Evaluation of A-share Price Spread and Valuation Impact of JoulWatt Technology's Secondary Listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange
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Based on collected data and information, I have conducted a systematic analysis of the A-share price spread and valuation impact of JoulWatt Technology’s secondary listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for you.
According to public information, the company appointed CLSA as sponsor and overall coordinator on June 12, 2025, and additionally appointed five institutions including CMB International, ICBC International, Yellow River Securities, GF Securities, and Guozheng International as overall coordinators [1]. This marks the substantial advancement stage of the company’s A+H share listing layout.
The Hang Seng CSI HK Stock Connect AH Share Premium Index is the core indicator measuring the degree of A-share premium relative to H-shares. Based on historical data analysis [2][3]:
| Time Period | AH Premium Index Characteristics |
|---|---|
| 2007 Peak | Approximately 200 points (A-shares at over 100% premium) |
| 2014-2018 | Oscillated between 120-140 points |
| 2020-2022 | Fluctuated between 130-150 points |
| 2025 to Date | Broke below 130 points, lowest at 121.58 points |
| Factor Category | Details | Impact on Price Spread |
|---|---|---|
Capital Flow Restrictions |
No cross-market share selling via CSI HK Stock Connect | Maintains the existence of price spread |
Market System Differences |
A-shares follow T+1 trading with price limits; H-shares follow T+0 trading without price limits | H-shares have better liquidity |
Investor Structure |
A-shares are retail-dominated; H-shares have a higher proportion of institutional investors | Affects valuation pricing |
Exchange Rate Factors |
Fluctuations in HKD to RMB exchange rate | Causes short-term disturbances to the price spread |
Liquidity Differences |
Hong Kong stock market scale is relatively smaller | H-shares may be priced at a discount |
According to research from the People’s Bank of China, the formation mechanism of A+H share price spreads is multi-dimensional [4], mainly stemming from:
- Lack of arbitrage mechanisms due to market segmentation
- Differences in investor protection and information costs
- Differences in risk premiums and market liquidity
SMIC is a typical case of A+H share listing in the semiconductor industry, providing important reference value for JoulWatt Technology [5]:
- 2020-2021: AH share premium rate was approximately 20-30%
- Early 2021: Peaked at 42%
- 2025: Rose significantly to 52%
- Industry Specificity:Due to the strategic position of technological self-reliance in the semiconductor industry, A+H shares often enjoy higher premiums
- Capital Flow:Southbound funds have continuously flowed into the Hong Kong semiconductor sector, driving valuation convergence
- Liquidity Impact:After the Hong Kong listing, share liquidity increased, and price discovery efficiency improved
Since 2025, STAR Market semiconductor enterprises have seen a wave of Hong Kong listings [5]:
- SMIC acquired a minority stake in its subsidiary SMIC North (the first case of share issuance for asset purchase by a multi-listed red-chip company on the STAR Market)
- Hua Hong Company released a draft transaction to acquire 97.5% equity interest in Huali Microelectronics
- AMEC acquired 64.69% equity interest in Hangzhou Zhonggui Semiconductor
| Impact Dimension | Expected Performance | Analysis Basis |
|---|---|---|
Spread Convergence |
A-share premium rate may decrease by 5-15% | Reference to listing experience of peer companies |
Liquidity Improvement |
H-share average daily turnover will gradually increase | Participation of southbound funds after inclusion in Stock Connect |
Valuation Re-rating |
Hong Kong share pricing may be lower than A-shares | Current downward trend of the AH Premium Index |
Due to the inability to conduct cross-market selling arbitrage under the CSI HK Stock Connect mechanism [4], the following situations may occur in the initial stage:
- H-share pricing on the first day of listing may be slightly lower than the equivalent A-share price
- The price spread will be approximately 10-20%, in line with the current industry average AH share premium level
-
Increased Pricing Power of Southbound Funds
- The proportion of southbound funds in Hong Kong stock turnover has risen from 18.3% in 2024 to 23.1% in the first half of 2025 [3]
- The semiconductor sector is a key allocation direction for southbound funds
-
Continuous Narrowing of AH Share Premium
- The premium rate is expected to gradually converge from the current industry average of 30-40% to below 20%
- H-shares of new energy leaders such as CATL and BYD have already turned to a premium [2]
-
Re-rating of Liquidity Premium
- After the Hong Kong listing, shares can be traded 24 hours a day
- International investor participation will increase
| Impact Factor | Expected Changes |
|---|---|
| Valuation System | Valuations of the two markets will converge, with the difference narrowing to within 10% |
| Financing Capacity | The Hong Kong listing will broaden financing channels and enhance international influence |
| Shareholder Structure | Attract international institutional investors and optimize the shareholder structure |
| Brand Value | Enhance international reputation and strengthen customer trust |
Based on the latest data [0], the current valuation indicators of JoulWatt Technology are as follows:
| Indicator | Value | Industry Comparison |
|---|---|---|
| Market Capitalization | Approximately RMB 12.32 billion | Mid-sized semiconductor design enterprise |
| P/E (TTM) | -36.86x | Loss-making status |
| P/B | 11.97x | Relatively high, reflecting growth expectations |
| Past 12-month Price Change | +54.37% | Significantly outperforms the industry |
| Scenario | AH Share Premium Assumption | H-share Market Capitalization (RMB billion) | Valuation Impact |
|---|---|---|---|
| Optimistic | 10% Premium | Approximately 11.2 | 10% discount compared to A-shares |
| Neutral | 20% Premium | Approximately 10.3 | 16% discount compared to A-shares |
| Conservative | 30% Premium | Approximately 9.5 | 23% discount compared to A-shares |
With reference to cases such as SMIC (A+H) and Hua Hong Company (A+H):
| Company | Latest AH Share Premium Rate | H-share / A-share Market Capitalization Ratio |
|---|---|---|
| SMIC | Approximately 52% | 0.66 |
| Hua Hong Company | Approximately 35% | 0.74 |
| Industry Average | Approximately 30% | 0.77 |
- Price Spread Inevitable:Restricted by market segmentation and lack of arbitrage mechanisms, the AH share price spread will exist long-term
- Convergence Trend Confirmed:The AH share premium has continued to narrow since 2025, and JoulWatt Technology will follow this trend after listing
- Limited Valuation Impact:The Hong Kong share pricing is expected to be discounted by 15-25% compared to A-shares, but will not exert significant downward pressure on A-shares
- Liquidity Improvement Expected:Overall share liquidity will improve after the Hong Kong listing
| Investor Type | Strategy Recommendation |
|---|---|
A-share Holders |
May consider moderate pre-listing reduction, and buy back shares after the price spread converges |
Hong Kong Share Subscribers |
Focus on the discount range between the offering price and A-shares, and evaluate arbitrage space |
Arbitrage Investors |
Due to restrictions on cross-market arbitrage, attention should be paid to exchange rates and transaction costs |
- Market Sentiment Risk:Valuation fluctuations in the semiconductor industry may affect the Hong Kong share offering price
- Liquidity Risk:Initial Hong Kong share trading may be inactive, affecting price discovery efficiency
- Exchange Rate Risk:HKD-denominated assets are exposed to exchange rate fluctuation risks
- Policy Risk:US-China technological competition may affect semiconductor industry valuations
[0] Jinling API - JoulWatt Technology Real-time Quotes and Company Profile Data
[1] HKEX Announcement - JoulWatt Technology Co., Ltd. Overall Coordinators Appointment Announcement (https://www1.hkexnews.hk/app/sehk/2025/107413/documents/sehk25061200303_c.pdf)
[2] Sohu Finance - Strategic Position and Value of Hong Kong Stocks (https://www.sohu.com/a/972478739_122014422)
[3] Sina Finance - 2026 Hong Kong Stock Market Investment Outlook (https://finance.sina.com.cn/stock/hkstock/2025-12/30/doc-inhesahq6716460.shtml)
[4] People’s Bank of China - Analysis of A-share and H-share Premium: A Macro Perspective (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/yanjiuju/fileDir/resource/cms/2020/05/2020052917163262005.pdf)
[5] Securities Times - Three Semiconductor Leaders Simultaneously Promote Restructuring Transactions (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3572432.html)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
