Analysis of the Impact of Regular RMB 1,499 Subscription for Flying Moutai via Moutai’s iMoutai Platform on the Distributor System

#liquor_industry #moutai #channel_reform #e-commerce #distributor_system #flying_maotai #pricing_system #direct_sales
Mixed
A-Share
January 21, 2026

Unlock More Features

Login to access AI-powered analysis, deep research reports and more advanced features

About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.

Related Stocks

600519
--
600519
--

Based on collected materials and market data, I will provide you with a systematic and comprehensive analysis.


Analysis of the Impact of Regular RMB 1,499 Subscription for Flying Moutai via Moutai’s iMoutai Platform on the Distributor System
I. Event Background and Core Changes

On January 1, 2026, Kweichow Moutai officially launched the 53% ABV 500ml Flying Moutai on its self-operated e-commerce platform “iMoutai”, with regular subscriptions available at the official guidance price of RMB 1,499 per bottle. This measure marks a major breakthrough in Moutai’s channel reform, as Flying Moutai is made available to end consumers on a large scale at the official parity price for the first time[1][2][3].

1.1 Platform Sales Performance
Indicator Data
New users in 9 days after launch Over 2.7 million
Paid users Over 400,000
Wine-purchasing users in the first 3 days Over 100,000
Daily supply volume Dynamically adjusted; 12 bottles per person limit on launch day, later adjusted to 6 bottles per person

The iMoutai platform saw tens of millions of users flood in to snap up products between January 1 and 3, 2026, and the app briefly topped the free shopping chart on Apple’s App Store[1][3].


II. Multi-Dimensional Impacts on the Distributor System
2.1 Collapse of the Price System – Wholesale Price Falls Below Guidance Price

The wholesale price of Flying Moutai saw a significant decline after the launch of iMoutai:

Time Point Wholesale Price of Loose Bottles (RMB/bottle) Wholesale Price of Original Cases (RMB/bottle)
December 31, 2025 Approximately 1,565 Approximately 1,560
January 3, 2026 1,500-1,510 Approximately 1,505
January 4, 2026 Fell below 1,499 Approximately 1,505
January 20, 2026 1,530 1,540

Throughout 2025, the wholesale price of Flying Moutai dropped from approximately RMB 2,220 per bottle at the start of the year to around RMB 1,550 per bottle at the end, a decline of over 30%[1][4][5]. The regular supply on iMoutai further compressed the spread between the wholesale price and the official pricing.

2.2 Significant Compression of Profit Margins – From “Easy Profits” to Thin-Margin Operations

The profit model of traditional distributors is built on the spread between the ex-factory price and the market price:

Price Component Amount (RMB/bottle)
Ex-factory price 1,169
Official guidance price (iMoutai) 1,499
Traditional wholesale price spread Approximately 330
Current wholesale price Approximately 1,530-1,550
Actual spread Approximately 360-380

However, due to the continuous decline in the market price, the actual profit margins of distributors have been significantly compressed. Industry insiders pointed out that the era of premium pricing for Flying Moutai has passed, and distributors can no longer make “easy profits”[1][2][6].

2.3 Complete Overhaul of the Scalper Ecosystem

After the launch of iMoutai, the living space of scalpers has been severely squeezed:

  • Plunge in recycling prices
    : In 2026, the scalper recycling price for Flying Moutai dropped to RMB 1,400-1,450 per bottle, leaving almost no arbitrage space[3][7]
  • Sharp contraction of premiums
    : The recycling price for original cases of regular Moutai has fallen to approximately RMB 200 per case, with a per-bottle premium of only about RMB 30, barely enough to buy a high-end milk tea[7]
  • Traditional arbitrage models invalidated
    : Consumers no longer need to queue outside specialty stores to snap up the product, and the online direct purchase model has rendered scalpers’ “staking out” practices meaningless[1][3]
2.4 Escalated Inventory and Capital Pressure on Distributors

The continuous decline in market conditions has brought severe capital pressure to distributors:

“I wake up every day losing money.” ——Liquor distributor[6]

Capital Turnover Dilemma
:

  • When paying RMB 5 million for the first batch of goods, the corresponding inventory could still be liquidated at a market value of RMB 5 million
  • When paying another RMB 5 million, the realizable market value of the same products dropped to over RMB 4 million
  • As prices continue to decline, the market value of subsequent stock purchases may fall to over RMB 3 million[6]

III. Strategic Expansion of Moutai’s Direct Sales Channels
3.1 Continuous Rise in Direct Sales Share

Moutai’s channel structure is undergoing fundamental changes, with the share of revenue from direct sales channels soaring from 8.5% in 2019 to 45.69% in 2023:

Year Direct Sales Channel Revenue (100 million RMB) Share
2021 240.29 22.7%
2022 493.79 39.89%
2024 748.43 43.87%

As a core direct sales carrier, iMoutai achieved approximately RMB 20 billion in sales in 2024, and RMB 12.692 billion in the first three quarters of 2025[1][3].

3.2 Channel Structure Transformation – From “Dual” to “Multi-Dimensional”

Moutai’s 2026 market-oriented operation plan shows that its operation model is transitioning from the traditional dual structure of “self-operated sales + distribution” to a multi-dimensional collaboration model of “self-operated sales + distribution + consignment sales + entrusted sales”[8]:

Model Description
Self-operated sales Own channels such as direct stores and iMoutai
Distribution Traditional distributor system
Consignment sales Engaging channel partners to sell on behalf
Entrusted sales Entrusted channel consignment model
3.3 Product System Restructuring – “Pyramid” Structure

Moutai has clearly established a “pyramid” product system[3][8]:

Tier Product Positioning Representative Products
Base Classic series, current-year wine Flying Moutai (RMB 1,499)
Middle Premium and Chinese Zodiac series Premium Moutai, Year of the Horse Zodiac Moutai
Peak Aged and cultural series Aged Moutai, Moutai 1935
Supplement Low-alcohol series 43% ABV Flying Moutai

IV. Moutai’s Reform Logic and Strategic Considerations
4.1 Three Core Objectives

Chen Hua, Chairman of Moutai Group, clearly stated that this initiative aims to achieve the following[1][3][9]:

  1. Deepen channel reform and increase profit margins
    – The RMB 330 per bottle spread is directly converted into incremental revenue and profit for the company
  2. Gain control over market pricing power and curb price chaos
    – Establish a price anchor with the RMB 1,499 official price to crack down on speculative trading
  3. Implement the “consumer-centric” transformation strategy
    – Enable consumers to purchase Moutai wine fairly, quickly, and with guaranteed authenticity
4.2 Major Policy Adjustments in 2026
Policy Details
Discontinue distribution model No longer use the distribution model to wholesale non-standard products to downstream parties
Dynamic pricing mechanism Scientifically calculate and dynamically adjust contract prices based on operating costs, difficulties, and risks
Channel assessment transformation Shift from “performance + sales volume” to “performance + service”

V. Distributors’ Responses and Transformation
5.1 Reshaping of Manufacturer-Distributor Relationships – From “Game” to “Symbiosis”

Moutai has clearly stated[8][9]:

“Moutai will not do anything that violates market rules, nor will it do anything that causes channel partners to lose money, because a situation where only one party “wins” is unsustainable, and cooperation will not last long.”

Moutai’s construction of a channel structure of “direct operation system + social system” is aimed at forming a collaborative ecosystem:

  • Direct operation system
    : Coordinate and balance the market, adapt to consumer needs through efficiency and mechanisms
  • Social system
    : Reach deeply into the market and form stable consumer circles
5.2 Transformation Directions for Distributors
Transformation Direction Specific Measures
From “stationary dealers” to “mobile dealers” Proactively visit target customer groups and expand new scenarios
From “selling wine” to “selling a lifestyle” Provide functional value, experiential value, and emotional value
Digital operation Integrate online and offline channels to achieve mutual traffic diversion and experience integration
Improve service capabilities Standardized, professional, and warm services
5.3 Positive Responses from Some Distributors

Chengdu Chuantang Supply Chain Management Co., Ltd. took the lead in launching response measures:

  • Accept pre-orders for whole cases of 2026 Flying Moutai at RMB 1,499 per bottle
  • Commit to shipping in sequence starting from January 10
  • Completed sales of 1,000 cases within 2 hours[2]

VI. Profound Impacts on the Liquor Industry
6.1 Reshaping of Price Anchors

Moutai’s reform has broken the static price ladder that has long been established in the liquor industry:

  • Past
    : Moutai’s price served as the “anchor”, with various brands forming fixed pricing benchmarks
  • Present
    : Moutai’s price is becoming dynamic, tiered, and market-oriented, and the absolutely fixed “anchor” has disappeared[8]
6.2 Escalated Matthew Effect in the Industry

It is widely believed in the industry that small and medium-sized liquor enterprises will face a round of reshuffling:

Aspect of Impact Specific Performance
Expanded audience After prices return to a reasonable range, Moutai’s audience has expanded
Competitive product squeeze Market space for similar famous wines such as Wuliangye and Guojiao 1573 has been compressed
Inventory pressure Inventory turnover days in liquor channels reach as high as 900 days[3]
6.3 Demonstration Effect of Channel System Reform

The “dynamic regulation” wisdom demonstrated by Moutai provides a model for modern market operation in the industry. It can be predicted that more liquor enterprises will re-examine their rigid channel management systems and try to introduce more flexible and intelligent regulation methods[8].


VII. Data Summary and Core Conclusions
7.1 Overview of Key Data
Indicator Value Remarks
Ex-factory price of Flying Moutai RMB 1,169 per bottle Remains stable
Direct sales price on iMoutai RMB 1,499 per bottle Official guidance price
Wholesale price at the end of 2025 Approximately RMB 1,550 per bottle Fell by over 30% compared to the start of the year
Direct sales channel share (2024) 43.87% Continually increasing
Number of distributors (2024) 2,143 Relatively stable
Moutai’s revenue share among 20 listed liquor enterprises 38.6% Absolute industry leader
7.2 Core Conclusions
  1. Short-term growing pains are inevitable
    : Distributors face price inversion and capital turnover pressure, and the era of “easy wins” has ended
  2. Long-term benefits for the healthy development of the industry
    : A return to rational prices helps expand consumer audiences and build a more transparent market environment
  3. Reshaping of manufacturer-distributor relationships
    : Shifting from traditional “game” to “symbiosis”, distributors need to improve service capabilities to achieve transformation
  4. Enhanced control by Moutai
    : Reaching consumers directly through direct sales channels, gaining control over pricing power and terminal data
  5. Reshaping of the industry structure
    : The head concentration effect accelerates, and small and medium-sized liquor enterprises face greater survival pressure

References

[1] Jiemian News - In-depth: iMoutai reshapes Kweichow Moutai

[2] Southern Weekend - Tens of millions rush to buy Flying Moutai online, distributors no longer make “easy profits”

[3] Qilu Evening News - Regular subscription for RMB 1,499 Flying Moutai

[4] 36Kr - 2025 Moutai, Wuliangye, Luzhou Laojiao launch price defense war, distributors shrink to survive

[5] Yicai Global - “iMoutai” sells out in seconds for 4 consecutive days, Moutai’s wholesale price falls below RMB 1,499 again

[6] 36Kr - Abandon the “easy profit” mindset, liquor enterprises focus on reducing burdens for distributors

[7] Southern Plus - People who set alarms daily to grab Moutai: Grab RMB 1,499 Flying Moutai, earn enough for a milk tea

[8] Sina Finance - Dynamic pricing mechanism, Moutai provides maximum support to distributors

[9] Moutai Official Website - Consumer-centric, fully drive and promote market-oriented reform of the channel system Kweichow Moutai National Distributor Symposium

Related Reading Recommendations
No recommended articles
Ask based on this news for deep analysis...
Alpha Deep Research
Auto Accept Plan

Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.