Impact of EU Cybersecurity Regulations on Traditional Automakers' Supply Chains and Analysis of Porsche's Competitive Landscape
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The United Nations World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations (UN/WP.29) formally adopted two key automotive cybersecurity regulations in January 2021:
| Regulation | Full Name | Core Requirements | Effective Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| UN R155 | Cyber Security Management System (CSMS) | Manufacturers must establish a cybersecurity management system covering the entire vehicle lifecycle, including design, development, production, operation and maintenance, and end-of-life stages | January 2021 |
| UN R156 | Software Update Management System (SUMS) | Establish a standardized software update management system to ensure the security and integrity of OTA updates | January 2021 |
Starting from
EU cybersecurity regulations have caused systemic shocks to the supply chains of traditional automakers, mainly reflected in the following aspects:
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Increased Supply Chain Security Audit Requirements: UN R155 requires manufacturers to conduct risk assessments for each link in their supply chains to ensure that software and hardware components obtained from suppliers meet cybersecurity standards[1]. Japanese automotive industry associations released the initial version of the Software Bill of Materials (SBOM) in July 2024, with over 100 companies including Toyota, Denso, and Hitachi joining the Japan Automotive ISAC[1].
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Significant Increase in Compliance Costs: The EU’s Cyber Resilience Act (CRA), passed in October 2024, requires software suppliers to provide SBOMs by 2027, with non-compliance resulting in fines ofat least €15 million[1].
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Extended Product Launch Cycles: Compliance audits, certification processes, and supply chain security validation have significantly extended the time cycle for new models from R&D to market launch.
According to Porsche’s official statement,
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718 Series: Annual deliveries reached 18,612 units, a 21% year-on-year decline, mainly due to model replacement and discontinuation; mass production officially ceased in October 2025. Porsche originally planned to launch both the fuel-powered and electric versions of the Macan in Europe in 2024, but thefuel-powered version was discontinued in Europe for failing to meet UN R155 requirements[1][3].
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Fuel-powered Macan: Available in most global markets (with annual deliveries of 38,961 units), but cannot be sold in the EU market due to regulatory restrictions, which explains the 13% decline in Europe (excluding Germany) and 16% decline in Germany[3].
Porsche’s global new vehicle deliveries in 2025 reached
| Region | 2025 Sales (Units) | Year-on-Year Change | Main Reasons |
|---|---|---|---|
| North America | 86,229 | Flat | Largest sales region, maintaining stability |
| Overseas & Emerging Markets | 54,974 | -1% | Slight decline |
| Europe (excluding Germany) | 66,340 | -13% | Impact of EU cybersecurity regulations |
| Germany | 29,968 | -16% | Impact of EU cybersecurity regulations |
| China | 41,938 | -26% | Pressure on luxury car market, fierce electric vehicle competition |
| Model | 2025 Sales (Units) | Year-on-Year Change | Reason for Decline (if applicable) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Macan Series | 84,328 | +2% | Electric version accounts for over half, fuel version restricted |
| Cayenne Series | 80,886 | -21% | High base from previous year |
| 911 Series | 51,583 | +1% | Set a new delivery record |
| Panamera | 27,701 | -6% | Weak market demand |
| 718 Series | 18,612 | -21% | Model discontinuation + supply shortages |
| Taycan | 16,339 | -22% | Slowing growth of global electric vehicle market |
Matthias Becker, Porsche’s Board Member for Sales and Marketing, stated: “After years of consecutive delivery records, our deliveries fell below the previous year’s level in 2025. This trend was expected, mainly due to supply gaps for the 718 series and fuel-powered Macan, continued weak demand for high-end customized models in the Chinese market, and the company’s value-oriented product supply regulation strategy.”[3]
In 2025, the three major German luxury automakers BBA (Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Audi) suffered a collective setback in the Chinese market, with their combined sales
| Brand | 2025 China Sales (10,000 Units) | Year-on-Year Change | Impact on Global Position |
|---|---|---|---|
| BMW | 62.55 | -12.5% | Declined by over 10% for two consecutive years, remains the top seller among BBA |
| Mercedes-Benz | 55.19 | -19% | Sharpest decline, 7% growth in Q4 shows signs of stabilization |
| Audi | 61.7 | -4.9% | Smallest decline, market share rebounded against the trend |
China’s luxury car market is undergoing profound changes; while the high-end new car market priced above RMB 300,000 is shrinking overall,
| Brand | 2025 Market Performance | Competitive Advantages |
|---|---|---|
Aito |
Aito M9 has ranked first in sales of luxury SUVs priced above RMB 500,000 for 20 consecutive months, with cumulative deliveries exceeding 260,000 units since launch; Aito M8 has accumulated over 150,000 deliveries in 8 months since launch | Huawei Intelligent Driving + HarmonyOS Cockpit |
Xiaomi |
Annual deliveries exceeded 410,000 units, surpassing the 350,000-unit target; the YU7 received over 200,000 pre-orders within 3 minutes of launch | Brand appeal + ecosystem synergy |
Li Auto |
Annual sales of 406,000 units, missed the target but maintained advantages in the family car market | Precise positioning + extended-range technology |
Porsche sold
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Lagging Electrification Transformation: In 2024, new energy vehicles accounted for only 27% of Porsche’s deliveries in China, with Taycan sales falling 49%[7]. In 2025, global Taycan deliveries reached 16,339 units, a 22% year-on-year decline.
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Backward Intelligent Experience: The smoothness and localized functions of Porsche’s in-car infotainment system cannot meet Chinese consumers’ high demands for intelligence.
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Diluted Brand Premium: Some models offer terminal discounts of up to RMB 300,000, with multiple Porsche models sold at a 35% discount (as low as 65% of the original price)[7].
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Channel Contraction: The Porsche Center in Zhuhai closed in November 2025, and multiple Porsche 4S stores in Wenzhou, Yiwu, Shaoxing, Yongkang, Cangzhou and other places shut down within less than a year[7].
The definition of value in China’s luxury car market is undergoing a fundamental transformation. According to a survey by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA),
| Dimension | Traditional Luxury Car Standards | New Luxury Car Standards |
|---|---|---|
| Core Value | Brand + Mechanical Quality | Intelligence + Experience + Ecosystem |
| Technical Focus | Engine, transmission, chassis tuning | Intelligent driving, HarmonyOS Cockpit, OTA updates |
| Competitive Factors | Brand premium, build quality | Dialect interaction, multi-modal perception, ecosystem synergy |
| User Expectations | Status symbol, mechanical texture | Technological experience, continuous evolution |
McKinsey’s 2025 China Automotive Consumer Insights Report shows that
The fluctuations in BMW’s China market share are essentially a
- The R&D cycle based on a modified fuel vehicle platform is longer than the R&D and delivery cycle of similar models from domestic brands
- The iteration speed of localized functions after launch is relatively slow
- The iDrive system’s dialect coverage was long limited to a few types, while the HarmonyOS Cockpit supports 16 dialect variants, with a maximum multi-turn dialogue understanding accuracy rate of 98%[5]
Facing severe challenges, BBA has identified 2026 as a critical year for transformation, and will
| Brand | 2026 Plan | Core Technical Direction |
|---|---|---|
| Mercedes-Benz | Over 15 all-new/facelifted products | MB.EA pure electric platform + MMA modular architecture, AI-enabled intelligent cockpit |
| BMW | Approximately 20 new products | Neue Klasse pure electric architecture, locally produced next-generation iX3 |
| Audi | Multiple flagship models | Huawei ADS 2.0/ADS Intelligent Driving System, Q6L e-tron family |
| Brand | Cooperation Direction | Specific Measures |
|---|---|---|
| BMW | Huawei Ecosystem | In-vehicle ecosystem based on HarmonyOS NEXT, digital key, HUAWEI HiCar |
| Audi | Huawei Intelligent Driving | Q6L e-tron and A5L equipped with Huawei ADS 2.0/ADS Intelligent Driving System |
| Mercedes-Benz | Momenta Intelligent Driving | All-new pure electric CLA equipped with jointly developed ADAS |
| BMW | Localized Production | RMB 2 billion capital increase for the Shenyang base, local production of next-generation iX3 |
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The impact of EU cybersecurity regulations is structural: UN R155/R156 is not just a compliance requirement, but a comprehensive test of traditional automakers’ supply chain management capabilities. The supply shortages of Porsche’s 718 and fuel-powered Macan are just the tip of the iceberg; the entire industry is undergoing a paradigm shift from “one-time compliance construction” to “continuous security operations”[1][2].
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Reshaping of China’s Luxury Car Market Landscape: The three BBA brands saw a combined sales drop of approximately 260,000 units in 2025, while domestic new force brands (Aito, Li Auto, Xiaomi, etc.) continue to increase their market share in the segment priced above RMB 300,000[4][5]. This is not a simple market share shift, but afundamental change in the right to define luxury value.
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Traditional Automakers Face Systemic Challenges: The dilemmas of traditional luxury brands such as BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Porsche are essentially asystemic mismatch between global standardized R&D systems and the rapid iteration demands of the Chinese market, as well as a gap between brand value perception and consumer expectations[5][7].
2026 will be a critical node for the transformation of traditional luxury automakers:
- Regulations will continue to tighten: China’s GB 44495-2024 will be implemented in 2026, requiring automakers to establish a full-lifecycle cybersecurity management system[2]
- Intelligent competition will intensify: Level 3 autonomous driving and high-end intelligent cockpits will become the core battlefields
- Depth of localization determines competitiveness: The automaker that can faster establish a localized R&D and decision-making system adapted to the rhythm of the Chinese market will take the initiative in the next stage of competition
The global automotive industry is standing at a dual turning point of electrification and intelligence. Porsche’s dilemma and BBA’s collective decline reflect not just the strategic mistakes of individual enterprises, but the systemic adaptation challenges faced by the entire traditional automotive industry under the impact of new technological waves.
[1] ARTC - International Regulations and Response Measures for Connected Vehicle Cybersecurity (https://www.artc.org.tw/tw/knowledge/articles/13776)
[2] ZuoSi Automotive Research - 2025-2026 Global and China Autonomous Driving Policies, Regulations, and National Automotive Market Access Research Report (http://www.pday.com.cn/Htmls/Report/202601/24554803.html)
[3] IT Home - Porsche’s 2025 Global Deliveries Reach 279,400 Units, Down 10% YoY; Chinese Market Slides 26% (https://www.ithome.com/0/913/866.htm)
[4] EET China - BBA’s China Sales Decline! Luxury Car Market Above RMB 300,000 Undergoes Reshuffling! (https://www.eet-china.com/mp/a467318.html)
[5] Securities Times/China Securities Journal - BMW’s China Sales Decline; Localization Measures Seek to Solve System Adaptation Dilemma (https://www.cs.com.cn/cj2020/202601/t20260116_6533498.html)
[6] OFweek New Energy Vehicle Network - Launching Over 40 New Models This Year, BBA Aims to Regain Lost Ground (https://mp.ofweek.com/nev/a156714820627)
[7] Southern Plus - Profits Plunge 99%, Why Can’t Porsche Sell Anymore? (https://www.nfnews.com/content/5yppKYLKyp.html)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
