Comprehensive Analysis of the Impact of Monetary Policy on January 15, 2026
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Based on the latest search results, I will systematically analyze the monetary policy-related events and market impacts on January 15, 2026.
On January 15, 2026, the People’s Bank of China conducted a
| Item | Data |
|---|---|
| Operation Scale | 900 billion yuan |
| Term | 6 months (181 days) |
| Net Injection | 300 billion yuan (600 billion yuan of 6-month reverse repos matured this month) |
| Operation Frequency | 8th consecutive month of injecting liquidity via outright reverse repos |
| Increase Magnitude | 100 billion yuan increase from last month |
- Optimized Liquidity Environment: This operation will create a suitable liquidity environment for early-year government bond issuance, credit “strong start” and other activities [1]
- Policy Continuity: This reflects the intention of the 2026 monetary policy to maintain the “moderately loose” stance and keep liquidity reasonably ample [2]
- Multiple Factor Considerations: January is a peak month for bank credit extension and enterprise tax payments, combined with cash withdrawal demand before the Spring Festival, leading to increased market liquidity demand
- Time: 3:00 PM, Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Issuing Organization: State Council Information Office
- Speakers:
- Zou Lan, Spokesperson and Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China
- Li Bin, Spokesperson and Deputy Administrator of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange
- Theme: Results of Monetary and Financial Policies Supporting the High-Quality Development of the Real Economy [3][4]
- Introduce the results of monetary and financial policies supporting the real economy
- Answer reporters’ questions regarding the direction of monetary policy, foreign exchange policy, financial market development, etc.
- May cover the key focuses and direction of 2026 monetary policy regulation
- Unlock Date: January 15, 2026
- Unlock Quantity: Approximately 52.872 million shares
- Proportion of Total Share Capital: 37.64%
- Share Type: Restricted Shares [5]
- A large proportion of restricted share unlocking may exert short-term pressure on the stock price
- Investors need to pay attention to the share reduction willingness of unlocking shareholders
- Combined with liquidity injection policies, it can partially offset the selling pressure brought by share unlocking
- Share Repurchase Progress: As of December 31, 2025, a total of 9.3199 million shares have been repurchased, accounting for 0.05% of total share capital, with a repurchase amount of 247.0756 million yuan
- Stock Option Exercise Results: 12,000 stock options for 2025 have been exercised, with a cumulative exercise of 811,750 shares, accounting for 86.20% of the total granted options
- Dividend Implementation: 2025 annual equity distribution: 0.33 yuan (including tax) per 10 shares, with the equity distribution record date being January 15, 2026 [6]
- Dividend Plan: Based on the total share capital of 120 million shares, distribute a cash dividend of 5 yuan (including tax) per 10 shares to all shareholders
- Record Date: January 15, 2026
- Ex-Date: January 16, 2026 [7]
- Jiamei Packaging: Involved in related progress such as share repurchase, private placement, and dividend registration
- China Merchants Bank: 2025 semi-annual cash dividend of 1.013 yuan (including tax) per share
- The central bank’s 900 billion yuan outright reverse repo operation injects 300 billion yuan of medium-term liquidity into the market
- Cooperating with tools such as MLF (Medium-term Lending Facility), continue to maintain reasonably ample market liquidity
- Helps meet the funding demand brought by government bond issuance and credit “strong start”
- Positive Factors: Liquidity injection provides capital support for the stock market
- Potential Pressure: Restricted share unlocking (such as the 37.64% share unlocking of Huitong Technology) may bring selling pressure
- Dividend Effect: The dividend record dates of multiple companies (Foxconn Industrial Internet, Huayan Precision Machinery, etc.) may trigger a rights-chasing rally
- The Ministry of Finance held a national video conference on advancing the package of policies for coordinated fiscal and financial measures to expand domestic demand
- The policy of personal income tax refund for home replacement has been extended to the end of 2027, continuing to support the real estate market
- The pricing logic of the bond market may return to a combination of fundamental changes and the necessity of strengthening “loose monetary policy”
- Monetary policy maintains a supportive stance
- Coordinated fiscal and financial policies to expand domestic demand continue to advance
- It is expected that long-term liquidity will be provided in 2026 via reserve requirement ratio cuts and government bond transactions
| Focus Areas | Strategy Recommendations |
|---|---|
Liquidity-Sensitive Sectors |
Focus on financial and cyclical sectors that benefit from loose liquidity |
Dividend Yield Targets |
Focus on high-quality enterprises about to distribute dividends (Foxconn Industrial Internet, Huayan Precision Machinery, etc.) |
Restricted Share Unlocking Risk |
Avoid individual stocks with a high unlocking proportion and strong share reduction willingness from shareholders |
Policy Dividend Sectors |
Focus on industries benefiting from real economy support policies (technology, manufacturing, etc.) |
[1] Shanghai Securities News - PBOC Conducts 900 Billion Yuan Outright Reverse Repo Operation to Create a Suitable Liquidity Environment for Government Bond Issuance (https://paper.cnstock.com/html/2026-01/15/content_2170385.htm)
[2] People’s Daily Online - PBOC Conducts 900 Billion Yuan Outright Reverse Repo Operation on January 15 (http://finance.people.com.cn/n1/2026/0115/c1004-40645941.html)
[3] CLS Bond Market Morning Briefing, January 15 - State Council Information Office Holds Press Conference Today to Introduce Results of Monetary and Financial Policies Supporting High-Quality Development of the Real Economy (https://www.cls.cn/detail/2258234)
[4] Eastmoney - Preview: State Council Information Office to Hold Press Conference on January 15 on Results of Monetary and Financial Policies Supporting High-Quality Development of the Real Economy (https://wap.eastmoney.com/a/202601143618889636.html)
[5] National Business Daily - Huitong Technology: Approximately 52.872 Million Restricted Shares to Be Unlocked on January 15 (https://www.nbd.com.cn/articles/2026-01-12/4216570.html)
[6] Stockstar - Weekly Stock Review: Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138) Repurchase Progress, Exercise Results and Dividend Implementation (https://stock.stockstar.com/RB2026011100000043.shtml)
[7] Jin10 Finance - Huayan Precision Machinery: Distributes Cash Dividend of 5 Yuan per 10 Shares (https://xnews.jin10.com/details/206333)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
