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Investment Risk Case Analysis of *ST Shengxun (003004.SZ)

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January 9, 2026

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Investment Risk Case Analysis of *ST Shengxun (003004.SZ)

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Based on collected data and market information, I will conduct a systematic analysis of this typical case of *ST Shengxun, revealing its warning significance for investment decisions regarding risk-warning companies.


Investment Risk Case Analysis of *ST Shengxun (003004.SZ)
1. Company Basic Information and Interpretation of Risk Labels

Company Overview:

  • Stock Code
    : 003004.SZ
  • Full Company Name
    : Beijing Shengxun Electronics Co., Ltd.
  • Core Business
    : Security system integration services, AIoT technology platform, smart city solutions
  • Listing Date
    : November 17, 2020
  • Current Status
    : *ST Label (Delisting Risk Warning)

According to the company’s announcement, *ST Shengxun triggered Article 9.3.1 of the “Shenzhen Stock Exchange Stock Listing Rules” due to its 2024 financial indicators – “the lowest of the audited total profit, net profit, and net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses for the most recent fiscal year is negative, and operating revenue after deduction is less than 300 million yuan”. The company’s stock has been subject to delisting risk warning since May 6, 2025, and the stock abbreviation has been changed from “Shengxun Co., Ltd.” to “*ST Shengxun”[1].

2025 is the first fiscal year after the company was subject to delisting risk warning. According to the new delisting rules, if the company’s 2025 financial data still fails to meet the standards, the company will face the risk of delisting[1].

2. Recent Market Performance and Analysis of Abnormal Fluctuations

Technical Trend Characteristics of Stock Price:

Indicator Value Signal Interpretation
Latest Closing Price $27.24 In the historical high range
20-day Moving Average $22.92 Stock price deviates significantly from the moving average
KDJ Indicator K:92.7, D:83.5, J:111.0 Severe overbought zone[0]
5-day Price Increase +15.82% Excessive short-term price increase
30-day Price Increase +22.10% Substantial cumulative medium-term price increase[0]

From a technical analysis perspective, this stock exhibits typical characteristics of short-term capital speculation[0]:

  1. Clear Overbought Signal
    : The J value of the KDJ indicator exceeds 100, and RSI is in the overbought zone
  2. Excessive Deviation Rate
    : The deviation of the stock price from the 20-day moving average exceeds 20%
  3. Volume Divergence
    : The stock price rises but trading volume fails to expand sustainably in coordination

*ST Shengxun K-line Chart and Technical Indicators

The chart above shows the K-line trend of *ST Shengxun from December 2025 to January 2026, from which we can clearly see:

  • The rapid pull-up process of the stock price in the short term
  • The RSI indicator continues to operate in the overbought zone
  • Trading volume shows a pulse-like expansion characteristic
3. In-depth Interpretation of Shareholder Share Reduction Event

Details of Share Reduction Plan:

Share Reduction Subject Reduction Ratio Reduction Method Reduction Period Reason for Reduction
Liu Mengran ≤2.04% (≤1.65 million shares) Concentrated Auction / Block Trade Within 15 trading days + 3 months after announcement Personal capital needs
Liu Jianwen and his concerted actors ≤2.64% (≤2.1322 million shares) Concentrated Auction / Block Trade Within 15 trading days + 3 months after announcement Personal capital needs
Total
4.68%
-
February to May 2026
-

Key Warning Signals of the Share Reduction Event:

  1. Sensitive Time Node
    : Choosing to announce the share reduction plan after a short-term surge in stock price, suspected of “cash out at high prices”
  2. Large Reduction Scale
    : The total share reduction is nearly 5%, and the cash-out scale is considerable based on the current market value
  3. Consistency of Collective Action
    : The two shareholders announced their share reduction plans almost simultaneously, with the same reason of “personal capital needs”
  4. System Compliance
    : According to the “Shenzhen Stock Exchange Self-Regulatory Guidelines for Listed Companies No. 18 - Share Reduction by Shareholders, Directors, Supervisors, and Senior Executives”, illegal share reduction under circumstances where it is prohibited will face penalties of “ordered repurchase and surrender of price difference to the listed company”[2]
4. Financial Health Assessment

Key Financial Indicators (TTM):

Indicator Value Industry Reference Risk Assessment
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) -82.42 varies
Loss-making Status
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) 3.42 varies Overvalued
Return on Equity (ROE) -3.82% >8% is preferred
Negative Return
Net Profit Margin -7.98% >10% is preferred
Sustained Losses
Current Ratio 2.16 >1.5 is preferred Short-term solvency is acceptable[0]

Key Points of Financial Analysis:

  1. Sustained Deterioration of Profitability
    : The company is in a loss-making state, and there is no sign of turning profitable in the short term
  2. Overhanging Delisting Risk
    : 2025 is a critical year that will determine the company’s fate. If operating revenue fails to reach 300 million yuan and net profit remains negative, the company will face delisting
  3. Cash Flow Pressure
    : The latest data shows that the company’s free cash flow is negative (approximately -107 million yuan), resulting in significant operating pressure[0]
  4. Conservative Accounting Policies
    : Financial analysis shows that the company adopts conservative accounting policies, and the high depreciation/capital expenditure ratio indicates significant asset impairment pressure[0]
5. Summary of Investment Risk Warning Significance

The *ST Shengxun case provides the following important warnings for investment decisions regarding risk-warning companies:

1.
Identification of Speculation Risks of “4 Limit-Ups in 5 Days”
Risk Signal Specific Performance Response Strategy
Abnormal Stock Price Limit-Up Consecutive limit-ups without fundamental support Avoid stocks with excessive price increases
Overbought Technical Indicators Severe overbought KDJ and RSI Wait for indicator repair
Abnormal Trading Volume Pulse-like expansion followed by contraction Pay attention to volume-price coordination
Theme Speculation No substantive positive support Distinguish between value and speculation
2.
Signal Significance of Shareholder Share Reduction

Signals transmitted to the market by collective shareholder share reduction:

  • Insiders are Bearish
    : Major shareholders lack confidence in the company’s future development
  • Recognition of Overvaluation
    : The current position is considered overvalued by insiders
  • Urgent Capital Needs
    : Insist on share reduction and cash-out even during the restricted period
  • Short-term Stock Price Peak
    : There have been many cases in history where “stock prices peaked after share reductions”
3. *True Meaning of the ST Label

Investment in *ST companies requires special attention to:

Risk Type Specific Content Investment Suggestion
Financial Delisting Risk Operating revenue < 300 million yuan and net profit is negative Focus on the 2025 annual report
Major Illegal Delisting Financial fraud, insider trading, etc. Verify historical violation records
Trading-Based Delisting Market value < 500 million yuan Pay attention to market value changes
Standard-Based Delisting Internal control defects, major shareholder occupation of funds Pay attention to regulatory penalties
4.
Changes in Investment Logic Under the New Delisting Rules

According to the 2024 New “Nine Articles of the State” and the new delisting rules[3]:

  • Revenue standard for loss-making main board companies
    increased from 100 million yuan to
    300 million yuan
  • Market value delisting indicator
    increased from below 300 million yuan to
    below 500 million yuan
  • Failure to meet dividend requirements
    will trigger ST risk warning
  • Threshold for major illegal delisting triggered by financial fraud
    has been lowered
6. Investment Decision Recommendations

For risk-warning companies, it is recommended that investors follow the following principles:

  1. *Avoid ST Stocks After a Sharp Surge: Abnormal price increases such as “4 limit-ups in 5 days” are often accompanied by huge pullback risks
  2. Pay Attention to Insider Behavior
    : Share reductions by major shareholders and management are usually leading indicators of deteriorating company fundamentals
  3. In-depth Research on Financial Data
    : Focus on operating revenue scale, net profit change trends, and cash flow status
  4. Set Stop-Loss Discipline
    : If you decide to invest in *ST stocks, you must set strict stop-loss levels
  5. Control Position Ratio
    : The position of *ST stocks should not exceed 10% of the total position
  6. Pay Attention to Key Time Nodes
    : Before and after annual report disclosure, effective date of delisting risk warning, etc.

*Core Lessons from the ST Shengxun Case:

When a *ST stock experiences a short-term surge without any improvement in fundamentals, while major shareholders announce large-scale share reductions at the same time, investors should be highly vigilant. This combination of “surge + share reduction” is almost a typical “pump and dump” pattern, with a 99% probability of becoming a top-taker.


References

[0] Jinling AI Financial Database (Stock Market Quotes, Technical Analysis, Financial Data)

[1] Shanghai Securities News - Announcement on Abnormal Fluctuation in Stock Trading of Beijing Shengxun Electronics Co., Ltd. (2026-01-07)
(https://paper.cnstock.com/html/2026-01/07/content_2167368.htm)

[2] Zhong Lun Law Firm - Share Reduction by Shareholders, Directors, Supervisors, and Senior Executives of Listed Companies
(https://www.zhonglun.com/research/articles/53515.html)

[3] Securities Times - Multiple Companies Issue Delisting Risk Warnings (2025-02-17)
(https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/1530267.html)

[4] Shenzhen Stock Exchange - Guideline Document on Share Reduction by Shareholders, Directors, and Senior Executives
(https://docs.static.szse.cn/www/lawrules/rule/stock/supervision/currency/W020250327580660638732.pdf)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.