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Analysis of Investment Opportunities in Localization of Semiconductor Materials and Equipment

#semiconductor_equipment #semiconductor_materials #国产替代 #光刻胶 #刻蚀设备 #薄膜沉积 #投资机会 #政策驱动 #CMP设备 #中微公司
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January 13, 2026

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Analysis of Investment Opportunities in Localization of Semiconductor Materials and Equipment

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Based on the above in-depth research data and market analysis, I now provide you with a systematic and comprehensive analysis report on investment opportunities and competitive landscape against the backdrop of localization of semiconductor materials and equipment.


In-Depth Analysis of Investment Opportunities and Competitive Landscape Amid the Localization Process of Semiconductor Materials and Equipment
I. Industry Background and Policy Environment
1.1 Policy-Driven: Promote High-Quality Development of the Integrated Circuit Industry Across the Entire Chain

The “Several Policies of Guangzhou on Promoting High-Quality Development of the Integrated Circuit Industry Across the Entire Chain During the 15th Five-Year Plan Period (Draft for Comments)” issued by the Guangzhou Municipal Bureau of Industry and Information Technology marks a new stage in local governments’ systematic support for the semiconductor industry [1]. This policy clearly proposes two core goals:

(1) Agglomerated Development of Manufacturing Materials

  • Production lines for manufacturing materials such as photomasks, photoresists, electronic specialty gases, high-purity sputtering targets, and large-size silicon wafers
  • Focus on breaking through bottleneck links in domestic substitution of semiconductor materials

(2) Cultivation and Expansion of Manufacturing Equipment

  • Leading enterprises in manufacturing equipment such as lithography, etching, ion implantation, deposition, cleaning, and testing
  • Build independent supply capacity for equipment covering front-end processes

This policy framework echoes the national-level “50% domestic equipment procurement red line” policy. According to an internal notice from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, chip manufacturers must use at least 50% domestic equipment when adding new production capacity. This mandatory requirement has been implemented since early 2025, and is strictly enforced for mature process production lines (≥28nm), while appropriately relaxed for advanced process production lines (<14nm) [2].

1.2 Background of Global Supply Chain Restructuring

The localization rate of China’s semiconductor equipment has increased significantly from 25% in 2024 to 35% by the end of 2025, exceeding the 30% target set at the beginning of the year [3]. The adoption rate of domestic equipment in key sectors such as etching and thin film deposition has exceeded 40% [4]. This progress is attributed to:

  • Technological Breakthroughs
    : AMEC’s 5nm-level etching equipment has entered validation at TSMC’s advanced process lines; the utilization rate of NAURA’s oxidation furnaces and diffusion furnaces in SMIC’s 28nm production lines exceeds 60%
  • Policy Support
    : The third phase of the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund (with a scale of over RMB 300 billion) focuses on supporting R&D of domestic equipment, and the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology provides a 15% procurement subsidy
  • Market Demand
    : China’s semiconductor market reached RMB 1.8 trillion in 2025, accounting for 31% of the global share

II. Localization Rate and Competitive Landscape of Semiconductor Equipment
2.1 Panorama of Equipment Localization Rates

According to industry data, the localization rates of various equipment segments show significant structural differentiation:

Equipment Type Localization Rate Global Market Size Domestic Substitution Space Key Domestic Manufacturers
Photoresist Strippers 80% US$1.5B Low Etang Semiconductor
Thermal Processing Equipment 35% US$2.5B Medium-Low NAURA, Huazhuo Precision Technology
Cleaning Equipment 28% US$4.0B Medium ACM Research (Shanghai), ToPure Technology
CMP Equipment 25% US$2.8B Medium Haina Qingke
Etching Equipment 18% US$12.0B High
AMEC, NAURA
Thin Film Deposition Equipment 18% US$11.7B High
Tuojing Technology, AMEC
Ion Implantation Equipment 8% US$3.6B Very High Suke Zhongkexin, KAST
Coating & Developing Equipment 5% US$3.7B Very High
Xinyuan Micro, ACM Research (Shanghai)
Metrology & Testing Equipment 5% US$12.0B Very High
C-Fly Tech, Wuhan Jingce Electronics
Lithography Equipment <1% US$18.0B Extremely High SMEE
2.2 Competitive Landscape Analysis of Front-End Equipment
(1) Etching Equipment: Pioneer of Domestic Substitution

Market Landscape
: The global etching equipment market is monopolized by three US and Japanese manufacturers: LAM Research, Tokyo Electron (TEL), and Applied Materials (AMAT), with a combined market share of over 90%. AMEC, NAURA, and Etang Semiconductor have achieved a localization rate of 10-20% and are accelerating market penetration [5].

Technological Breakthroughs
:

  • AMEC’s CCP etching equipment fully covers most applications for processes above 28nm, has entered the 5nm cycle verification stage, with critical dimension uniformity of less than 1nm [6]
  • NAURA dominates silicon etching and dielectric etching in 8-inch production lines, and has successfully applied its products in key steps such as hard mask etching and aluminum pad etching in 12-inch production lines

Investment Value
: Etching equipment is one of the three core equipment in semiconductor manufacturing (accounting for 22% of total value), with broad domestic substitution space. Focus on
AMEC (688012.SS)
and
NAURA (002371.SS)
.

(2) Thin Film Deposition Equipment: Catching Up Rapidly

Market Landscape
: The global thin film deposition equipment market is approximately US$11.7 billion, with localization rates of 10-30% in sub-sectors such as PECVD, ALD, and CVD. Enterprises including Tuojing Technology, AMEC, MicroGuide Nano, and ACM Research (Shanghai) are making rapid breakthroughs [7].

Technological Breakthroughs
:

  • Tuojing Technology’s PECVD, ALD, and SACVD products cover logic chip and memory chip manufacturing, with customers including SMIC and Huahong Group
  • NAURA has deployed in LPCVD, APCVD, and ALD fields, and is the domestic leader in the PVD sector
  • MicroGuide Nano is the first domestic equipment company to successfully apply mass-produced High-k ALD to front-end production lines at the 28nm node

Investment Value
: The value share of thin film deposition equipment in 3D NAND and HBM manufacturing has increased from 18% to 26%, with growing demand. Focus on
Tuojing Technology (688072.SS)
.

(3) Lithography Equipment: Biggest Shortcoming

Market Landscape
: The global lithography equipment market is dominated by three companies: ASML (Netherlands), Nikon, and Canon, with ASML monopolizing high-end EUV lithography machines. SMEE’s 28nm DUV lithography machine has completed process verification, but there is still a significant gap in overlay accuracy and uptime compared to ASML [8].

Domestic Substitution Path
:

  • Accelerated localization of DUV lithography machines for mature processes (28nm and above)
  • Advanced processes rely on multiple patterning technology to compensate
  • Coating & developing equipment is supporting lithography machines, with a localization rate of <5%; Xinyuan Micro has covered i-line, KrF, and ArF segments

Investment Value
: The localization rate of lithography equipment is less than 1%, but policy support is the strongest. SMEE’s IPO on the STAR Market is approaching; pay attention to related concept stocks.


III. Localization Rate and Competitive Landscape of Semiconductor Materials
3.1 Panorama of Material Localization Rates
Material Type Localization Rate Global Market Size Key Enterprises
Silicon Wafers 20% US$14.0B Simgui Technology, Lion Micro
Electronic Specialty Gases 30% US$6.5B
Nanda Optoelectronics, Huate Gas, Jinhong Gas
Photoresist 15% US$5.5B
Tongcheng New Materials, Nanda Optoelectronics, Jingrui Electronic Materials
CMP Slurries & Pads 15% US$3.5B
Anji Technology, Haina Qingke
Wet Chemicals 25% US$5.5B Jingrui Electronic Materials, Shanghai Xinyang
Sputtering Targets 20% US$2.2B Jiangfeng Electronics, Grikin Advanced Materials
Photomasks 15% US$6.0B Lovi Optical Technology, Qingyi Photomask
Coating & Developing Materials 25% US$2.8B Xinyuan Micro, ACM Research (Shanghai)
3.2 Photoresist: Core Battlefield of Domestic Substitution

Market Landscape
: The global photoresist market is monopolized by Japanese giants such as JSR, Tokyo Ohka Kogyo, and Shin-Etsu Chemical. The localization rate of high-end ArF/KrF photoresist is still in single digits. The scale of China’s domestic photoresist market is expected to reach RMB 18-22 billion in 2025, accounting for 25-30% of total demand [9].

Technological Breakthroughs and Competitive Landscape
:

Enterprise Core Technology Market Position Capacity Plan
Tongcheng New Materials
KrF/ArF Photoresist KrF market share over 40%, ArF qualified 10,000-ton annual photoresist production project
Nanda Optoelectronics
ArF Photoresist The only domestic enterprise with mass-produced ArF, qualified for 28nm 50-ton annual ArF production line
Jingrui Electronic Materials
KrF/ArF Photoresist Monthly KrF production capacity exceeds 1 ton, ArF in small-batch production 30,000-ton annual semiconductor photoresist production project
Shanghai Xinyang
KrF/ArF Photoresist Mass supply of I-line/KrF, received ArF orders Large-scale production line under construction

Investment Value
: Photoresist is the semiconductor material category with the highest technical barriers. The risk of potential supply cuts from Japan accelerates domestic substitution. Focus on
Tongcheng New Materials (603650.SS)
,
Nanda Optoelectronics (300346.SZ)
, and
Jingrui Electronic Materials (300655.SZ)
.

3.3 Electronic Specialty Gases: Breakthrough in Mature Category

Market Landscape
: Electronic specialty gases are the second largest material category in semiconductor manufacturing (accounting for 13% of total value), with a localization rate of about 30%. Nanda Optoelectronics, Huate Gas, and Guanggang Gas have achieved breakthroughs.

Competitive Advantages
:

  • Nanda Optoelectronics ranks first in global market share of Mo sources; capacity utilization rates of electronic specialty gases and precursor materials are 102% and 93% respectively, with tight supply
  • Huate Gas and Jinhong Gas have comprehensive layouts in high-purity gas sectors

IV. In-Depth Analysis of Key Investment Targets
4.1 Equipment Leader: AMEC (688012.SS)

Basic Profile
:

  • Market Capitalization: RMB 217.6 billion
  • Current Stock Price: RMB 348.76
  • 2025 Increase: 94.88%
  • P/E (TTM): 113.72x
  • ROE: 9.31%

Core Competitive Advantages
:

  1. Etching Equipment Leader
    : CCP etching equipment covers most applications above 28nm, 5nm-level equipment enters cycle verification
  2. Thin Film Deposition Breakthrough
    : Thin film equipment such as LPCVD and ALD have successfully entered the market; Q3 2025 financial report shows strong new equipment orders
  3. Platform Layout
    : Formed a four-front-end process equipment matrix of “etching + thin film + metrology + wet process” through the acquisition of Hangzhou Zhonggui, covering 80% of key processes in chip manufacturing

Financial Analysis
:

  • H1-Q3 2025 revenue increased by 37.3% YoY, net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 23.9% YoY
  • Gross profit margin remains stable, R&D investment continues to increase
  • Healthy free cash flow, low debt risk [10]

Technical Analysis
:

  • Stock price continues to rise along the 50-day moving average, MACD in long position
  • KDJ indicator is at a high level of 79.8, RSI is in the overbought zone
  • Short-term support level: RMB 296.65, resistance level: RMB 356.29

Investment Recommendation
:
Strong Buy
. As the absolute leader in etching equipment, it benefits from memory capacity expansion and advanced process breakthroughs, with high certainty of medium- to long-term growth.

4.2 Material Leader: Anji Technology (688019.SS)

Basic Profile
:

  • Market Capitalization: RMB 44.7 billion
  • Current Stock Price: RMB 265.42
  • 2025 Increase: 153.17%
  • P/E (TTM): 59.72x
  • ROE: 25.06% (industry-leading)

Core Competitive Advantages
:

  1. CMP Slurry Leader
    : Leading localization rate of CMP slurries, products cover logic chips and memory chips
  2. Wet Chemicals Leader
    : Advanced technology for electronic-grade wet chemicals, high capacity utilization
  3. Outstanding Profitability
    : Net profit margin of 32.10%, far exceeding the industry average

Financial Analysis
:

  • Q3 2025 EPS: RMB 1.38, exceeding expectations by 14.05%
  • Earnings have exceeded expectations for multiple consecutive quarters, with strong growth momentum
  • Abundant operating cash flow, healthy financial structure

Technical Analysis
:

  • Stock price rises strongly along the 20-day moving average, cumulative increase in 2025 exceeds 150%
  • MACD golden cross upward, KDJ indicator runs in the overbought zone
  • Short-term support level: RMB 228.28, resistance level: RMB 272.60

Investment Recommendation
:
Strong Buy
. A platform-type enterprise in semiconductor materials, it benefits from accelerated domestic substitution with high earnings elasticity.

4.3 CMP Equipment Leader: Haina Qingke (688120.SS)

Basic Profile
:

  • Market Capitalization: RMB 32.0 billion
  • 2025 Increase: 85.2%
  • Localization Rate of CMP Equipment: 20-30%

Core Competitive Advantages
:

  • Leading localization rate of CMP equipment; single-wafer cleaning equipment received repeat orders from Huahong Shanghai’s 12-inch 28nm production line
  • Equipment uptime exceeds 90%, product reliability verified
  • Net profit growth for 4 consecutive years, high growth certainty
4.4 Photoresist Leader: Tongcheng New Materials (603650.SS)

Basic Profile
:

  • Market Capitalization: RMB 38.0 billion
  • 2025 Increase: 95.8%
  • Photoresist Business Revenue: RMB 442 million (H1 2025)

Core Competitive Advantages
:

  • Controlling stake in Beijing Kehua gives it over 40% market share of KrF photoresist
  • ArF/ArFi photoresist products have passed verification by domestic chip manufacturers and are in mass production
  • The only A-share enterprise cooperating with ASML in EUV photoresist development
  • Independently develops electronic-grade phenolic resin, with a full industrial chain layout
4.5 Emerging Photoresist Player: Jingrui Electronic Materials (300655.SZ)

Basic Profile
:

  • Market Capitalization: RMB 15.0 billion
  • 2025 Increase: 186.5% (industry’s top gainer)
  • Photoresist Revenue: Exceeded RMB 106 million (H1 2025)

Core Competitive Advantages
:

  • Full product matrix covering G-line, I-line, KrF, and ArF
  • Monthly KrF photoresist production capacity exceeds 1 ton
  • ArF products have entered verification in Yangtze Memory Technologies’ advanced process production lines
  • H1-Q3 2025 net profit growth rate exceeds 19200% YoY

V. Investment Strategy and Risk Warning
5.1 Investment Main Lines

Main Line 1: Accelerated Localization of Equipment

Sub-sector Investment Targets Rationale
Etching Equipment AMEC, NAURA Technological breakthrough + market share gain + full order book
Thin Film Deposition Tuojing Technology, MicroGuide Nano Driven by memory/HBM demand + domestic substitution
CMP Equipment Haina Qingke Penetration into mature processes + demand for advanced packaging
Metrology & Testing C-Fly Tech, Wuhan Jingce Electronics Lowest localization rate + policy support

Main Line 2: Domestic Breakthrough in Materials

Sub-sector Investment Targets Rationale
Photoresist Tongcheng New Materials, Nanda Optoelectronics, Jingrui Electronic Materials Risk of supply cuts from Japan + technological breakthrough + capacity release
Electronic Specialty Gases Nanda Optoelectronics, Huate Gas Mature category + high capacity utilization
CMP Slurries & Pads Anji Technology, Haina Qingke Platform layout + outstanding profitability
5.2 Investment Rating Matrix
                    High Domestic Substitution Space
                         │
    ┌────────────────────┼────────────────────┐
    │                    │                    │
    │   Photoresist (Strong Buy) │   Etching Equipment (Strong Buy) │
    │   Metrology & Testing (Watch)     │   Thin Film Deposition (Strong Buy) │
Low◄─┼────────────────────┼────────────────────┼►High
Mar   │                    │                    │ Mar
ket   │   Silicon Wafers (Watch)       │   Cleaning Equipment (Buy)    │ ket
Spa   │   Sputtering Targets (Watch)       │   CMP Equipment (Buy)     │ Si
ce   │   Wet Chemicals (Buy)   │   Testing Equipment (Buy)    │ ze
    │   Electronic Specialty Gases (Buy)    │   Ion Implantation (Watch)    │
    │                    │                    │
    └────────────────────┼────────────────────┘
                         │
                    Low Domestic Substitution Space
5.3 Risk Warning

(1) Technological Iteration Risk

  • R&D progress of advanced process equipment may fall short of expectations
  • International giants continue to increase R&D investment to maintain technological leadership

(2) Policy Implementation Risk

  • The implementation intensity of the 50% domestic equipment policy may be adjusted
  • Advanced process production lines may be granted more exceptions

(3) Downstream Demand Risk

  • Risk of a global semiconductor cycle downturn
  • Memory capacity expansion progress may be affected by price fluctuations

(4) Intensified Competition Risk

  • Price competition among domestic manufacturers may intensify
  • International manufacturers may cut prices to maintain market share

(5) Geopolitical Risk

  • Supply chain security incidents may cause short-term disruptions
  • Technology export controls may continue to escalate

VI. Conclusions and Outlook
6.1 Core Conclusions
  1. Accelerated Localization Process
    : The localization rate of semiconductor equipment has exceeded 35%, entering the core climbing phase of the acceleration period on the S-shaped growth curve, and the growth rate will accelerate significantly in the future [11].

  2. Structural Opportunities Highlighted
    : Segments with localization rates below 10% such as lithography, metrology & testing, and coating & developing have the largest growth space; segments that have broken through the 10-20% range such as etching and thin film deposition are in a rapid penetration period.

  3. Clear Policy Support
    : The “50% domestic equipment procurement red line” policy is enforced, with the third phase of the National Integrated Circuit Industry Investment Fund providing over RMB 300 billion in support, combined with supporting policies from local governments, forming a policy synergy.

  4. Technological Breakthroughs Expected
    : AMEC’s 5nm etching machine has entered verification, the yield of the 7nm pilot line exceeds expectations, and 14nm domestic equipment is expected to be put into mass production as early as Q2 2026.

6.2 Investment Recommendations

Short-Term (1-3 Months)
: Focus on the photoresist sector, as the urgency of domestic substitution has increased due to the catalysis of Japanese supply chain security incidents. Key targets include
Tongcheng New Materials, Nanda Optoelectronics, Jingrui Electronic Materials
.

Mid-Term (3-6 Months)
: Focus on order fulfillment of leading equipment enterprises and interim report performance. Key targets include
AMEC, NAURA, Tuojing Technology
.

Long-Term (6-12 Months)
: Focus on breakthrough opportunities in low-penetration, high-value segments such as metrology & testing and coating & developing, as well as verification progress of advanced process equipment.


References

[1] Securities Times - “Guangzhou’s Plan to Accelerate the Construction of a Strong Advanced Manufacturing City (2024–2035)” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3579703.html)

[2] New Third Board Information - “Overview of China’s Semiconductor Supply Chain Independence Progress” (https://www.xinsanbanbao.com/20251231/news/n98415.html)

[3] ICwise - “China’s Semiconductor Equipment Enters Core Acceleration Period” (https://www.esmchina.com/marketnews/56588.html)

[4] Yahoo News - “China’s Semiconductor Equipment Localization Rate Exceeds 35%, Far Exceeding Expectations” (https://tw.news.yahoo.com/)

[5] Guojin Securities - In-Depth Report on Semiconductor Equipment Industry: “Resonance of Memory Capacity Expansion and Independent Controllability, Broad Domestic Substitution Space”

[6] Futu News - “Semiconductor Equipment Industry: 2026 Outlook Amid Domestic Substitution” (https://news.futunn.com/post/

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.