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Analysis Report on the Growth Rate Divergence Between China Pacific's Life Insurance and Property & Casualty Insurance Businesses

#insurance #life_insurance #property_insurance #business_analysis #investment_value #financial_services #china_pacific
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January 19, 2026

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Analysis Report on the Growth Rate Divergence Between China Pacific's Life Insurance and Property & Casualty Insurance Businesses

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Analysis Report on the Growth Rate Divergence Between China Pacific’s Life Insurance and Property & Casualty Insurance Businesses
I. Overview of Business Divergence Status

According to the 2025 annual performance data, China Pacific shows a clear trend of business divergence [0][1]:

Business Segment Premium Income (CND 100 million) Year-on-Year Growth Rate Growth Rate of Insurance Service Income
Life Insurance Business
2,581.15
+8.1%
+2.6%
Property & Casualty Insurance Business
2,035.61
+0.2%
+3.5%

The growth rate gap is as high as

7.9 percentage points
, with the life insurance business growing significantly faster than the P&C insurance business.

Premium Growth Rate Comparison


II. Analysis of Driving Factors for High Growth of Life Insurance Business
1. Continuous Release of Results from the “Long Voyage” Transformation Strategy

Pacific Life Insurance launched the “Long Voyage Initiative” transformation strategy in 2021. After years of deepened promotion, the transformation dividends are being accelerated [1][2]:

  • Strong Growth of New Business Value
    : In the first three quarters of 2025, the new business value reached CND 15.351 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 7.7%, and
    31.2% year-on-year growth on a comparable basis
    [1]
  • Significant Improvement in New Business Value Margin
    : In 2024, the new business value margin reached 16.8%, up 3.5 percentage points year-on-year; it increased by 8.6 percentage points year-on-year before adjusting economic assumptions [2]
  • Steady Growth of Embedded Value
    : By the end of 2024, the embedded value reached CND 421.837 billion, representing a 4.9% growth from the end of the previous year [2]
2. Explosive Growth of Bancassurance Channel

The bancassurance channel has become the core engine for life insurance growth [1]:

Indicator First Three Quarters of 2025 (CND 100 million) Year-on-Year Growth Rate
Total Premium of Bancassurance Channel 583.10
+63.3%
New Single Premiums with Installment Payment in Bancassurance Channel 159.91
+43.6%

The reasons for the high growth of the bancassurance channel include:

  • Deepened innovation in cooperation models with banking channels
  • Captured the wealth management and pension health insurance needs of bank customers
  • Continuously optimized product and service supply, and strengthened customer management
3. Continuous Optimization of Product Structure

Pacific Life Insurance proactively adjusted its product strategy to increase the proportion of high-value businesses [1][2]:

  • Significant Increase in the Proportion of Participating Insurance
    : The proportion of participating insurance in new single installment premiums of the agent channel reached 58.6%, a significant year-on-year increase
  • Upward Shift to Middle and High-End Customer Segments
    : The proportion of middle and high-end customers and above increased by 4.8 percentage points year-on-year
  • Deep Integration of Products and Services
    : Deeply integrated insurance products with the health care service ecosystem
4. Continuous Improvement of Team Productivity

The agent channel achieved “stable scale and improved quality” [1]:

Indicator Value Change
Monthly Average Insurance Agents 181,000 Basically flat year-on-year
Monthly Average First-Year Total Premium per Core Employee CND 71,000
+16.6%
13-Month Policy Persistency Rate 96.6% Increased by 2.8 percentage points year-on-year

III. Analysis of Reasons for Slowdown in P&C Insurance Business Growth
1. Auto Insurance Market Tends to Be Saturated

The growth rate of China’s auto market sales has slowed down. In 2024, the cumulative retail sales of narrow-passenger vehicles in the domestic market reached 22.89 million units, with a year-on-year growth of 5.49% [3]. As the largest business segment of P&C insurance, the growth rate of auto insurance is basically flat. In the first three quarters of 2025, the original insurance premium income of Pacific P&C Insurance reached CND 160.206 billion, with

only 0.1% year-on-year growth
[1].

2. Impact of the “Premium Rate & Expense Compliance” Policy Emerges

The continuous tightening of regulatory policies has a direct impact on the P&C insurance business [4][5]:

  • In September 2025, the State Administration of Financial Regulation issued the “Notice on Strengthening the Supervision of Non-Auto Insurance Business (Draft for Comment)”, expanding the “Premium Rate & Expense Compliance” requirement from the auto insurance sector to the non-auto insurance sector [4]
  • The “Notice” requires insurance companies to strictly implement the registered insurance clauses and rates, and shall not set high fees that are inconsistent with the services provided
  • The reduction of expense ratio restricts the growth of premium scale in the short term
3. Sustained Underwriting Pressure

The P&C insurance business is facing multiple cost pressures [3][5]:

  • Higher Loss Ratio of New Energy Vehicle Insurance
    : The claim rate and compensation cost of new energy vehicles are higher than those of traditional fuel vehicles
  • Impact of Natural Disasters
    : Frequent natural disasters such as heavy rainfall in southern China in 2024 led to an increase in claim payments
  • Pressure on Combined Ratio
    : The combined ratio of Pacific P&C Insurance in 2024 was 98.6%, up 0.9 percentage points year-on-year
4. Intensified Competition in Non-Auto Insurance

Competition in the non-auto insurance sector is becoming increasingly fierce [4]:

  • Small and medium-sized insurance companies seize market share through price wars
  • Irrational competition through high handling fees, long account periods, etc. has emerged in some sectors
  • Although leading insurance companies have stable market shares, their growth space is limited

IV. Assessment of the Impact on Pacific’s Future Investment Value
1. Positive Factor: Life Insurance Transformation Enhances the Company’s Intrinsic Value
Value Indicator 2024 Performance Investment Implication
New Business Value CND 13.258 billion, +20.9% Foundation for future profit growth
New Business Value Margin 16.8%, +3.5pct Continuous improvement in business quality
Embedded Value CND 421.837 billion, +4.9% Core valuation indicator for life insurance companies
Net Profit CND 35.821 billion, +83.4% Significant improvement in profitability [2]

Investment Insight
: The high-quality growth of the life insurance business will continuously enhance the company’s embedded value and new business value, creating value for long-term investors.

2. P&C Insurance Business: Stable but Lacking Growth Elasticity

Although the growth of the P&C insurance business has slowed down, its operating quality remains stable [1][5]:

  • Improvement in Underwriting Profit
    : In the first half of 2025, the underwriting profit reached CND 35.5 million, with a year-on-year growth of 30.9%
  • Optimization of Combined Ratio
    : In the first quarter of 2025, the combined ratio was 97.4%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year
  • Stable Leading Position
    : Pacific P&C Insurance firmly ranks among the top three in the industry, with a stable market share

Investment Insight
: The P&C insurance business provides stable profits and cash flow, but it is difficult to contribute significant growth elasticity.

3. Valuation Analysis

Current Valuation Level [0]:

Indicator Value Industry Comparison
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) 8.10x At a historical low
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) 1.49x Below the industry average
Return on Equity (ROE) 18.68% Better than the industry average

Investment Insight
: Pacific’s current valuation provides a margin of safety, and there is a valuation repair opportunity against the backdrop of the continuous manifestation of the results of the life insurance transformation.

4. Risk Warning
  • Interest Rate Risk
    : A continuous decline in long-term interest rates may affect investment income and reserve accrual
  • Transformation Progress
    : The progress of the “Long Voyage” transformation may fall short of expectations
  • Policy Risk
    : Regulatory policies such as “Premium Rate & Expense Compliance” continue to tighten
  • Market Competition
    : Competition in the life insurance and P&C insurance markets continues to intensify

V. Comprehensive Assessment of Investment Value
Core Investment Logic
  1. Continuous Release of Transformation Dividends from Life Insurance Business
    : The growth of new business value is accelerating, the product structure and customer structure are continuously optimized, and the bancassurance channel has strong growth momentum
  2. P&C Insurance Business Provides Stable Support
    : Although growth has slowed down, underwriting profit has improved, the combined ratio (COR) has been optimized, providing a stable profit foundation
  3. Valuation at Historical Low
    : P/E ratio is only 8.1x, P/B ratio is only 1.49x, providing a high margin of safety
  4. Recovery of Capital Market
    : In the first three quarters of 2025, total investment income increased, and net profit grew by 19.3% year-on-year [1]
Investment Recommendation
Assessment Dimension Rating Explanation
Growth
★★★☆☆
The high growth of life insurance offsets the slowdown of P&C insurance, maintaining steady overall growth
Profitability
★★★★☆
ROE reaches 18.68%, with a substantial growth in net profit
Valuation Attractiveness
★★★★☆
Valuation is at a historical low with sufficient margin of safety
Business Quality
★★★★☆
New business value margin continues to improve, product structure is optimized
Risk Level
★★★☆☆
Need to pay attention to interest rate risk and transformation progress

Comprehensive Rating
: Against the backdrop of the manifested results of life insurance transformation and the stable P&C insurance business, China Pacific has good investment value. The short-term growth rate divergence does not change the long-term investment logic. It is recommended to pay attention to the progress of the company’s “Long Voyage” transformation and the performance of new business value.


References

[0] Jinling API - China Pacific Company Profile and Market Data (601601.SS)

[1] Wall Street CN - “China Pacific’s Net Profit Surges 19.3% in the First Three Quarters, with Significant Results from Life Insurance Transformation” (https://wallstreetcn.com/articles/3758356)

[2] China Pacific 2024 Annual Report - Analysis of the Results of “Long Voyage” Transformation and Business Value (https://www.cpic.com.cn/upload/resources/file/2025/03/26/85911.pdf)

[3] Lianhe Ratings - “2025 Property & Casualty Insurance Industry Analysis” (https://www.lhratings.com/file/fda56e6231f.pdf)

[4] Securities Times - “Non-Auto Insurance ‘Premium Rate & Expense Compliance’ Reshapes Half of the P&C Insurance Market” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3588725.html)

[5] Guosen Securities - “Commentary on Non-Auto Insurance ‘Premium Rate & Expense Compliance’: Reshaping the Non-Auto Insurance Ecosystem, Benefiting Underwriting Profit Improvement” (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202507091705738674_1.pdf)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.