251218200850392217070)

[3] Securities Times Online - “2025 Beijing Stock Exchange: Technology Empowers Growth, 33 Stocks Double in Price!” (https://stcn.com/article/detail/3566970.html)

[4] 21st Century Business Herald - “Valuation Gap Under the ‘Starlink’ Halo: Western Materials’ ‘Space Dream’ and ‘Performance Difficulty’” (https://www.21jingji.com/article/20251219/herald/e242fcdfc6085b6354413ad2dfc742d8.html)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.