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Analysis Report on HLA's Agency of Adidas FCC Business

#retail #apparel #partnership #market_expansion #sports_brand #china_retail #business_analysis #franchise #multi_brand
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January 14, 2026

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Analysis Report on HLA's Agency of Adidas FCC Business

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Analysis Report on HLA’s Agency of Adidas FCC Business
I. Business Background and Current Status
1.1 Cooperation Model and Structure

HLA has established a partnership with Adidas through its holding subsidiary

Sibozi Brand Management Co., Ltd.
Sibozi is responsible for the exclusive agency of Adidas’
FCC (Future City Concept)
product series’ retail business in mainland China [1]. HLA holds a 55% stake in Sibozi, giving it a controlling position.

Core Positioning of FCC Business:

  • Sinking Market Strategy
    : FCC is a dedicated product line and store format launched by Adidas for China’s lower-tier cities (fourth- and fifth-tier cities and county-level markets)
  • Cost-Effective Product Line
    : Customized products are launched to meet the needs of the sinking market, aligning with local consumption capacity and preferences
  • Channel Empowerment
    : Leveraging HLA’s accumulated channel network in the sinking market, Adidas can deeply reach consumers in lower-tier cities
1.2 Store Expansion Progress
Time Node Number of FCC Stores Remarks
H1 2025 529 Already profitable
Expected by end of 2025 Over 700 Sustained rapid expansion

As of June 30, 2025, the total number of HLA’s full-brand stores has reached

7,209
, including 2,099 directly-operated stores and 5,110 franchise and other stores [2].


II. Revenue Contribution and Growth Trend
2.1 Business Scale and Forecast

According to institutional forecast data, the revenue contribution of the Adidas FCC project is as follows [3]:

Indicator 2024 2025 (E) 2026 (E)
Operating Revenue (RMB 100 million) 3.33 12.86 21.13
YoY Growth Rate - 286.8% 64.2%
Number of Stores 480 830 1,030
Store Efficiency (RMB 10,000/year) 69.3 155.0 205.1
Net Profit (RMB 100 million) 0.008 0.82 2.14
Net Profit Margin 0.2% 6.3% 10.1%

Key Observations:

  • The FCC business is expected to achieve revenue of
    RMB 1.286 billion
    in 2025, accounting for
    5.3%
    of HLA’s full-year revenue forecast (RMB 24.13 billion)
  • The business is in a rapid growth phase, with store efficiency increasing from RMB 693,000 per year in 2024 to the forecasted RMB 1.55 million per year in 2025
  • The net profit margin has increased from 0.2% to 6.3%, with profitability continuously improving
2.2 Overall Performance of Non-Apparel Categories

HLA’s “Other Brands” business segment has performed impressively, achieving revenue of

RMB 1.5 billion
in H1 2025, with a year-on-year growth of
65.57%
[2], which is significantly higher than the company’s overall growth rate. This segment includes:

  • Adidas FCC business
  • Austrian sports brand HEAD
  • JD Outlets business

In the first three quarters of 2025, the Other Brands business achieved operating revenue of

RMB 2.413 billion
, with a year-on-year growth of
37.19%
, becoming an important engine for the group’s growth [4].


III. Analysis of Revenue Proportion of Non-Apparel Categories
3.1 Current Revenue Structure (H1 2025)
Business Segment Revenue (RMB 100 million) Proportion YoY Growth Rate
HLA Series (Core Brand) 83.95 74.7% -5.86%
HLA Group Customization 13.43 11.9% +23.70%
Other Brands 15.00 13.3% +65.57%
Total
115.66
100%
+1.73%
3.2 Definition and Boundary of Non-Apparel Categories

It should be noted that HLA’s concept of “non-apparel categories” is divided into

broad and narrow definitions
:

Narrowly Defined Non-Apparel Categories (Genuine Non-Apparel Businesses):

  • JD Outlets business (covering multiple categories such as sports, light luxury, and beauty)
  • Jiangyin HLA Water Beverage Co., Ltd. established in 2023 (cross-industry attempt)
  • Other non-apparel businesses

Broadly Defined Non-Apparel Categories (Including Extended Categories such as Sportswear):

  • Adidas FCC business (sportswear)
  • HEAD brand (sportswear)
  • Extended self-owned brands such as OVV Women’s Wear, Black Whale Men’s Wear, and Yeehoo Children’s Wear
3.3 Structural Change Trends
Business Segment 2024 Revenue Contribution 2025 Estimated Contribution Trend
Core Brand RMB 15.069 billion (72.5%) RMB 15.92 billion (66.0%) Proportion Declining
Adidas FCC RMB 333 million (1.6%) RMB 1.286 billion (5.3%) Significant Increase
JD Outlets Online RMB 1.05 billion (5.1%) RMB 1.208 billion (5.0%) Stable
JD Outlets Offline RMB 15 million (0.1%) RMB 1.062 billion (4.4%) Rapid Expansion
Growth Brands RMB 1.458 billion (7.0%) RMB 1.543 billion (6.4%) Basically Stable
HLA Group Customization RMB 2.081 billion (10.0%) RMB 2.191 billion (9.1%) Stable
Other RMB 1.018 billion (4.9%) RMB 916 million (3.8%) Slight Decline

Core Conclusions:

  • The proportion of the traditional core brand (men’s wear) has decreased from 72.5% to 66.0%, a drop of 6.5 percentage points
  • The combined proportion of new businesses (Adidas FCC + JD Outlets Online + Offline) has increased from 6.8% to 14.7%, an increase of 7.9 percentage points
  • The revenue proportion of non-traditional apparel categories (including sports brand agency) shows a clear upward trend

IV. Business Effectiveness Evaluation
4.1 Strategic Synergy Value

Value to HLA:

  1. Category Breakthrough

    • Enter the sportswear track, filling the gap in the product matrix
    • Leverage Adidas’ brand momentum to enhance brand vitality
    • The sports and outdoor track has high prosperity, which is in line with consumption trends
  2. Channel Reuse

    • Utilize HLA’s channel network in the sinking market (over 7,000 stores)
    • FCC stores form a synergistic effect with existing stores
    • Reduce the cost of developing new channels
  3. Model Verification

    • Provide an experience template for subsequent cooperation with international brands
    • Demonstrate the company’s capabilities in brand operation and channel management

Value to Adidas:

  1. Channel Sinking

    • Reach consumers in fourth- and fifth-tier cities through HLA’s network
    • Increase market share and expand incremental markets
  2. Cost Control

    • Adopt an asset-light model to reduce capital expenditure for channel expansion
4.2 Effectiveness Evaluation
Evaluation Dimension Performance Rating
Revenue Contribution Expected to contribute RMB 1.286 billion in 2025, accounting for 5.3% ★★★☆☆
Growth Performance Expected to grow 286.8% YoY in 2025 ★★★★★
Profitability Improvement Net profit margin increased from 0.2% to 6.3% ★★★★☆
Store Expansion From 529 to over 700 stores, rapid expansion speed ★★★★★
Strategic Synergy Forms complementarity with the core brand ★★★★☆
Risk Control 55% holding in Sibozi, risks are controllable ★★★★☆
4.3 Challenges Faced
  1. Limited Scale Proportion

    • Even if the Adidas FCC business reaches RMB 1.286 billion in 2025, its proportion in total revenue is only 5.3%
    • The core brand still contributes 66% of the revenue, and the label of “Men’s Wardrobe” is difficult to change in the short term
  2. Profitability Needs Improvement

    • The net profit margin of the FCC business is 6.3%, lower than the core brand’s expected 10.9%
    • The new business has high initial promotion costs, and profitability requires time to cultivate
  3. Brand Dependence Risk

    • As an agency business, it relies on the Adidas brand
    • If Adidas adjusts its China region strategy, it may affect business stability
  4. Inventory Management Pressure

    • HLA’s overall inventory turnover days are as high as 323 days
    • The consolidation of the new business may increase the complexity of inventory management
  5. Intensified Market Competition

    • The sportswear track is highly competitive, and it needs to compete with brands such as Anta and Li Ning
    • The consumption capacity of the sinking market is limited, and price sensitivity is high

V. Investment Value and Risk Warnings
5.1 Core Views

HLA’s agency of Adidas FCC business can effectively increase the revenue proportion of non-apparel categories, but the increase is limited. The main conclusions are as follows:

  1. Significant Contribution
    : The combined expected revenue contribution of new businesses (Adidas FCC + JD Outlets) in 2025 is approximately
    RMB 3.56 billion
    , accounting for
    14.7%
    of the full-year revenue forecast, an increase of about 8 percentage points compared to 2024
  2. But Caution is Needed in Defining Non-Apparel Categories
    : If strictly defined as “non-apparel” (excluding sportswear agency), the proportion of genuine non-apparel categories is extremely low; if including sportswear agency, the proportion can reach about 15%
  3. Transformation is Still in Progress
    : The core brand still contributes 66% of the revenue. The diversification strategy has initially shown results but has not fundamentally changed the company’s business structure
5.2 Development Forecast

Optimistic Scenario (2026):

  • Number of Adidas FCC stores reaches 1,030
  • Revenue contribution reaches RMB 2.113 billion
  • Proportion of total revenue increases to 7.5%
  • Net profit margin increases to 10.1%

Neutral Scenario (2026):

  • Number of Adidas FCC stores reaches 900
  • Revenue contribution reaches RMB 1.8 billion
  • Proportion of total revenue increases to 6.5%
  • Net profit margin increases to 8%

Conservative Scenario (2026):

  • Expansion of Adidas FCC stores falls short of expectations
  • Revenue contribution reaches RMB 1.5 billion
  • Proportion of total revenue is about 5.5%
  • Net profit margin remains at around 6%
5.3 Risk Warnings
  1. Macroeconomic Risk
    : Consumption recovery falls short of expectations, affecting sportswear sales
  2. Business Expansion Risk
    : FCC store expansion speed falls short of expectations
  3. Brand Cooperation Risk
    : Adidas adjusts its China region channel strategy
  4. Inventory Management Risk
    : High inventory turnover days, inventory impairment pressure
  5. Industry Competition Risk
    : Intensified competition in the sportswear track

VI. Conclusion

HLA’s agency of Adidas FCC business

can effectively increase the revenue proportion of non-apparel categories
, but due to limitations in business scale and profitability, it is difficult to fundamentally change the company’s business structure dominated by men’s wear in the short term. The specific conclusions are as follows:

  1. Quantitative Evaluation
    : The new businesses (Adidas FCC + JD Outlets) are expected to contribute RMB 3.56 billion in revenue in 2025, accounting for 14.7% of total revenue, an increase of about 8 percentage points compared to 2024, indicating that the diversification strategy is producing actual results
  2. Qualitative Evaluation
    : Through cooperation with an international brand, HLA has successfully entered the sportswear track, enriched its product matrix, enhanced brand vitality, and laid a foundation for subsequent international development
  3. Investment Recommendation
    : In view of the high-speed growth of the new business and continuous improvement in profitability,
    we maintain a “Buy” rating
    with a target price of RMB 8.56 per share. However, investors need to pay attention to changes in the consumption environment and the progress of new business expansion

References

[1] Weikehao - Interpretation of HLA’s 2025 Half-Year Report: Running at “Acceleration” in a Weak Market (https://mp.ofweek.com/finance/a456714576597)
[2] Nandu Bay Finance - “Men’s Wardrobe” HLA Achieves RMB 11.5 Billion in H1 Revenue, Overseas Business Grows Rapidly (https://m.mp.oeeee.com/a/BAAFRD0000202508291118616.html)
[3] Dongfang Fortune Securities Research Report - In-Depth Report on HLA: Leading Position in Men’s Wear Remains Stable (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202501241642530455_1.pdf)
[4] Efu.com - Behind HLA’s Countertrend Growth: What Business Secrets Are Hidden in Its 2025 Q3 Financial Report? (https://m.ef360.com/news/391262.html)
[5] 36Kr - HLA Begins to Build Its Own Ecosystem (https://www.36kr.com/p/3624935467549961)
[6] Ebrun - HLA’s Weekly Trends: Co-Building a Sports Ecosystem with Adidas and Seeking Growth Through Hong Kong IPO (https://www.ebrun.com/20260109/636135.shtml)
[7] DoNews Column - HLA No Longer Wants to Only Do “Straight Male Business” (https://www.donews.com/article/detail/7489/95470.html)
[8] Jiemian News - HLA Crosses into “Selling Water”? Zhou Lichen Doesn’t Want to Be Trapped in “Dad Vibe” (https://www.jiemian.com/article/13746259.html)
[9] Soochow Securities - Review of HLA (600398) 2025 Half-Year Report (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202509011737672692_1.pdf)
[10] Securities Times Network - HLA Achieves Over RMB 11.5 Billion in H1 Operating Revenue, Multi-Brand Matrix Builds Ecological Barriers (https://stcn.com/article/detail/3281486.html)

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