Analysis of Competitiveness and Investment Value of Gree Electric's Silicon Carbide (SiC) Chip Business

#gree_electric #sic_semiconductor #carbon_silicon_chip #investment_analysis #home_appliances #ev_semiconductors #import_substitution #value_investment
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January 20, 2026

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Based on collected data and industry information, I now present to you a complete analysis report.


Analysis of Competitiveness and Investment Value of Gree Electric’s Silicon Carbide (SiC) Chip Business
I. Industry Background: The High-Growth Track of Silicon Carbide Semiconductors
1.1 Market Size and Growth Trends

Silicon Carbide (SiC), as a third-generation semiconductor material, is currently in an industry boom period. According to the latest industry data [1][2], the global SiC device market shows strong growth momentum:

Indicator 2024 2025 (E) 2034 (E) CAGR
Global Market Size USD 4.02 billion USD 5.04 billion USD 18.61 billion 17.72%
China Market Size RMB 1.9 billion RMB 2.7 billion RMB 18.6 billion 58.64%

Key Insights:

  • The growth rate of China’s SiC device market far outpaces the global average, with a CAGR of 58.64% [1]
  • The automotive sector accounts for approximately 70.6% of the SiC application market, making it the largest application scenario [1]
  • New energy vehicle main drive applications account for about 90%, serving as the core growth driver [2]
1.2 Global Competitive Landscape

The global SiC device market presents an

oligopoly-dominated
pattern:

Rank Company 2024 Revenue Market Share Country
1 STMicroelectronics (STMicro) USD 1.1 billion 25.2% France
2 onsemi USD 820 million 18.9% US
3 Infineon USD 734 million 16.9% Germany
4 Wolfspeed USD 395 million 9.1% US
5 Bosch USD 191 million 4.4% Germany
6 ROHM USD 174 million 4.0% Japan
7
Chinese Enterprises (UNT)
USD 140 million
3.2%
China
8 Sanan Integrated USD 123 million 2.8% China

Key Findings:

  • Chinese enterprises are rising rapidly; UNT achieved 188% YoY growth, while Sanan Integrated recorded 55% YoY growth [2]
  • Approximately 90% of the China market is still dominated by overseas enterprises, leaving huge room for domestic substitution [1]
  • Xilian Integration has become the top enterprise in domestic vehicle-grade SiC MOSFET product shipments [2]

II. Analysis of Gree Electric’s SiC Business Layout
2.1 Business Development History

Gree Electric has a clear strategic path for its cross-border semiconductor business [3][4]:

Time Node Milestone Event
2015 Entered the chip field and established the Communication Technology Research Institute
2018 Founded Zhuhai Zero Boundary Integrated Circuit Co., Ltd., focusing on MCU chip design
2022 Founded Zhuhai Gree Electronic Components Co., Ltd., responsible for SiC business
December 2022 Started piling for the SiC chip factory
End of 2023 SiC products rolled off the production line
2024 Achieved mass production of SiC chips for home appliances, with cumulative installations exceeding 2 million air conditioners
2025 Cumulative chip sales exceeded 300 million units
2026 (E) Mass production of SiC chips for photovoltaic energy storage and logistics vehicles
2.2 Production Capacity and Technology Layout

Production Capacity Plan:

  • Phase I Plan: Annual production capacity of
    240,000 6-inch SiC wafers
    [3]
  • Production Line Configuration: 6-inch and 8-inch compatible equipment, fully automated overhead crane system
  • Core Capabilities: SiC wafer manufacturing, power device packaging and testing, semiconductor testing services

Technical Indicators:

  • Yield rate of SiC power chips reaches
    99.6%
    [5]
  • Production costs are
    18% lower
    than the industry average [5]
  • The chip team has nearly 1,000 members, with technical personnel accounting for over 60% [4]
2.3 Application Scenario Expansion Path

Gree’s SiC business adopts a phased expansion strategy of

“Home Appliances → Photovoltaic Energy Storage → New Energy Vehicles”
:

Phase 1: Home Appliance Applications (Completed)
├── Air Conditioners: Installations and shipments exceed 2 million units
├── Energy Efficiency Improvement: Significant improvement in APF energy efficiency ratio
└── Energy Saving Effect: Supports energy efficiency upgrades of China's air conditioners/refrigerators

Phase 2: Industrial and New Energy (Mass Production in 2026)
├── Photovoltaic Energy Storage: Reduced temperature, improved energy efficiency
├── Logistics Vehicles: Application of SiC devices
└── Central Air Conditioning Chillers: Energy efficiency optimization

Phase 3: Automotive Chips (In Planning)
├── Target Customer: GAC Group (to supply half of its automotive chips)
├── Application Scenarios: Main drive inverters, charging modules
└── Certification Progress: Vehicle-grade testing service capabilities

III. Competitiveness Assessment
3.1 Core Competitive Advantages

1. Cost Advantage

  • Self-developed SiC chips have a yield rate of 99.6%, with production costs 18% lower than the industry average [5]
  • Leverages Gree’s home appliance scale effect to enjoy cost-sharing advantages
  • The “independent controllable, open foundry” strategy reduces marginal costs

2. Synergy Advantage

  • The core home appliance business provides stable cash flow and market demand
  • The photovoltaic energy storage business (Gree Titanium) forms synergy with SiC
  • Vertical Integration: Full-stack capabilities from chip design to module packaging

3. Capital and Resource Advantages

  • RMB 111.4 billion in cash reserves, providing continuous R&D investment support [5]
  • Gree’s brand effect helps build customer trust
3.2 Competitive Disadvantages and Risks
Disadvantage/Risk Detailed Description
Weak Technical Accumulation
Compared to decades of technical accumulation by giants like STMicroelectronics and Infineon, Gree entered the market relatively late
Extremely Low Market Share
Global SiC market share is less than 1%, with a huge gap compared to leading enterprises
Long Vehicle-Grade Certification Cycle
Automotive chip certification usually takes 2-3 years, and mass production introduction requires time
Industry Low-Price Competition
The domestic SiC industry faces price war pressure [4]
Dependence on Imported Equipment
Some equipment parts still rely on imports, posing supply chain risks [4]
3.3 Comparison with Competitors
Dimension Gree Electric Xilian Integration Star Semiconductor BYD Semiconductor
Business Model
IDM + Foundry Foundry Fabless + Modules IDM
SiC Revenue
Not Disclosed Separately RMB 1.016 billion (2024) Rapid Growth Large Scale
Vehicle-Grade Certification
Under Construction Mass Production Achieved Mass Production Achieved Mass Production Achieved
Production Capacity Scale
240,000 units/year Large Scale Packaging-Focused Large Scale
Technology Node
6/8-inch 8-inch Leading 6/8-inch 6-inch
Client Base
Home Appliances → Automotive Mainly Automakers Mainly Automakers Self-Supply + Export

IV. Financial Performance and Valuation Analysis
4.1 Core Financial Indicators of Gree Electric

Based on the latest market data [0]:

Indicator Value Industry Position
Market Capitalization USD 227.6 billion Home Appliance Leader
Stock Price $41.21 Near the bottom of the range
P/E (TTM)
7.18x
Significantly lower than industry average
P/B
1.58x
At a historical low
ROE
22.62%
Industry-leading level
Net Profit Margin
17.62%
Remains strong
Dividend Yield
~7.2%
High dividend appeal
Asset-Liability Ratio Low Risk Financially stable
4.2 Valuation Analysis

Horizontal Comparison (Home Appliance Industry):

Company P/E P/B ROE Investment Rating
Gree Electric
7.18x
1.58x
22.62%
Undervalued
Midea Group 12x 2.5x 20%+ Fairly Valued
Haier Smart Home 15x 2.8x 18%+ Overvalued
Industry Average 10x 2.0x 18% -

Valuation Conclusion:

  • Gree Electric’s P/E is
    40% discounted
    compared to Midea Group, leaving room for valuation repair
  • The high dividend rate (7.2%) is attractive in the current low-interest rate environment
  • The semiconductor business is still in the investment phase, contributing limitedly to valuation
4.3 Performance Pressure and Risks

Recent Performance Pressure:

  • Q3 2025 revenue reached USD 4.003 billion, lower than market expectations (USD 4.854 billion) [0]
  • Q3 2025 EPS was $1.26, lower than the expected $1.44 (-12.5%)
  • The stock price has fallen 13.91% in the past 6 months, underperforming the broader market

V. Investment Value Assessment
5.1 Investment Logic

Core Logic: Undervaluation + High Dividends + Transformation Potential

Investment Highlight Analysis
Adequate Safety Margin
P/E of 7.18x is at a historical low, and P/B of 1.58x provides a high safety margin
High Dividend Return
Dividend rate of approximately 7.2%, with cumulative dividends exceeding RMB 177.6 billion since listing
Stable Core Business
The air conditioner business has strong profitability, with ROE maintained above 20%
Policy Dividends
Trade-in policies drive air conditioner sales growth
Transformation Option
The SiC business provides long-term growth option value
5.2 Valuation Reference for SiC Business

Since Gree Electric’s SiC business has not been disclosed separately, the segment valuation method is used for estimation:

Business Segment Valuation Method Valuation Range
Home Appliance Core Business P/E 7x + Dividend Discount Model RMB 180-200 billion
SiC Business PS valuation referencing Xilian Integration RMB 5-10 billion
Energy Storage Business (Gree Titanium) Industry referencing RMB 8-12 billion
Total
-
RMB 193-222 billion

The current market capitalization is approximately RMB 227.6 billion, which basically reflects the value of the home appliance core business, with the SiC business providing option value.

5.3 Investment Risk Warning
Risk Type Specific Content
Short-Term Performance Risk
Intensified competition in the air conditioner industry, fluctuations in raw material prices
Real Estate Market Risk
Affects new demand for air conditioners
Transformation Underperformance Risk
The SiC business has not yet contributed significant profits
Management Turnover Risk
Governance uncertainty in the “post-Dong Mingzhu era”
Technical Risk
Vehicle-grade certification progress may be slower than expected
5.4 Investment Recommendations
Dimension Assessment
Investment Rating
Neutral-Optimistic
Suitable Investors
Stable, long-term investors
Entry Timing
Can accumulate on dips when approaching below RMB 40
Target Price Range
RMB 45-55 (based on core business recovery)
Catalysts to Watch
Breakthroughs in SiC business, GAC cooperation implementation, performance recovery

VI. Conclusion and Outlook
6.1 Core Conclusions
  1. Industry Level:
    SiC semiconductors are a high-growth track in a boom period, with China’s market recording a CAGR of over 58%, leaving huge room for domestic substitution.

  2. Competitiveness Level:
    Gree Electric has cost and synergy advantages in the SiC field, but lags far behind leading enterprises in technical accumulation and market position, serving as a “follower”.

  3. Business Progress Level:
    SiC chips for home appliances have achieved mass production, and will expand to photovoltaic energy storage and logistics vehicle sectors in 2026, while automotive chips are still in the early layout stage.

  4. Valuation Level:
    The current P/E of 7.18x is at a historical low, with the high dividend rate providing a favorable safety margin, yet the semiconductor business is unable to contribute significant profits in the short term.

  5. Investment Recommendation:
    Gree Electric is suitable for long-term allocation by stable investors; its main value lies in undervaluation and high dividends, with the SiC business providing long-term option value, but investors need to pay attention to transformation progress and performance fluctuation risks.

6.2 Key Observation Points for the Future
Time Node Indicators to Watch
Q1 2026 Mass production progress of SiC chips for photovoltaic energy storage and logistics vehicles
Full Year 2026 Implementation of cooperation with GAC Group
2026-2027 Breakthroughs in vehicle-grade chip certification
2027-2028 Revenue contribution ratio of the SiC business

References

[0] Jinling API Data - Gree Electric (000651.SZ) Company Profile and Market Data

[1] Zhiyan Consulting - 2025 Global and China SiC Device Industry Market Size and Competitive Landscape Analysis (https://www.chyxx.com/industry/1241871.html)

[2] EET China - Global SiC Market Share Ranking Released, STMicroelectronics Remains Top (https://www.eet-china.com/mp/a435655.html)

[3] Sina Finance - Gree Electric’s Vehicle-Grade SiC Chips Will Enter Mass Production, Dong Mingzhu Says It Will Supply Half of GAC’s Automotive Chips in the Future (https://finance.sina.com.cn/tech/roll/2026-01-20/doc-inhhxqwv7222576.shtml)

[4] IT Home - Gree Electric’s Vehicle-Grade SiC Chips Will Enter Mass Production, Dong Mingzhu Says It Will Supply Half of GAC’s Automotive Chips in the Future (https://www.ithome.com/0/914/730.htm)

[5] East Money - Investment Value of Gree Electric at RMB 40: Doubao Analysis (https://caifuhao.eastmoney.com/news/20251013122216236128780)

[6] Xilian Integration Research Report - Domestic Vehicle-Grade Foundry Leader, Expanding SiC Production Capacity (https://pdf.dfcfw.com/pdf/H3_AP202508181729782980_1.pdf)

[7] Fortune Business Insights - Silicon Carbide (SiC) Devices Market (https://www.fortunebusinessinsights.com/zh/silicon-carbide-sic-devices-market-112103)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.