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Apple Vision Pro Lead Takes Over Siri: Can It Reverse the AI Gap?

#artificial_intelligence #leadership_change #corporate_strategy #tech #apple #siri #vision_pro #competitive_analysis #AI_strategy
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January 15, 2026

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Apple Vision Pro Lead Takes Over Siri: Can It Reverse the AI Gap?

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Apple Vision Pro Lead Takes Over Siri: Can It Reverse the AI Gap?
I. Event Background and Core Changes
1.1 Major Personnel Adjustment

According to the latest reports, Apple carried out an in-depth restructuring of its AI team in 2025.

John Giannandrea, the former head of AI, has officially stepped down from his position as Senior Vice President and plans to retire in spring 2026
[1][2]. This technical expert, who once led the core algorithms of Google Search, chose to take a step back after seven years at Apple.

Mike Rockwell, the leader of the Vision Pro project, has taken over Siri development
and reports directly to Craig Federighi, Senior Vice President of Software Engineering[1][2][3]. This change in reporting hierarchy is significant—AI is no longer an independently operating “silos” but is fully integrated into Apple’s software development system.

1.2 Organizational Restructuring

Apple simultaneously made the following key adjustments:

Adjustment Area Specific Changes
Siri Team
Merged into the Vision Pro and Software teams, placed under unified jurisdiction of Federighi
Robotics Project
Transferred to the hardware division, separated from the AI team
Search and Knowledge Graph
Taken over by Eddy Cue
AI Research Functions
The foundational model and machine learning research teams have been marginalized

Amar Subramanya, a former Google executive, has been appointed as Vice President of AI, succeeding Giannandrea[1].


II. Deep-seated Dilemmas in Apple’s AI Strategy
2.1 Historical Lag

Apple’s position in the AI field has been described as “disastrous” by multiple media outlets. An analyst commented: “Their AI strategy is a disaster. Look at OpenAI, Microsoft, Meta—every other major tech company is pouring resources into the AI race, while Apple is far behind. It’s like an F1 race is happening right now, and Apple and Cook are just sitting on the sidelines drinking cappuccinos.”[2]

Core Data Comparison
:

Company Estimated AI Investment (2024-2025) Key Achievements
Microsoft Over $100 billion Full integration of Copilot, deep partnership with OpenAI
Meta Approximately $60 billion Llama open-source ecosystem, Reality Lab transformation
Google Approximately $75 billion Leading multimodal Gemini, surging AI orders for cloud business
Apple Approximately $20 billion Delayed Apple Intelligence, limited Siri functionality
2.2 Structural Contradictions

Apple’s dilemma in the AI field stems from three structural contradictions:

  1. Conflict between Privacy Philosophy and Technical Route

    • Apple adheres to an on-device AI route where “user data never leaves the device”
    • There is an order-of-magnitude gap in the parameter carrying capacity of large models compared to cloud deployment
    • Technically, it is difficult to meet Apple’s internal strict standards[2]
  2. Confidentiality Culture Contradicts AI Research Needs

    • Giannandrea continued Google’s style, encouraging researchers to publish their findings
    • However, Apple has always been closed and confidential, leading to fierce clashes between the two cultures
    • Researchers’ enthusiasm has been dampened, and team cohesion has declined[2]
  3. Severe Underinvestment in Resources

    • Giannandrea once requested funds to purchase NVIDIA GPUs for computing power, but the final amount was cut in half
    • Apple is willing to spend $700 billion on share repurchases to maintain its stock price
    • Yet it remains extremely conservative in investing in AI infrastructure[2]
2.3 Team Morale Crisis

2025 has become the year of “mass exodus” for Apple’s AI team:

Time Departing Executive Destination
August 2025 Pang Ruoming, Head of AI Foundational Models Meta
September 2025 Robbie Walker, Head of Siri and Search (Unreported)
October 2025 Yang Ke, Head of AI-driven Web Search Meta
December 2025 Alan Dye, Vice President of Human-Interaction Design Meta
December 2025 John Giannandrea Retirement

These departures mark that Apple’s AI team has been “dismantled and rebuilt”[2].


III. Strategic Shift: From In-house Development to Open Cooperation
3.1 Introduction of External Partners

After Rockwell took over Siri, he immediately launched an evaluation of multiple technical routes, covering Apple’s in-house models as well as third-party solutions such as Claude, ChatGPT, and Google Gemini[2]. Apple has confirmed partnerships with the following external partners:

Partner Cooperation Content Positioning
OpenAI
Integration of ChatGPT into Siri and Apple Intelligence Handle complex queries requiring extensive knowledge background[3]
Google
Gemini model and cloud technology Build Apple’s next-generation foundational model, replacing the in-house development route[2][3]

Apple stated that it has not adjusted its agreement with OpenAI, but the introduction of Google Gemini will clearly reshape Apple’s AI technology stack[3].

3.2 2026 Product Roadmap

Apple plans to launch a major upgrade in the iOS system update in early 2026:

  • All-new Siri
    : Rebuilt based on large language models (LLMs), with the ability to call on-device foundational models
  • App Intents
    : Execute complex multi-step tasks
  • Private Cloud Computing Integration
    : Call external models (such as Gemini) to handle web search tasks when they cannot be completed on-device[1]

However, this timeline has been significantly delayed compared to the original plan. Apple Intelligence was originally scheduled to launch with iOS 18, but was only reluctantly rolled out with iOS 18.1; in March 2025, Siri’s new features were again postponed to 2026, with reports stating that Apple internally described the delay as “ugly” and “embarrassing”[2].


IV. Challenges and Opportunities for Mike Rockwell
4.1 Rockwell’s Unique Advantages

As the head of Vision Pro, Rockwell has the following traits that may help turn the tide:

  1. Productization Experience
    : Successfully brought Vision Pro from concept to market, demonstrating the ability to integrate complex hardware and software
  2. Cross-departmental Coordination
    : The Vision Pro project involves numerous technology stacks, cultivating Rockwell’s cross-domain leadership
  3. User Experience Orientation
    : Vision Pro emphasizes immersive interaction, which is highly aligned with the goals of AI assistants (contextual understanding, proactive service)
4.2 Key Challenges

However, Rockwell has inherited a hot potato:

Challenge Dimension Specific Issues
Technical Debt
Siri’s underlying architecture is outdated; integration with modern LLMs requires a complete overhaul
Team Reconstruction
Severe loss of core researchers requires re-recruitment and integration
Competitive Window
OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft have already established significant first-mover advantages
User Expectations
The user disappointment accumulated over 15 years of Siri requires time to repair
Privacy Constraints
Apple’s privacy commitments limit the choice of technical routes
4.3 Potential Breakthroughs

Analysts believe that Rockwell may adopt the following strategies:

  1. Focus on Differentiated Scenarios
    : Leverage Apple’s hardware ecosystem advantages to seek breakthroughs in on-device AI experiences
  2. Rapid Integration of External Capabilities
    : Use Google Gemini and OpenAI to narrow the gap with competitors
  3. Redefine Product Value
    : Reposition Siri from a “voice assistant” to a “personal intelligent hub”

V. Apple’s Current Market Performance and Valuation
5.1 Stock Price Performance

As of the close on January 14, 2026, Apple’s stock price was

$257.29
, with a market capitalization of approximately
$3.80 trillion
[0].

Time Horizon Performance
1 Day -1.44%
5 Days -0.69%
1 Month -7.54%
3 Months +3.84%
6 Months +23.33%
1 Year +10.29%

Apple’s stock price has fallen 5.06% year-to-date, underperforming the Nasdaq Index over the same period (down approximately 0.29% in the past 5 days)[0][4].

5.2 Financial Health
Core Metric Value Industry Comparison
Price-to-Earnings (P/E) 34.35x Tech industry average is approximately 28x
Price-to-Book (P/B) 52.18x Relatively high
Net Profit Margin 26.92% Excellent
Operating Profit Margin 31.97% Excellent
Return on Equity (ROE) 1.64% Relatively low (due to large cash reserves)
5.3 Analyst Consensus

Overall Rating: Buy

Rating Category Number Percentage
Strong Buy 1 0.9%
Buy 67 61.5%
Hold 34 31.2%
Sell 7 6.4%

Target Price
: The average target price is $312.50, representing a
+21.5%
upside from the current stock price; the target range is $220-$350[0].

Recent Institutional Actions
:

  • January 13, 2026: Wedbush maintains “Outperform” rating
  • January 12, 2026: Wedbush maintains “Outperform” rating
  • December 17, 2025: Morgan Stanley maintains “Overweight” rating
  • December 9, 2025: Citigroup maintains “Buy” rating

VI. Conclusions and Outlook
6.1 Can It Reverse the AI Gap?

Short-term Outlook (2026)
: After Rockwell takes over Siri, Apple is expected to leverage the capabilities of Google Gemini and OpenAI to launch a significantly enhanced Siri in 2026. However, due to R&D cycles and integration complexity, it will be difficult to reverse the gap with OpenAI and Google in the short term. It will take 2-3 years for Apple to restore its brand perception in the AI field.

Medium-term Outlook (2027-2028)
: If Rockwell successfully integrates external AI capabilities and finds a differentiated path for on-device AI, Apple may establish a unique advantage in on-device AI experiences. Apple’s privacy protection commitment may become a differentiated selling point, attracting user groups sensitive to data security.

Long-term Outlook (After 2028)
: Apple’s success or failure in the AI field will depend on the following key factors:

  1. Whether it can achieve breakthroughs in in-house AI capabilities
  2. Whether it can deeply integrate AI capabilities into core products such as the iPhone, iPad, and Vision Pro
  3. Whether it can provide leading AI experiences while maintaining privacy commitments
6.2 Implications for Investors
Focus Area Recommendation
Investment Rating
Maintain the “Buy” consensus, but be patient with AI progress
Risk Warning
AI progress falling short of expectations may become a valuation-suppressing factor
Key Watchpoint
Earnings conference call on January 29, 2026 (FY2026 Q1)
Core Logic
Apple’s hardware ecosystem + service revenue remain resilient; AI is only a long-term catalyst

Analysts generally believe that Apple’s AI dilemma will not have a substantive impact on its core businesses (iPhone, services) in the short term, but in the long run, if Apple cannot maintain competitiveness in the AI era, the differentiated advantages of its hardware products will gradually weaken.


References

[1] Sina Tech - “Report: Apple Restructures and Expands AI Team, Focuses on Launching All-New Siri Experience for iPhone 17 and Other Devices” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/digi/2025-12-24/doc-inhcwafv4707878.shtml)

[2] Phoenix Net Tech - “Cook’s Retirement Imminent, Apple Enters the Eve of a ‘Nokia Moment’” (https://tech.ifeng.com/c/8puRVLENyl1)

[3] Yahoo Finance - “Siri Leadership Change? Apple’s AI Strategy U-turns to Partner with Google Gemini” (https://hk.finance.yahoo.com/news/siri背後換人-蘋果ai策略大轉彎找上google-gemini-173004947.html)

[4] Jinling AI - Market Data API [0]

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