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Comprehensive Interpretation of the January 15, 2026 Monetary Policy Press Conference and Multiple Financial Market Events

#monetary_policy #liquidity_operations #reverse_repurchase #stock_repurchase #restricted_share_unlocking #dividend #a_shares #pboc #market_stability
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January 15, 2026

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Comprehensive Interpretation of the January 15, 2026 Monetary Policy Press Conference and Multiple Financial Market Events

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Comprehensive Interpretation of the January 15, 2026 Monetary Policy Press Conference and Multiple Financial Market Events
I. Overview of Core Events

January 15, 2026 marked a key juncture for China’s financial market, where multiple major events converged. The State Council Information Office (SCIO) held a press conference at 3:00 PM on the same day, with Zou Lan, Deputy Governor of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), and Li Bin, Deputy Administrator of the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE), in attendance to introduce the outcomes of monetary and financial policies supporting the high-quality development of the real economy [1]. On the same day, the PBOC launched large-scale liquidity injection operations, while events such as restricted share unlocking, listed companies’ share repurchases and holdings increases, and dividend registration proceeded simultaneously, forming a pattern of overlapping multi-dimensional market impact factors.


II. In-Depth Interpretation of the Monetary Policy Press Conference
2.1 Basic Information of the Press Conference
Item Details
Time
3:00 PM, Thursday, January 15, 2026
Host Organization
State Council Information Office (SCIO)
Speakers
Zou Lan, Deputy Governor of PBOC; Li Bin, Deputy Administrator of SAFE
Theme
Outcomes of Monetary and Financial Policies Supporting High-Quality Development of the Real Economy

This press conference served as an important policy communication window for the PBOC at the start of 2026, with the market paying close attention to the monetary policy orientation, liquidity arrangements, and support measures for the real economy [2].

2.2 Monetary Policy Maintains the “Moderately Loose” Tone

Based on previous policy signals and expert analysis, the 2026 monetary policy will continue to implement the “moderately loose” tone. The core implications of this policy orientation include:

  1. Liquidity Guarantee Mechanism
    : Comprehensively use policy tools such as outright reverse repos and Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) to ensure reasonably sufficient market liquidity [3]
  2. Focus of Structural Support
    : Focus on the “Five Key Areas” - technology finance, green finance, inclusive finance, pension finance, and digital finance, and increase support for key sectors and weak links
  3. Interest Rate Policy Orientation
    : Guide further declines in financing costs for the real economy, reducing the financial burden on enterprises, especially small and micro-enterprises
2.3 Expert Interpretation: Policy Continuity and Forward-Looking

Wang Qing, Chief Macro Analyst at Dongfang Jincheng, pointed out that multiple factors need attention in January 2026 [4]:

  • Government Bond Issuance
    : The 2026 new local government debt quota has been issued in advance, and a large-scale government bond issuance will launch in January
  • Continuation of Policy-Based Financial Tools
    : The RMB 500 billion new policy-based financial tool launched in October 2025 will continue to drive supporting loan disbursements
  • “Strong Start” Effect
    : Bank credit disbursements increase seasonally at the beginning of the year, requiring liquidity support to stabilize the funding market

III. Analysis of PBOC Liquidity Operations
3.1 Outright Reverse Repo Operation

Operation Details
[5]:

Operation Item Value/Details
Operation Scale
RMB 900 billion
Operation Method
Fixed quantity, interest rate bidding, multi-price winning bids
Tenor
6 months (181 days)
Operation Date
January 15, 2026

Analysis of Overlapping Effects
:

On January 8, the PBOC had already conducted a RMB 1.1 trillion 3-month outright reverse repo operation. Overall [6]:

  • The January 3-month outright reverse repo was rolled over in equal amount (RMB 1.1 trillion matured, RMB 1.1 trillion rolled over)
  • The January 6-month outright reverse repo was rolled over with an increased scale of RMB 300 billion (RMB 600 billion matured, RMB 900 billion rolled over)
  • A total of RMB 300 billion was added in the rollover of the two operations
    , marking the 8th consecutive month that the PBOC injected medium-term liquidity into the market via outright reverse repos
3.2 Coordination with Short-Term Reverse Repos

According to China News Service, the PBOC simultaneously conducted a RMB 179.3 billion 7-day reverse repo operation on January 15 [7], using a fixed-interest rate and quantity bidding method to further improve the term structure of liquidity management.

3.3 Interpretation of Operation Intent
Dimension Policy Implication
Quantitative Tools
Continuous intensification, conveying the PBOC’s supportive monetary policy stance
Tenor Matching
7-day + 3-month + 6-month, constructing a multi-level liquidity management system
Timing
Addressing funding demands such as early-year government bond issuance and the “strong start” of credit disbursements
Market Signal
Stabilizing market expectations and enhancing the lending capacity of financial institutions

IV. Market Impact of Restricted Share Unlocking
4.1 Overview of Restricted Share Unlocking

Based on market data, 9 companies had restricted share unlocking on January 15 [8]:

Indicator Value
Total Unlocked Shares
304 million shares
Market Value of Unlocked Shares
RMB 15.476 billion
Number of Companies
9
4.2 Analysis of Key Company: Soco Technologies (Zhongke Lanxun)

Company Background
:

  • Listing Status: Listed on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market)
  • Unlock Type: Initial Public Offering (IPO) restricted shares
  • Unlocked Quantity: 76,283,849 shares
  • Proportion of Total Share Capital: 63.25%
  • Unlock Date: January 15, 2026

Shareholder Structure and Lock-Up Commitments
[9]:

Shareholder Name Number of Restricted Shares Held Proportion
Huang Zhiqiang (Controlling Shareholder & Actual Controller) 31,643,214 26.24%
Zhuhai Soco Technologies Management Consulting Partnership 15,068,197 12.49%
Zhuhai Soco Technologies Partnership 15,068,197 12.49%
Shenzhen Chuangyuan Shiji Investment Partnership 13,561,377 11.25%
Zhuhai Soco Technologies Information Technology Partnership 942,864 0.78%

Voluntary Lock-Up Commitment
: The company’s controlling shareholder and multiple shareholders holding more than 5% of the shares voluntarily committed that they will not transfer or reduce their holdings in any way within 12 months after the restricted share period expires (i.e., from January 15, 2026 to January 14, 2027) [10].

4.3 Other Key Companies with Restricted Share Unlocking
Company Unlocked Quantity (10,000 Shares) Market Value of Unlocked Shares (RMB 100 Million) Features
Hanma Technology 14,000 - Largest unlocked quantity
Huitong Technology 5,287.2 15.29 -
Sikan Technology - 13.44 -

V. Dynamics of Share Repurchases and Holdings Increases by Listed Companies
5.1 Progress of Share Repurchases and Holdings Increases on the SSE

At the start of 2026, SSE-listed companies intensively released announcements on the progress of share repurchases and holdings increases [11]:

Indicator Value
Number of Companies Disclosing
105
Repurchase-Related Announcements
98
Holding Increase-Related Announcements
7
Upper Limit of Repurchases on the Main Board
Over RMB 27.8 billion
Upper Limit of Holdings Increases
Over RMB 4 billion

Performance of SSE 50 Index Constituents
:
7 SSE 50 Index constituent companies, including Kweichow Moutai, Haier Smart Home, Sany Heavy Industry, Hengrui Medicine, COSCO Shipping Holdings, NARI Technology, and China National Nuclear Power, disclosed repurchase progress with cumulative implemented repurchase amounts exceeding RMB 4.8 billion.

5.2 Repurchase Cases of Leading Companies
Company Key Points of Repurchase Plan Progress
Kweichow Moutai
Repurchase RMB 1.5-3 billion for share cancellation and capital reduction As of December 31, the first repurchase exceeded 87,000 shares, with a payment of RMB 120 million
COSCO Shipping Holdings
Repurchase RMB 749 million - 1.498 billion (within 3 months) Cumulative repurchase of 55.11 million shares, with a payment of RMB 825 million
Haier Smart Home
- Cumulative repurchase amount of RMB 1.08 billion
Sany Heavy Industry
- Cumulative repurchase amount of RMB 1.36 billion
5.3 Status of Share Repurchases and Holdings Increases on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (SZSE)

SZSE-listed companies also showed active performance [12]:

  • 2025 Data
    : A total of 424 share repurchase and holding increase plans were disclosed by SZSE-listed companies
    • 288 repurchase plans with an upper limit of RMB 82.725 billion
    • 136 holding increase plans with an upper limit of RMB 31.521 billion
  • Special Loans
    : 383 companies and their major shareholders obtained commitment letters for special loans for share repurchases and holdings increases, with a total loan quota of RMB 82.981 billion

Dynamics of Leading Companies
[13]:

Company Repurchase Progress
Midea Group
Cumulative repurchase exceeding RMB 10 billion
CATL
Repurchase RMB 4-8 billion, cumulative completion of RMB 4.386 billion
Lens Technology
Cumulative repurchase of 7.4096 million shares, amounting to RMB 215 million
Mindray Medical
Chairman Li Xiting increased holdings by RMB 200 million
5.4 Market Effects of Share Repurchases and Holdings Increases

Market analysts pointed out [14]:

  • Intensive share repurchases by listed companies and holdings increases by major shareholders express confidence in their long-term development prospects
  • Reflect recognition of value at the current valuation level
  • The Wind Share Repurchase Index rose 31.31% for the full year since 2025, hitting a record high
  • Share repurchases and holdings increases will remain a core tool for listed companies’ market value management in 2026

VI. Market Impact of Dividend Registration
6.1 2025 Dividends Hit a Record High

Chen Huaping, Vice Chairman of the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC), stated on January 11 [15]:

  • A-listed companies distributed RMB 2.55 trillion in cash dividends in 2025
  • Hit a new record high
  • Twice the scale of IPOs and refinancing during the same period
6.2 Key Companies with January 15 as the Dividend Registration Date
Company Dividend Plan Record Date Ex-Date Payment Date
China Merchants Bank
RMB 1.013 per share (including tax) January 15 January 16 January 16
Foxconn Industrial Internet
RMB 0.33 per share (including tax), totaling RMB 6.55 billion January 15 January 16 January 16
Hunan Forsun Pharmaceutical
Special dividend of RMB 0.15 per share (including tax) January 15 January 16 -
Foshan Gas Group
RMB 2.5 per 10 shares (including tax) January 14 January 15 -
Guangdong Mingzhu Group
RMB 0.20 per share (including tax) January 14 January 15 January 15
6.3 Innovative Dividend Practices

The “Three Dividends” mechanism of Hunan Forsun Pharmaceutical represents the direction of dividend innovation for listed companies [16]:

  • 2020
    : Implemented the “Two Dividends” policy (annual dividend + interim dividend)
  • 2024
    : Launched the “Three Dividends” mechanism (annual dividend + interim dividend + special dividend)
  • To date
    : Completed 5 interim dividends and 2 special dividends
6.4 Interim Dividend of Luzhou Laojiao

On the evening of January 9, Luzhou Laojiao released its 2025 interim profit distribution plan [17]:

  • RMB 13.58 cash dividend per 10 shares (including tax)
  • Total cash dividend of approximately RMB 2 billion (including tax)
  • Based on the existing total share capital of approximately 1.472 billion shares

VII. Comprehensive Analysis of Market Impacts
7.1 Overlapping Effects of Multiple Events

Liquidity Aspect
: The PBOC’s RMB 900 billion outright reverse repo plus RMB 179.3 billion 7-day reverse repo injected over RMB 1 trillion in total liquidity, effectively hedging the potential funding pressure from restricted share unlocking.

Market Sentiment Aspect
:

  • The monetary policy press conference sent positive signals, boosting market confidence
  • The wave of share repurchases and holdings increases by listed companies continued, with leading companies setting an example
  • Voluntary lock-up commitments by major shareholders stabilized market expectations
  • The record-high dividend model enhanced investors’ sense of gain
7.2 Forecast of Funding Flows
Funding Source/Destination Impact Direction Estimated Scale
PBOC Liquidity Injection Inflow Approximately RMB 1.08 trillion
Reduction of Unlocked Restricted Shares Outflow Approximately RMB 15.5 billion (theoretical maximum)
Dividend Distribution Outflow Over RMB 10 billion cumulatively across multiple companies
Share Repurchases and Holdings Increases Inflow SSE: RMB 27.8 billion + SZSE: RMB 82.7 billion (upper limits)
7.3 Interpretation of the Policy Package

Looking at the day’s events, the policy level formed a package featuring

“ample liquidity + market stability + strong returns”
:

  1. Ample Liquidity
    : The outright reverse repo has been rolled over with increased scale for 8 consecutive months, reflecting the continuity of liquidity support
  2. Market Stability
    : Pioneered structural monetary policy tools to support the capital market (swap facilities, special relending for share repurchases)
  3. Strong Returns
    : Dividend amounts hit a record high, and the scale of share repurchases and holdings increases continued to expand

VIII. Investment Insights and Recommendations
8.1 Market Outlook
  • Short-term
    : Ample liquidity provides support to the market, with positive policy signals
  • Mid-term
    : Focus on the effectiveness of policy transmission, especially the support for the real economy
  • Long-term
    : The cultivation of a dividend and repurchase culture among listed companies is conducive to the healthy development of the capital market
8.2 Key Areas to Focus On
Area Rationale Key Focus
Leading Enterprises
Most active in share repurchases and holdings increases, with attractive valuations Kweichow Moutai, Midea Group, CATL, etc.
Dividend Targets
Cash dividends hit a record high, with enhanced shareholder return awareness China Merchants Bank, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Luzhou Laojiao, etc.
Policy Beneficiaries
Directions supported by monetary and financial policies Industries related to the “Five Key Areas”
Targets with Lock-Up Commitments
Major shareholders’ voluntary lock-up commitments reflect strong confidence Companies with voluntary lock-up commitments such as Soco Technologies
8.3 Risk Warnings
  • The actual scale of reductions from restricted share unlocking may be lower than the theoretical value, requiring dynamic observation
  • The transmission of monetary policy effects takes time
  • Need to pay attention to the spillover impact of overseas market fluctuations on A-shares

IX. Conclusion

The financial market on January 15, 2026 featured

intensive policy releases, ample liquidity, and active share repurchases and dividends
. The PBOC maintained market liquidity through large-scale reverse repo operations, the SCIO press conference sent positive monetary policy signals, and listed companies rewarded investors with real capital, forming a multi-dimensional policy synergy to stabilize the market.

Looking at the full year, A-listed companies’ 2025 cash dividends of RMB 2.55 trillion hit a record high, the scale of share repurchases and holdings increases continued to expand, and major shareholders’ voluntary lock-up commitments demonstrated confidence in development. These positive changes are reshaping the investment ecology of the capital market and laying a solid foundation for market development in 2026.


References

[1] SCIO Holds Press Conference on January 15 to Introduce Outcomes of Monetary and Financial Policies Supporting High-Quality Development of the Real Economy

[2] SCIO to Hold Press Conference at 3:00 PM on January 15 to Introduce Monetary and Financial Policies

[3] Expert Interpretation of the RMB 900 Billion Outright Reverse Repo

[4] PBOC Conducts RMB 900 Billion Outright Reverse Repurchase Operation on January 15

[5] PBOC Conducts RMB 900 Billion Outright Reverse Repurchase Operation on January 15

[6] Expert Interpretation of the RMB 900 Billion Outright Reverse Repo

[7] PBOC Conducts RMB 179.3 Billion 7-Day Reverse Repurchase Operation on January 15

[8] Today’s Highlights | SCIO to Hold Press Conference on Outcomes of Monetary and Financial Policies Supporting High-Quality Development of the Real Economy

[9] 76.28 Million IPO Restricted Shares of Soco Technologies to Be Unlocked; Controlling Shareholder and Major Shareholders Voluntarily Commit to No Reduction for 12 Months

[10] 76.28 Million IPO Restricted Shares of Soco Technologies to Be Unlocked

[11] Over 100 Announcements in One Night! SSE Intensively Discloses “Start-of-Year” Share Repurchases and Holdings Increases

[12] Fervor for Share Repurchases and Holdings Increases Rises; SZSE Companies Use Real Capital to Stabilize the Market

[13] Combining Share Repurchases, Holdings Increases, and Dividends; SZSE Companies Use Real Capital to Stabilize the Market

[14] Over 100 Announcements in One Night! SSE Intensively Discloses “Start-of-Year” Share Repurchases and Holdings Increases

[15] [A-Listed Companies

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.