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Impact of EU Cybersecurity Regulations on Traditional Automakers' Supply Chains and Analysis of Porsche's Competitive Landscape

#automotive_industry #cybersecurity_regulations #porsche #bba #ev_transition #china_auto_market #supply_chain #smart_vehicle #luxury_cars
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January 16, 2026

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Now, based on the collected data, I will prepare a systematic and comprehensive analysis report for you.


Impact of EU Cybersecurity Regulations on Traditional Automakers’ Supply Chains and Analysis of Porsche’s Competitive Landscape
I. In-depth Analysis of EU Cybersecurity Regulations (UN R155/R156)
1.1 Regulatory Framework and Core Requirements

The United Nations World Forum for Harmonization of Vehicle Regulations (UN/WP.29) formally adopted two key automotive cybersecurity regulations in January 2021:

UN R155 (Cyber Security Management System)
and
UN R156 (Software Update Management)
[1][2]. These two regulations form the core international standard framework for global automotive cybersecurity.

Regulation Full Name Core Requirements Effective Date
UN R155 Cyber Security Management System (CSMS) Manufacturers must establish a cybersecurity management system covering the entire vehicle lifecycle, including design, development, production, operation and maintenance, and end-of-life stages January 2021
UN R156 Software Update Management System (SUMS) Establish a standardized software update management system to ensure the security and integrity of OTA updates January 2021

Starting from

July 2024
, all new vehicle models must obtain UN R155/R156 certification to be sold in
54 contracting parties
including the EU, Japan, South Korea, and Australia[1][2]. This marks the shift of automotive cybersecurity from a “recommended practice” to a “market access prerequisite”.

1.2 Specific Impacts on Traditional Automakers’ Supply Chains

Sharp Increase in Supply Chain Compliance Pressure

EU cybersecurity regulations have caused systemic shocks to the supply chains of traditional automakers, mainly reflected in the following aspects:

  1. Increased Supply Chain Security Audit Requirements
    : UN R155 requires manufacturers to conduct risk assessments for each link in their supply chains to ensure that software and hardware components obtained from suppliers meet cybersecurity standards[1]. Japanese automotive industry associations released the initial version of the Software Bill of Materials (SBOM) in July 2024, with over 100 companies including Toyota, Denso, and Hitachi joining the Japan Automotive ISAC[1].

  2. Significant Increase in Compliance Costs
    : The EU’s Cyber Resilience Act (CRA), passed in October 2024, requires software suppliers to provide SBOMs by 2027, with non-compliance resulting in fines of
    at least €15 million
    [1].

  3. Extended Product Launch Cycles
    : Compliance audits, certification processes, and supply chain security validation have significantly extended the time cycle for new models from R&D to market launch.

1.3 Case Analysis of Porsche’s Supply Shortages

According to Porsche’s official statement,

EU cybersecurity regulations directly caused supply shortages of the 718 series and fuel-powered Macan in the European market
[3]. The specific manifestations are as follows:

  • 718 Series
    : Annual deliveries reached 18,612 units, a 21% year-on-year decline, mainly due to model replacement and discontinuation; mass production officially ceased in October 2025. Porsche originally planned to launch both the fuel-powered and electric versions of the Macan in Europe in 2024, but the
    fuel-powered version was discontinued in Europe for failing to meet UN R155 requirements
    [1][3].

  • Fuel-powered Macan
    : Available in most global markets (with annual deliveries of 38,961 units), but cannot be sold in the EU market due to regulatory restrictions, which explains the 13% decline in Europe (excluding Germany) and 16% decline in Germany[3].


II. Analysis of Porsche’s 2025 Global Sales Performance
2.1 Overall Decline in Global Deliveries

Porsche’s global new vehicle deliveries in 2025 reached

279,449 units
, representing a
10% year-on-year decline
compared to 310,718 units in 2024[3]. This means that after years of consecutive delivery records, Porsche’s deliveries have fallen below the previous year’s level.

Region 2025 Sales (Units) Year-on-Year Change Main Reasons
North America 86,229 Flat Largest sales region, maintaining stability
Overseas & Emerging Markets 54,974 -1% Slight decline
Europe (excluding Germany) 66,340 -13% Impact of EU cybersecurity regulations
Germany 29,968 -16% Impact of EU cybersecurity regulations
China 41,938 -26% Pressure on luxury car market, fierce electric vehicle competition
2.2 Analysis of Sales Structure by Model
Model 2025 Sales (Units) Year-on-Year Change Reason for Decline (if applicable)
Macan Series 84,328 +2% Electric version accounts for over half, fuel version restricted
Cayenne Series 80,886 -21% High base from previous year
911 Series 51,583 +1% Set a new delivery record
Panamera 27,701 -6% Weak market demand
718 Series 18,612 -21% Model discontinuation + supply shortages
Taycan 16,339 -22% Slowing growth of global electric vehicle market

Matthias Becker, Porsche’s Board Member for Sales and Marketing, stated: “After years of consecutive delivery records, our deliveries fell below the previous year’s level in 2025. This trend was expected, mainly due to supply gaps for the 718 series and fuel-powered Macan, continued weak demand for high-end customized models in the Chinese market, and the company’s value-oriented product supply regulation strategy.”[3]


III. Changes in the Competitive Landscape of China’s Luxury Car Market
3.1 Collective Sales Decline of BBA in China

In 2025, the three major German luxury automakers BBA (Mercedes-Benz, BMW, Audi) suffered a collective setback in the Chinese market, with their combined sales

dropping by approximately 260,000 units, a decline of about 12.3%
compared to 2024[4][5][6].

Brand 2025 China Sales (10,000 Units) Year-on-Year Change Impact on Global Position
BMW 62.55 -12.5% Declined by over 10% for two consecutive years, remains the top seller among BBA
Mercedes-Benz 55.19 -19% Sharpest decline, 7% growth in Q4 shows signs of stabilization
Audi 61.7 -4.9% Smallest decline, market share rebounded against the trend

BMW
’s sales in China have declined by over 10% for two consecutive years, dropping by nearly 200,000 units compared to 820,000 units in 2023[5][6]. Its core dilemma lies in the systemic mismatch between global standardized model R&D and the rapid iteration demands of the Chinese market.

Mercedes-Benz
delivered 551,900 units in China in 2025,
a decrease of approximately 139,000 units, representing a 19% decline
compared to 714,000 units in 2024[4][5]. However, in the fourth quarter, Mercedes-Benz sold 133,600 units in the Chinese market,
a 7% year-on-year increase
, showing signs of stabilization.

Audi
’s total sales declined by 4.9%, but the decline was the smallest among BBA; it also
regained the top spot in the luxury car market after 7 years
, and its fuel vehicle sales and market share
returned to first place in the fuel luxury car market after 6 years
[6]. This is attributed to its clear fuel vehicle strategy and “full-domain luxury” product layout.

3.2 Strong Rise of Domestic New Energy Vehicle Forces

China’s luxury car market is undergoing profound changes; while the high-end new car market priced above RMB 300,000 is shrinking overall,

new force brands such as NIO, Li Auto, and Aito continue to launch high-priced models, continuously eroding BBA’s traditional market segments
[4][5].

Brand 2025 Market Performance Competitive Advantages
Aito
Aito M9 has ranked first in sales of luxury SUVs priced above RMB 500,000 for 20 consecutive months, with cumulative deliveries exceeding 260,000 units since launch; Aito M8 has accumulated over 150,000 deliveries in 8 months since launch Huawei Intelligent Driving + HarmonyOS Cockpit
Xiaomi
Annual deliveries exceeded 410,000 units, surpassing the 350,000-unit target; the YU7 received over 200,000 pre-orders within 3 minutes of launch Brand appeal + ecosystem synergy
Li Auto
Annual sales of 406,000 units, missed the target but maintained advantages in the family car market Precise positioning + extended-range technology

The design similarity between the Xiaomi SU7 and Porsche Taycan
has become a hot topic in the industry. Cui Dongshu, Secretary-General of the Passenger Car Market Information Joint Conference of the China Automobile Dealers Association, pointed out: “The Xiaomi SU7 is similar in design to the Porsche Taycan, has comparable range, offers the same or even better performance, but is priced at only one-sixth of the Taycan. At this point, Porsche only has brand value left, no longer product value.”[7]

3.3 Porsche’s Dilemma in the Chinese Market

Porsche sold

41,938 units in China in 2025, a 26% year-on-year decline
, far exceeding the global average decline of 10%[3][7]. This reflects multiple underlying issues:

  1. Lagging Electrification Transformation
    : In 2024, new energy vehicles accounted for only 27% of Porsche’s deliveries in China, with Taycan sales falling 49%[7]. In 2025, global Taycan deliveries reached 16,339 units, a 22% year-on-year decline.

  2. Backward Intelligent Experience
    : The smoothness and localized functions of Porsche’s in-car infotainment system cannot meet Chinese consumers’ high demands for intelligence.

  3. Diluted Brand Premium
    : Some models offer terminal discounts of up to RMB 300,000, with multiple Porsche models sold at a 35% discount (as low as 65% of the original price)[7].

  4. Channel Contraction
    : The Porsche Center in Zhuhai closed in November 2025, and multiple Porsche 4S stores in Wenzhou, Yiwu, Shaoxing, Yongkang, Cangzhou and other places shut down within less than a year[7].


IV. Analysis of Core Driving Forces for Changes in the Competitive Landscape
4.1 From “Brand + Mechanical Quality” to “Intelligence + Experience + Ecosystem”

The definition of value in China’s luxury car market is undergoing a fundamental transformation. According to a survey by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA),

Chinese luxury car users pay far more attention to intelligent cockpits and advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) than European consumers
, and such intelligent experiences have become the core driver for users to switch from traditional luxury brands to new force automakers[5].

Dimension Traditional Luxury Car Standards New Luxury Car Standards
Core Value Brand + Mechanical Quality Intelligence + Experience + Ecosystem
Technical Focus Engine, transmission, chassis tuning Intelligent driving, HarmonyOS Cockpit, OTA updates
Competitive Factors Brand premium, build quality Dialect interaction, multi-modal perception, ecosystem synergy
User Expectations Status symbol, mechanical texture Technological experience, continuous evolution

McKinsey’s 2025 China Automotive Consumer Insights Report shows that

50% of consumers refuse to pay a premium for electric vehicles from multinational brands
[4]. When Chinese brands demonstrate better performance in intelligence, the premium advantage that BBA relies on from accumulated brand equity is gradually weakening.

4.2 Misalignment Between Global R&D Systems and China Market Rhythms

The fluctuations in BMW’s China market share are essentially a

systemic mismatch between global standardized model R&D and the fast-paced “18-month generation iteration” characteristic of the Chinese market
[5]. Taking the core electric model iX3 as an example:

  • The R&D cycle based on a modified fuel vehicle platform is longer than the R&D and delivery cycle of similar models from domestic brands
  • The iteration speed of localized functions after launch is relatively slow
  • The iDrive system’s dialect coverage was long limited to a few types, while the HarmonyOS Cockpit supports 16 dialect variants, with a maximum multi-turn dialogue understanding accuracy rate of 98%[5]

V. Response Strategies of BBA and Porsche
5.1 2026 Product Offensive

Facing severe challenges, BBA has identified 2026 as a critical year for transformation, and will

launch a total of over 40 all-new or facelifted models in the Chinese market
[6]:

Brand 2026 Plan Core Technical Direction
Mercedes-Benz Over 15 all-new/facelifted products MB.EA pure electric platform + MMA modular architecture, AI-enabled intelligent cockpit
BMW Approximately 20 new products Neue Klasse pure electric architecture, locally produced next-generation iX3
Audi Multiple flagship models Huawei ADS 2.0/ADS Intelligent Driving System, Q6L e-tron family

For Porsche
, the all-new pure electric Cayenne made its global debut in November 2025, and will be officially delivered in the first batch of markets starting in spring 2026, and will be sold alongside the fuel-powered and plug-in hybrid versions of the Cayenne[3].

5.2 Deepened Localized Cooperation
Brand Cooperation Direction Specific Measures
BMW Huawei Ecosystem In-vehicle ecosystem based on HarmonyOS NEXT, digital key, HUAWEI HiCar
Audi Huawei Intelligent Driving Q6L e-tron and A5L equipped with Huawei ADS 2.0/ADS Intelligent Driving System
Mercedes-Benz Momenta Intelligent Driving All-new pure electric CLA equipped with jointly developed ADAS
BMW Localized Production RMB 2 billion capital increase for the Shenyang base, local production of next-generation iX3

VI. Conclusions and Outlook
6.1 Core Conclusions
  1. The impact of EU cybersecurity regulations is structural
    : UN R155/R156 is not just a compliance requirement, but a comprehensive test of traditional automakers’ supply chain management capabilities. The supply shortages of Porsche’s 718 and fuel-powered Macan are just the tip of the iceberg; the entire industry is undergoing a paradigm shift from “one-time compliance construction” to “continuous security operations”[1][2].

  2. Reshaping of China’s Luxury Car Market Landscape
    : The three BBA brands saw a combined sales drop of approximately 260,000 units in 2025, while domestic new force brands (Aito, Li Auto, Xiaomi, etc.) continue to increase their market share in the segment priced above RMB 300,000[4][5]. This is not a simple market share shift, but a
    fundamental change in the right to define luxury value
    .

  3. Traditional Automakers Face Systemic Challenges
    : The dilemmas of traditional luxury brands such as BMW, Mercedes-Benz, and Porsche are essentially a
    systemic mismatch between global standardized R&D systems and the rapid iteration demands of the Chinese market
    , as well as a gap between brand value perception and consumer expectations[5][7].

6.2 Future Outlook

2026 will be a critical node for the transformation of traditional luxury automakers:

  • Regulations will continue to tighten
    : China’s GB 44495-2024 will be implemented in 2026, requiring automakers to establish a full-lifecycle cybersecurity management system[2]
  • Intelligent competition will intensify
    : Level 3 autonomous driving and high-end intelligent cockpits will become the core battlefields
  • Depth of localization determines competitiveness
    : The automaker that can faster establish a localized R&D and decision-making system adapted to the rhythm of the Chinese market will take the initiative in the next stage of competition

The global automotive industry is standing at a dual turning point of electrification and intelligence. Porsche’s dilemma and BBA’s collective decline reflect not just the strategic mistakes of individual enterprises, but the systemic adaptation challenges faced by the entire traditional automotive industry under the impact of new technological waves.


References

[1] ARTC - International Regulations and Response Measures for Connected Vehicle Cybersecurity (https://www.artc.org.tw/tw/knowledge/articles/13776)
[2] ZuoSi Automotive Research - 2025-2026 Global and China Autonomous Driving Policies, Regulations, and National Automotive Market Access Research Report (http://www.pday.com.cn/Htmls/Report/202601/24554803.html)
[3] IT Home - Porsche’s 2025 Global Deliveries Reach 279,400 Units, Down 10% YoY; Chinese Market Slides 26% (https://www.ithome.com/0/913/866.htm)
[4] EET China - BBA’s China Sales Decline! Luxury Car Market Above RMB 300,000 Undergoes Reshuffling! (https://www.eet-china.com/mp/a467318.html)
[5] Securities Times/China Securities Journal - BMW’s China Sales Decline; Localization Measures Seek to Solve System Adaptation Dilemma (https://www.cs.com.cn/cj2020/202601/t20260116_6533498.html)
[6] OFweek New Energy Vehicle Network - Launching Over 40 New Models This Year, BBA Aims to Regain Lost Ground (https://mp.ofweek.com/nev/a156714820627)
[7] Southern Plus - Profits Plunge 99%, Why Can’t Porsche Sell Anymore? (https://www.nfnews.com/content/5yppKYLKyp.html)

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