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In-depth Investment Analysis Report on the Smart Grid Equipment Sector

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January 20, 2026

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I have collected sufficient data, and now I will generate a complete investment analysis report on the smart grid equipment sector for you.


In-depth Investment Analysis Report on the Smart Grid Equipment Sector
I. Overall Sector Performance and Market Sentiment
1.1 Recent Market Performance

In early 2026, the smart grid equipment sector showed a strong explosive momentum. According to the latest market data [1], the power grid equipment sector has achieved a “nine consecutive gains” trend, with over 90% of individual stocks rising. In terms of gain rankings,

Sanbian Technology (002112.SZ)
topped the list with a 59.50% interval gain, while 6 individual stocks including
XD Electric (601179.SS)
,
Yineng Power
, and
Baobian Electric
all recorded gains exceeding 30% [2].

This week (mid-January 2026), multiple individual stocks in the sector performed prominently: Sanbian Technology and Yineng Power both rose over 30%, Ankao Smart Electric ranked third with a 29.63% gain, and 17 individual stocks including XD Electric, Changlan Technology, Wansheng Smart, TBEA, and New Scenery all rose by more than 10% [2]. As of 10:07 on January 19, the Wind UHV, Smart Grid, and Virtual Power Plant concept indices rose by more than 6.8%, 5%, and 3.7% respectively [3].

Core Target Analysis of the Smart Grid Equipment Sector

1.2 Capital Flow Analysis

Capital flow data shows high attention from institutional investors to this sector. A total of 5 power grid equipment stocks saw net margin purchases exceeding 100 million yuan this week [2]:

Stock Code Stock Name Net Margin Purchase (100 Million Yuan)
600089.SS TBEA 10.66
600406.SS NARI Technology 2.00+
601877.SS Chint Electric 2.00+
000400.SZ XJ Electric 1.80
600445.SH Jinpan Technology 1.53

As the only ETF product in the market tracking the CSI Power Grid Equipment Theme Index,

Power Grid Equipment ETF (159326)
has seen net capital inflows for 5 consecutive trading days, totaling 1.921 billion yuan [4]. The ETF has recorded net capital inflows of over 2.439 billion yuan in the past 5 days, over 3.32 billion yuan in the past 20 days, with a latest scale of 6.916 billion yuan, and its scale has grown by over 129.8% in the past month [1][5].


II. Analysis of Core Driving Factors
2.1 Domestic Policy Support: 4 Trillion Yuan Investment Plan Launched

According to the 15th Five-Year Plan investment plan disclosed by State Grid Corporation of China,

fixed-asset investment by State Grid is expected to reach 4 trillion yuan during the 15th Five-Year Plan period
, representing a 40% increase compared to the 14th Five-Year Plan period [1][6]. The market expects that the investment scale of China Southern Power Grid during the 15th Five-Year Plan period will reach around 1 trillion yuan, making China’s annual grid investment approximately 1 trillion yuan.

2026 Specific Investment Forecasts:

  • State Grid investment is expected to reach 700 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.6%
  • China Southern Power Grid investment is expected to reach 189 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.0% [7]
2.2 Continuous Policy Document Support

The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and four other departments jointly issued the Guidelines for the Construction and Application of Industrial Green Microgrids (2026–2030) [4][8], which clearly guides industrial enterprises and parks to promote the construction of green microgrids, expand the application of green power, and drive the industry to upgrade towards energy conservation and carbon reduction.

2.3 Explosive Overseas Demand

Goldman Sachs predicts that the global investment scale in digital infrastructure and energy systems driven by AI will reach 5 trillion US dollars in the next 10 years [5]. China’s power equipment exports have performed impressively: from January to November 2025, exports of key power equipment reached 71.5 billion US dollars, a year-on-year increase of 20% [5]. Breakdown as follows:

  • Transformer exports increased by 35% year-on-year
  • Winding wire exports increased by 24% year-on-year
  • Insulator exports increased by 45% year-on-year
  • Switchgear exports increased by 29% year-on-year

80% of the U.S. power transformers rely on imports, and a 30% supply gap is expected in 2025, providing huge overseas market opportunities for China’s power grid equipment enterprises [5].


III. In-depth Analysis of Core Targets
3.1 TBEA (600089.SS) – Sector Leader, Top Choice for Margin Trading

Fundamental Overview:

  • Total Market Capitalization: 153.12 billion yuan
  • Latest Closing Price: 30.50 yuan
  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (PE): 28.77x
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (PB): 2.23x

Core Advantages:

  1. High Certainty of Performance Growth
    : Institutional forecasts predict significant net profit growth in 2026 [2]
  2. Highest Capital Attention
    : Net margin purchase of 1.066 billion yuan this week, ranking first in the sector [2]
  3. Overseas Business Breakthrough
    : Continues to expand international markets in UHV, new energy, and computing power center sectors [2]

Technical Analysis:

  • Current price is close to the resistance level of 31.30 yuan
  • KDJ Indicator: K value 80.2, D value 75.7, in the overbought zone [9]
  • MACD indicator shows a bullish pattern
  • Beta coefficient 0.63, relatively low volatility compared to the broader market

Price Performance:

Period Gain
1 Day +9.99%
1 Month +39.40%
3 Months +61.46%
6 Months +147.97%
1 Year +152.27% [10]

Financial Quality:
Conservative financial stance, low debt risk, stable free cash flow [11]

Investment Suggestion:
Short-term gains are significant; it is recommended to wait for a pullback before positioning. It has prominent medium- to long-term allocation value.

3.2 NARI Technology (600406.SS) – Strongest Profitability, Most Robust Fundamentals

Fundamental Overview:

  • Total Market Capitalization: 210.43 billion yuan (largest in the sector)
  • Latest Closing Price: 26.20 yuan
  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (PE): 26.19x
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (PB): 4.25x

Core Advantages:

  1. Strongest Profitability
    : ROE of 16.21% and net profit margin of 12.55%, both ranking highest in the sector [10]
  2. Healthy Financial Structure
    : Current ratio of 1.95, quick ratio of 1.54, low financial risk [10]
  3. Adequate Cash Flow
    : Latest free cash flow of 9.254 billion yuan [11]
  4. Optimal Technical Outlook
    : In a clear upward trend, KDJ shows a bullish signal [9]

Technical Analysis:

  • Trend Type: Upward Trend (to be confirmed)
  • Support Level: 24.05 yuan
  • Resistance Level: 26.84 yuan
  • Next Target Level: 27.57 yuan [9]

Financial Quality:
Neutral financial stance, low debt risk, healthy free cash flow [11]

Investment Suggestion:
Most robust fundamentals and strongest profitability, suitable for long-term allocation by conservative investors.

3.3 XD Electric (601179.SS) – Beneficiary of UHV Construction, Leading Gains

Fundamental Overview:

  • Total Market Capitalization: 73.61 billion yuan
  • Latest Closing Price: 14.36 yuan
  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (PE): 61.04x
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (PB): 3.25x

Core Advantages:

  1. Leading Gains
    : 107.51% gain in 3 months, ranking among the top in the sector [10]
  2. Pure UHV Concept
    : Benefits from the intensive construction of UHV DC channels [3]
  3. High Capital Attention
    : Continuously sought after by margin traders

Technical Analysis:

  • Current price is trading within the range [10.63, 14.75]
  • KDJ Indicator: K value 86.5, D value 83.6, J value 92.3, in a severely overbought state [9]
  • MACD shows a bullish pattern
  • Beta coefficient 0.71, with certain elasticity relative to the broader market

Price Performance:

Period Gain
1 Day +10.04%
1 Month +57.11%
3 Months +107.51%
6 Months +126.50% [10]

Investment Suggestion:
Short-term gains are excessive; pay attention to pullback risks. It will benefit from UHV construction dividends in the medium term.

3.4 Sanbian Technology (002112.SZ) – Gain Champion, Highest Elasticity

Fundamental Overview:

  • Total Market Capitalization: 6.46 billion yuan (small-cap stock)
  • Latest Closing Price: 21.97 yuan
  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (PE): 78.39x
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (PB): 7.42x

Core Advantages:

  1. Gain Champion
    : Cumulative gain of 59.50% since 2026, ranking first in the sector [2]
  2. Small Market Cap, High Elasticity
    : Suitable for participation by aggressive investors

Risk Warnings:

  1. Extremely High Valuation
    : PE of 78.39x and PB of 7.42x, with risks of valuation bubble [10]
  2. Weak Profitability
    : ROE of only 6.85% and net profit margin of 4.28% [10]
  3. Overbought Technical Outlook
    : KDJ is in the overbought zone, and RSI indicates overbought risk [9]

Investment Suggestion:
A high-risk, high-return variety, suitable for short-term speculation by aggressive investors; not recommended for long-term holding.

3.5 Orient Cable (603606.SS) – Overseas Order Breakthrough, Robust Fundamentals

Fundamental Overview:

  • Total Market Capitalization: 40.35 billion yuan
  • Latest Closing Price: 59.24 yuan
  • Price-to-Earnings Ratio (PE): 41.02x
  • Price-to-Book Ratio (PB): 5.30x

Core Advantages:

  1. Major Overseas Order Breakthrough
    : Successfully won an EPCI general contract for UHV submarine cables and installation for the Asian regional marine energy interconnection, with a total amount of 1.9 billion yuan [2]
  2. Impressive Bidding Results
    : Recently won new orders totaling 955 million yuan from State Grid and China Southern Power Grid [2]
  3. Good Profitability
    : ROE of 13.67% and net profit margin of 10.01% [12]

Technical Analysis:

  • Currently in a sideways consolidation phase
  • Trading Range: [58.11, 60.51]
  • KDJ shows a bearish pattern (K value 30.2) [9]
  • MACD shows a bearish pattern

Financial Quality:
Q3 2025 performance exceeded expectations, with EPS increasing by 100% year-on-year [12]

Investment Suggestion:
Short-term performance is weak, but fundamentals are robust and overseas business expansion is progressing smoothly; it is recommended to accumulate on dips.


IV. 2026 Performance Growth Potential Forecast

Based on consistent forecasts from three or more institutions, power grid equipment stocks are expected to see strong performance growth in 2026 [2]:

Stock Code Stock Name 2026 Net Profit Growth Forecast
600869.SH Far East Holding 66%+
603051.SH Guangxin Technology 52%
688191.SH Zhiyang Innovation 41%
301031.SZ Zhongrong Electric 30%+
603606.SH Orient Cable 30%+
600445.SH Jinpan Technology 30%+
300001.SZ TGood 30%+

V. Investment Strategy Recommendations
5.1 Main Investment Themes

According to the research report from CITIC Securities [6], two key directions are recommended:

  1. Leading Enterprises Related to Domestic Grid Investment Prosperity
    : Targets closely related to major projects such as UHV, flexible DC, and digital intelligence
  2. Enterprises Catering to Both Domestic and Overseas Demand
    : Leading enterprises that benefit from domestic major construction investment as well as demand from emerging overseas fields such as AI
5.2 Individual Stock Recommendation Ratings
Stock Code Stock Name Comprehensive Score Investment Suggestion
600089.SS TBEA ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Top Leader, Buy on Pullback
600406.SS NARI Technology ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ Optimal Fundamentals, Long-term Allocation
601179.SS XD Electric ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Large Short-term Gains, Cautious on Chasing Highs
002112.SZ Sanbian Technology ⭐⭐⭐ High-risk Speculation, Quick In and Out
603606.SS Orient Cable ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Robust Fundamentals, Accumulate on Dips
600312.SS Pinggao Electric ⭐⭐⭐⭐ Technical Breakthrough, Upward Trend
5.3 ETF Allocation Plan

Power Grid Equipment ETF (159326)
has the following advantages [1][5]:

  • The only ETF in the market tracking the CSI Power Grid Equipment Theme Index
  • 88% weight in smart grid, the highest in the market
  • 65% weight in UHV, the highest in the market
  • Diversified investment, avoiding single-enterprise risks
  • Net inflow of over 1.9 billion yuan in 5 days, high capital attention

Allocation Suggestion:
For investors with lower risk preference, it is recommended to participate in the sector investment through ETFs, using dollar-cost averaging or adding positions on dips.

5.4 Risk Warnings
  1. Risk of Excessive Short-term Gains
    : The sector has seen large short-term gains, and some individual stocks face pullback pressure
  2. Valuation Risk
    : Small-cap stocks such as Sanbian Technology are overvalued
  3. Risk of Policy Underperformance
    : Grid investment progress may be affected by macroeconomic factors
  4. Risk of Raw Material Price Fluctuations
    : Fluctuations in prices of raw materials such as copper and aluminum affect gross profit margins

VI. Comprehensive Technical Assessment
6.1 K-line Chart Analysis of Main Targets

TBEA (600089.SS):

TBEA K-line Chart

NARI Technology (600406.SS):

NARI Technology K-line Chart

XD Electric (601179.SS):

XD Electric K-line Chart

6.2 Summary of Technical Indicators
Stock Code Stock Name MACD Signal KDJ Signal RSI Signal Trend Judgment
600089.SS TBEA Bullish Overbought Warning Overbought Risk Sideways Consolidation
600406.SS NARI Technology Bullish Bullish Signal Overbought Risk
Upward Trend
601179.SS XD Electric Bullish Overbought Warning Overbought Risk Sideways Consolidation
002112.SZ Sanbian Technology Bullish Overbought Warning Overbought Risk Sideways Consolidation
603606.SS Orient Cable Bearish Bearish Signal Normal Range Sideways Consolidation
600312.SS Pinggao Electric Bullish Overbought Warning Overbought Risk
Upward Trend
[9]

VII. Conclusions and Outlook
7.1 Core Conclusions

The smart grid equipment sector is in a period of dual positive catalysts from the 15th Five-Year Plan investment cycle and explosive overseas AI-related power demand, with the following characteristics:

  1. High Policy Certainty
    : The 4 trillion yuan investment plan by State Grid provides clear growth space for the industry
  2. Promising Performance Growth
    : The vast majority of power grid equipment stocks will achieve year-on-year positive growth in 2026
  3. Relatively Reasonable Valuation
    : The sector’s overall PE is about 30x, which is at the historical median level
  4. Continuous Capital Inflow
    : Margin traders and ETF funds continue to increase positions
7.2 Assessment of Sustained Upside Potential

Targets with High Sustained Upside Potential:

  • NARI Technology (600406.SS)
    : Most robust fundamentals, strongest profitability, upward trend
  • TBEA (600089.SS)
    : Stable leading position, highest capital attention, high certainty of performance growth
  • Orient Cable (603606.SS)
    : Overseas order breakthrough, solid fundamentals, sufficient adjustment

Short-term Speculation Targets:

  • Sbian Technology (002112.SZ)
    : Gain champion, high elasticity, but high risk
  • XD Electric (601179.SS)
    : Benefits from UHV construction, but short-term gains are excessive
7.3 Investment Recommendations
  1. Conservative Investors
    : Focus on allocating
    NARI Technology
    , supplemented by
    Power Grid Equipment ETF (159326)
  2. Aggressive Investors
    : Position
    TBEA
    and
    Orient Cable
    on pullbacks
  3. Extremely Aggressive Investors
    : May moderately participate in short-term speculation of
    Sbian Technology
    and
    XD Electric

References

[1] Surge! 4 Trillion Yuan Targets the Sector - FX168 Financial News

[2] 4 Trillion Yuan Investment Boost! Power Grid Equipment Benefits, List of High-Growth Potential Stocks Released - Eastmoney

[3] Sector Movement | UHV, Smart Grid, Virtual Power Plant-related Indices Perform Impressively - Eastmoney

[4] Policy-driven Construction of Industrial Green Microgrids, Grid Investment Faces Certain Opportunities - National Business Daily

[5] AI-driven Trillion-yuan Grid Investment, the Sector Faces Multiple Positive Catalysts - Caifuhao

[6] CITIC Securities: State Grid Investment Plan Solidifies Stable Growth Expectations for the 15th Five-Year Plan - Securities Times

[7] China Galaxy Securities: Domestic Grid Investment Exceeds 1 Trillion Yuan per Year - 9fzt

[8] Grid Investment Faces Certain Opportunities, Power Grid Equipment ETF Sees Capital Inflows - Hexun

[9] Jinling AI Technical Analysis Data [0]

[10] Jinling AI Company Profile Data [0]

[11] Jinling AI Financial Analysis Data [0]

[12] Jinling AI

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.