In-Depth Analysis Report on Haidilao Founder Zhang Yong Resuming the CEO Role

#executive_change #leadership_transition #turnover_rate_decline #earnings_downturn #red_pomegranate_plan #multi_brand_strategy #hotpot_industry #catering_sector #6862_hk
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January 21, 2026

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In-Depth Analysis Report on Haidilao Founder Zhang Yong Resuming the CEO Role
I. Event Overview: Three CEO Changes in Four Years, Founder Returns to Frontline Operations

On January 13, 2026, Haidilao (Stock Code: 6862.HK) issued an announcement stating that its founder Zhang Yong would resume his position as Chief Executive Officer (CEO), replacing Gou Yiqun who had served for only 18 months [1][2][3]. This marks the fourth major management reshuffle of Haidilao since 2022, with the specific timeline as follows:

Time Change Background
June 2022 Zhang Yong → Yang Lijuan First handover, launched the “Woodpecker Plan” for contraction and adjustment
June 2024 Yang Lijuan → Gou Yiqun The “Top Waitress” stepped down, focusing on digitalization and innovative businesses
January 2026 Gou Yiqun → Zhang Yong Founder returns to revitalize core business and advance the “Red Pomegranate Plan”

Following this adjustment, Zhang Yong will concurrently serve as Chairman of the Board and CEO, forming an “integrated” governance structure [1]. The company explained that although this structure deviates from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange’s recommendation to separate the roles of Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, it has established checks and balances such as six independent non-executive directors, a collective decision-making system, and regular meetings, which will not undermine the balance of power [1].

Concurrent Board Adjustments:
  • Resignations
    : Gou Yiqun (transferred to Group Intelligent Automation Planning), Song Qing (transferred to Director of the Product Committee), Gao Jie
  • New Executive Directors
    : Li Nana (Regional Manager of Jiangsu Region), Zhu Yinhua (Trainee Regional Manager of Hubei and Chongqing), Jiao Defeng (Head of Product Management Department), Zhu Xuanyi (Secretary-General of the CEO Secretariat)
  • Characteristics
    : The four new executive directors have an average tenure of nearly 20 years, are aged 35-44, and all come from frontline operations and core functional positions [2][3]

II. Performance Dilemma: Dual Decline in Revenue and Net Profit, Table Turnover Rate Breaches Warning Line
2.1 Comprehensive Decline in Core Financial Indicators

According to Haidilao’s 2025 interim results report, the company is facing the most severe growth pressure in recent years [1][2][4]:

Indicator H1 2024 H1 2025 Year-on-Year Change
Operating Revenue
RMB 21.482 billion RMB 20.703 billion
-3.66%
Net Profit
RMB 2.038 billion RMB 1.759 billion
-13.72%
Core Operating Profit
RMB 2.800 billion RMB 2.408 billion
-14.00%
Table Turnover Rate of Self-Operated Restaurants
4.2 turns/day 3.8 turns/day
-9.52%

Haidilao Financial Trend Analysis

2.2 Table Turnover Rate Issue is Particularly Severe

The table turnover rate is a core operational indicator for Haidilao, with 4 turns/day regarded as the “warning line” — according to the “Woodpecker Plan”, in principle, large-scale opening of new stores will not be carried out when the average table turnover rate of stores is below 4 turns/day [2][4].

Performance by City Tier:
  • First-Tier Cities
    : Table turnover rate dropped significantly; intensified competition led to customer diversion to cost-effective catering
  • Second-Tier Cities
    : Also under pressure, with an obvious trend of consumption downgrade
  • Third-Tier and Lower-Tier Cities
    : Table turnover rate also declined, and the dividend of sinking markets has faded

Haidilao admitted in its financial report: “The company believes that the performance decline during this period reflects deficiencies in the management’s capabilities. As the management team, we will continue to work hard and make improvements.” [2]

2.3 Attenuation of Long-Term Growth Momentum
Indicator 2022 2023 2024 H1 2025
Revenue Growth Rate -80.5% 61.5% 3.14% -3.66%
Net Profit Growth Rate -455.3% 174.0% 4.65% -13.72%

For the full year of 2024, Haidilao achieved an operating revenue of RMB 42.755 billion and a net profit of RMB 4.708 billion, but the revenue growth rate and net profit growth rate dropped to 3.14% and 4.65% respectively, both falling to single digits [2]. The first half of 2025 even saw negative growth with “dual declines in revenue and net profit”.


III. Industry Background: Hot Pot Track Enters Stock Competition Stage
3.1 Market Capacity Peaks and Declines

According to the 2026 Chinese Catering White Paper released by Nestlé Professional [2]:

  • In 2024, the number of hot pot restaurants reached a
    peak
    of 545,000
  • It is expected to drop to
    470,000
    in 2025
  • The market is squeezing out “bubbles” through fierce reshuffling
3.2 Market Value Evaporation of Leading Enterprises
Enterprise Peak in February 2021 January 2026 Decline
Haidilao (6862.HK) Approximately HK$450 billion Approximately HK$88 billion
-80%
Xiabuxiabu (0520.HK) Approximately HK$30 billion Approximately HK$825 million
-97%

The market values of the two hot pot leaders have shrunk significantly from their peaks, reflecting that the capital market’s valuation logic for the hot pot track is being reshaped.

Haidilao Comprehensive Analysis


IV. Zhang Yong’s Return: Strategic Intent and Core Challenges
4.1 Analysis of Return Background
Direct Triggering Factors:
  1. Continuous performance decline has raised the board’s doubts about the management’s capabilities
  2. Although the “Red Pomegranate Plan” has made progress, it is difficult to reverse the downturn of the core business in the short term
  3. A more authoritative decision-maker is needed to accelerate strategic implementation and resource integration
Underlying Reasons:
  • The consumer industry has entered the era of the “Five-More Strategy” (multi-brand operation, multi-category layout, multi-scenario extension, multi-channel construction, multi-consumer group development) [2]
  • The difficulty of synergy among diversified businesses has increased, requiring founder-level coordination capabilities
  • Although Zhang Yong stepped down as CEO, he has always participated in core decision-making as Chairman of the Board
4.2 Management Evaluation and Expectations

Zhu Danpeng, Vice President of the Guangdong Food Safety Promotion Association, said:

“For Haidilao, Zhang Yong’s return is very timely and necessary. In the context of multi-brand operation, multi-category layout, and multi-scenario extension, who can balance more resources and improve efficiency better? After Zhang Yong returns as CEO, many problems will be easily solved.” [1]

Analysis from Insiders:

“The ‘Red Pomegranate Plan’ currently urgently needs a decision-maker who can ‘make final decisions and quickly correct deviations’ — founder and major shareholder Zhang Yong is an authoritative candidate who requires no running-in. His return will accelerate the implementation efficiency of the ‘Red Pomegranate Plan’ and turn the already drawn blueprint of the ‘second growth curve’ into real growth as soon as possible.” [2]

4.3 Core Challenges
Challenge Specific Performance
Revitalizing Table Turnover Rate
Need to increase the table turnover rate from 3.8 turns/day to above 4 turns/day to avoid triggering the store closure mechanism
Cost Control
Optimize cost structure while maintaining service quality to improve single-store profitability
Innovative Business Integration
Coordinate the multi-brand matrix of 14 brands and 126 stores to avoid resource dispersion
Restoring Consumer Confidence
Respond to the trend of consumption downgrade and balance high-end positioning and cost-effective demands
Talent Echelon Construction
The new executive directors are younger, so it is necessary to establish an effective talent training and authorization mechanism

V. “Red Pomegranate Plan”: Exploration and Results of the Second Growth Curve
5.1 Plan Overview

The “Red Pomegranate Plan” was officially launched in August 2024, serving as Haidilao’s core strategy for multi-brand and multi-category development [1][3][4]:

Core Objectives:
  • Incubate 14 catering brands covering multiple categories such as hot pot, barbecue, fried food, fish hot pot, noodle restaurants, and Chinese cuisine
  • Build a “satellite store” network and explore the takeaway super kitchen model
  • Improve operational efficiency through new management models such as “dual-store management” and “multi-store management”
5.2 Incubation Results
Brand Business Format Number of Stores Characteristics
Yanqing BBQ Shop BBQ + Hair Washing + Night Bar 70 Benchmark project for composite business format
Xiao Hi Loves Fried Food Fried Food - Attempt at fast food transformation
Congqian Yinxiang - - -
Brother Miao’s Fish Hot Pot Fish Hot Pot - Niche category
Shibacuan Noodle Restaurant Noodle Restaurant - Fast food track
Hanye Chinese Cuisine Chinese Cuisine - Extension of formal dining
5.3 Performance Contribution
Indicator 2024 H1 2025 Year-on-Year Change
Revenue from Other Restaurants - RMB 597 million
+227.0%
Number of Brand Stores - 126 -
Number of Incubated Brands - 14 -
New Explorations in 2026:
  • Haidilao Food Stall Hot Pot
    : The first national store opened in Guangzhou in December 2025, and was subsequently rolled out in cities such as Shanghai, Qingdao, and Wuhan [2]
  • Per capita consumption is positioned at around RMB 60, focusing on the food stall scene and cost-effective positioning
5.4 Limitation Analysis

Although the “Red Pomegranate Plan” has impressive growth rates, it has the following limitations:

  1. Too Small Revenue Share
    : RMB 597 million only accounts for 2.9% of total revenue, which is difficult to impact the core business
  2. Long Cultivation Cycle
    : New brands need time to build consumer awareness
  3. Resource Dispersion
    : Multi-brand operation disperses management energy and resources
  4. Homogeneous Competition
    : Each brand still faces fierce competition in niche markets

VI. Market Reaction and Valuation Analysis
6.1 Stock Price Performance
Time Node Stock Price Change Remarks
Before Announcement (2026-01-13) HK$14.42 - -
First Trading Day After Announcement (2026-01-14) HK$15.74
+9.15%
Sharp increase
Current (2026-01-20) HK$15.65 - -

The market responded positively to Zhang Yong’s return, with the stock price surging over 9% in a single day [2].

6.2 Technical Analysis Signals

According to technical analysis indicators [0]:

Indicator Value Signal Interpretation
Latest Closing Price HK$15.65 -
Stock Price Range $14.71 - $15.88 Range oscillation
Trend Judgment Sideways consolidation No obvious trend
MACD No crossover Slightly bullish
KDJ K:78.2, D:68.5, J:97.6 Overbought zone
RSI Overbought risk Possible short-term pullback
Beta 0.48 Low correlation with Hong Kong stocks
6.3 Valuation Level
Indicator Value Industry Comparison
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) 17.34x Reasonable range
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) 8.02x Slightly high
Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S) 1.80x -
ROE 44.26% Excellent
Net Profit Margin 10.55% Stable

The current valuation is at a historical low, with a market value of approximately HK$88 billion [0], but considering the performance decline trend, valuation recovery still awaits fundamental improvement.


VII. Highlights of Innovative Businesses: Incremental Contributions from Takeaway and Franchising
7.1 High-Speed Growth of Takeaway Business
Indicator H1 2024 H1 2025 Year-on-Year Change
Takeaway Business Revenue Approximately RMB 580 million RMB 928 million
+60%
Proportion of Total Revenue - 4.5% -
Contribution of Hot Pot Dishes for Rice - >55% -
Growth Drivers:
  • Single-Dining Scenario
    : Hot pot dishes for rice accurately target single residents/white-collar workers
  • Product Innovation
    : Testing of new categories such as Haidilao rice bowls and homemade beverages
  • Channel Expansion
    : Integrate third-party platforms and membership systems to build private domain operations
Future Plans:
  • Build Haidilao takeaway super kitchens
  • Explore new satellite store models
  • Drive dual growth in revenue and profit
7.2 Accelerated Expansion of Franchise Business

Haidilao opened its franchise business in the second half of 2024 as an important means of rapid expansion and asset-light operation:

Indicator Performance
Number of Franchise Stores Rapid growth
Expansion Speed Faster than self-operated stores
Coverage Area Mainly sinking markets

VIII. Future Outlook and Investment Recommendations
8.1 Short-Term (2026)
Key Observation Points:
  1. Whether Table Turnover Rate Can Stabilize and Rebound
    : Zhang Yong’s top priority after returning is to stabilize the basic business
  2. Cost Control Effect
    : Optimize cost structure while maintaining service quality
  3. Rhythm of New Brand Incubation
    : Balance expansion speed and single-store success rate
Expected Scenarios:
  • Optimistic
    : Table turnover rate rebounds to above 4 turns/day, annual revenue remains flat or grows slightly
  • Neutral
    : Table turnover rate remains between 3.8-4.0 turns/day, revenue continues to decline slightly
  • Pessimistic
    : Table turnover rate declines further, triggering store adjustments
8.2 Medium-to-Long-Term (2027-2028)
Core Variables:
  1. Effectiveness of the “Red Pomegranate Plan”
    : Cultivation status and revenue contribution of 14 brands
  2. Industry Integration Opportunities
    : Whether the reshuffle of the hot pot track brings merger and acquisition opportunities
  3. Internationalization Progress
    : Independent development of SeaHi International (Haidilao’s overseas business)
  4. Digital Transformation
    : Implementation of intelligent and automated plans led by Gou Yiqun
8.3 Investment Rating and Risk Warning
Dimension Assessment
Investment Rating
Hold/Watch
(awaiting fundamental verification)
Catalysts
Rebound in table turnover rate, higher-than-expected growth of innovative businesses, effectiveness of Zhang Yong’s strategy
Risk Factors
Sustained consumption downgrade, intensified industry competition, continued decline in table turnover rate
Valuation Support
17x PE is at a historical low, but requires matching performance

IX. Conclusion
Can Zhang Yong’s Return Reverse the Slowdown in Growth?

Comprehensive Assessment: Neutral to Positive, but Requires Time to Verify

Supporting Factors:
  1. ✅ The founder’s return has strong symbolic significance and execution guarantee
  2. ✅ Zhang Yong has rich experience in crisis response (multiple strategic adjustments after the 2018 listing)
  3. ✅ The “Red Pomegranate Plan” has initially shown results, and the multi-brand matrix has taken shape
  4. ✅ Innovative businesses (takeaway, franchising) have strong growth with room for increment
  5. ✅ The sharp rise in stock price shows the market’s recognition of the management adjustment
Restrictive Factors:
  1. ❌ The table turnover rate has fallen below the 4 turns/day warning line, which is difficult to reverse quickly in the short term
  2. ❌ The hot pot industry has entered stock competition, with narrowed market space
  3. ❌ The trend of consumption downgrade continues, putting pressure on the high-end positioning
  4. ❌ The revenue share of the “Red Pomegranate Plan” is still small, making it difficult to drive growth in the short term
  5. ❌ 80% of the market value has evaporated from its peak, and recovery requires long-term fundamental support
Core Judgment

Zhang Yong resuming the CEO position is a key personnel adjustment for Haidilao to address growth bottlenecks, but whether it can truly turn the situation around depends on the answers to the following three core questions:

  1. Core Business Defense Battle
    : Can the table turnover rate stop declining and rebound to the safe range of 4 turns/day?
  2. Innovation Breakthrough
    : Can the “Red Pomegranate Plan” incubate a second “Haidilao”?
  3. Organizational Efficiency
    : Can the collaboration between the young management team and the founder generate a chemical reaction?

In the short term (first half of 2026), Haidilao’s fundamentals are difficult to reverse quickly. It is recommended that investors be patient and observe the specific strategic measures and execution effects after Zhang Yong’s return.


References

[1] Securities Times - “Three CEO Changes in Four Years! Zhang Yong Resumes Control of Haidilao, Can Innovative Businesses Carve Out a New Future?” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3592830.html)

[2] Investment Times/Time Weekly - “Three CEO Changes in Four Years, Zhang Yong Takes the Helm: Haidilao to Launch Food Stall Format in 2026” (https://news.pedaily.cn/202601/560047.shtml)

[3] China News Service - “Founder Comes Out of Retirement, Is Haidilao Embarking on a Second Entrepreneurship?” (https://www.chinanews.com.cn/cj/2026/01-15/10552401.shtml)

[4] Southern Plus - “Table Turnover Rate Declines, Haidilao Seeks Increment from Takeaway in H1 2025” (https://www.nfnews.com/content/X3RvM0pD3P.html)

[0] Jinling AI Financial Database - Haidilao (6862.HK) Company Profile, Financial Analysis, Technical Analysis

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.