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Financial Analysis and Supply Chain Position Assessment of ChangXin Memory Technologies (CXMT)

#semiconductor #chip #memory_chip #supply_chain #financial_analysis #investment_analysis #DRAM #tech_industry
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January 16, 2026

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Based on the public information I collected, the following is an analysis of the financial data of ChangXin Memory Technologies Group Co., Ltd. (CXMT):

I. Analysis of Accounts Payable-related Data

As CXMT has not yet been listed, its prospectus has not been fully disclosed, so

the exact data on accounts payable turnover days cannot be directly obtained
[1]. However, its supply chain position can be inferred from the disclosed financial information:

Disclosed Key Financial Indicators
Indicator H1 2025 2024 2023 2022
Total Assets (in RMB 100 million) 2,899 2,716 1,928 1,477
Asset-Liability Ratio 57.65% 61.61% 66.22% 56.52%
Operating Revenue (in RMB 100 million) 154.4 241.8 90.9 82.9
Monetary Funds (in RMB 100 million) 429.22 - - -
Fixed Assets (in RMB 100 million) 1,715.93 - - 680
II. Supply Chain Position Analysis
1.
Position Relative to Upstream Suppliers

According to public information, CXMT’s upstream involves

dozens or even hundreds of equipment and material suppliers at home and abroad
[1]:

  • Equipment Dependence
    : In terms of equipment, CXMT’s manufacturing process has evolved to around 20nm, but domestic suppliers are unable to provide high-end lithography equipment required for this node, so it is completely dependent on imports
  • Supplier Concentration
    : As a typical capital and technology-intensive industry, CXMT continues to carry out capacity expansion and process iteration, and has certain procurement scale advantages over upstream equipment and material suppliers
2.
Position Relative to Downstream Customers

CXMT has carried out in-depth cooperation with

core customers such as Alibaba Cloud, ByteDance, Tencent, Lenovo, Xiaomi, Transsion, Honor, OPPO, vivo
[1][2]:

  • Diversified Customer Structure
    : The sales share of the top five customers is relatively dispersed, reducing the risk of dependence on a single customer
  • Increased Market Position
    : According to Omdia data, CXMT has become the “No. 1 in China, No. 4 globally” DRAM manufacturer, with a global market share of approximately 3.97%[2]
3.
Analysis of Bargaining Power

Strengths:

  • As a leading domestic memory chip enterprise, it has the background of national strategic support
  • Full-year revenue is expected to reach RMB 55-58 billion in 2025, and scale effects are gradually emerging
  • Improved operating cash flow: The net cash flow from operating activities in H1 2025 was RMB 4,250,519,000[1]

Challenges:

  • The accumulated loss from 2022 to 2025 is approximately RMB 37 billion, resulting in significant financial pressure
  • High fixed asset depreciation: Fixed asset depreciation reached RMB 14.875 billion in 2024[2]
  • High R&D investment ratio (19%-50%), creating continuous pressure on capital
III. Comprehensive Assessment of Supply Chain Position

Overall Assessment:
CXMT holds a position of
“strategically important but with limited bargaining power”
in the supply chain:

  1. Relative to Upstream
    : Due to heavy reliance on imports for high-end equipment and materials, and being constrained by overseas suppliers in core equipment such as EUV lithography machines, its bargaining power is limited
  2. Relative to Downstream
    : As the only domestic enterprise capable of mass-producing DRAM, it has certain customer stickiness and advantages in domestic substitution
  3. Improved Cash Flow
    : In Q3 2025, revenue increased by 148.8% year-on-year, and the comprehensive gross profit margin rose to 35%. The full-year net profit is expected to reach RMB 2-3.5 billion in 2025[2]

Note:
As CXMT has not yet been listed and detailed financial data in its prospectus has not been fully disclosed, detailed indicators such as specific accounts payable turnover days and accounts payable amount cannot be accurately calculated. It is recommended to pay attention to the subsequent disclosure documents of its STAR Market IPO for more detailed financial information.

References

[1] Shanghai Stock Exchange - Sponsorship Letter for the Listing of ChangXin Memory Technologies Group Co., Ltd. (http://static.sse.com.cn/stock/disclosure/announcement/c/202512/002170_20251230_HQ08.pdf)
[2] Securities Times - “The First Stock of Memory Chips” Epic IPO! RMB 300 Billion CXMT is Coming (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3571683.html)

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