Comparative Analysis Report on Valuation Levels of the Securities Industry

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January 21, 2026

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Based on the collected data, I will prepare the complete

Comparative Analysis Report on Valuation Levels of the Securities Industry
for you.


Comparative Analysis Report on Valuation Levels of the Securities Industry
I. Research Overview

This report selects major securities firms in the A-share and U.S. stock markets for a comparative analysis of valuation levels, covering core dimensions such as market capitalization, valuation indicators (P/E, P/B), and profitability (ROE, profit margin), to provide cross-market valuation references for investors [0].


II. Summary of Valuation Indicators of Major Securities Firms
2.1 Major A-share Securities Firms
Company Stock Ticker Market Capitalization (USD 100 million) Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) ROE (%) Net Profit Margin (%)
CITIC Securities 600030.SS 415.72 13.83x 1.48x 10.18% 34.38%
Haitong Securities 600837.SS 121.10 134.44x 0.83x 0.62% 4.45%
China Merchants Securities 600999.SS 145.30 12.15x 1.25x 9.48% 44.51%
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities 000166.SZ 129.46 13.81x 1.16x 8.70% 27.36%
Everbright Securities 601788.SS 79.77 21.29x 1.33x 5.63% 27.16%
2.2 Major U.S. Securities Firms
Company Stock Ticker Market Capitalization (USD 100 million) Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) ROE (%) Net Profit Margin (%)
Morgan Stanley MS 292.28 17.86x 2.63x 15.07% 14.43%
Goldman Sachs GS 287.99 17.32x 2.38x 13.81% 13.73%
Charles Schwab SCHW 184.88 22.34x 3.73x 16.74% 30.32%

III. Comparative Analysis of Valuation Levels
3.1 Industry Average Valuation Indicators
Indicator A-share Average A-shares (Outliers Excluded) U.S. Stock Average
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) 39.10x 15.27x 19.17x
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) 1.21x 1.31x 2.91x
Return on Equity (ROE) 6.92% 8.50% 15.21%
3.2 Key Findings
Comparison of Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
  • Significant Differentiation in P/E Ratios of the A-share Securities Industry
    : Haitong Securities has a P/E ratio as high as 134.44x due to performance pressure, which is an outlier. After excluding this outlier, the average P/E ratio of A-shares is approximately 15.27x
  • Relatively Unified Valuations of the U.S. Securities Industry
    : The P/E ratios of the three major firms range from 17x to 22x, with an average of 19.17x
  • Comparison Conclusion
    : After excluding outliers, the P/E ratio of the A-share securities sector is about 20% lower than that of U.S. stocks, indicating a certain discount for A-share securities stocks relative to U.S. stocks
Comparison of Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
  • Generally Low P/B Ratios for A-shares
    : The P/B ratios of major securities firms range from 0.83x to 1.48x, with an average of approximately 1.21x
  • Significantly Higher P/B Ratios for U.S. Stocks
    : The P/B ratios of the three major firms range from 2.38x to 3.73x, with an average of approximately 2.91x
  • Comparison Conclusion
    : The P/B ratio of the A-share securities sector is only about 41% of that of U.S. stocks, reflecting the market’s valuation differences in asset quality and profitability
Comparison of Profitability (ROE)
  • Relatively Low ROE for A-shares
    : After excluding Haitong Securities, the average ROE is approximately 8.50%
  • Higher ROE for U.S. Stocks
    : The average ROE reaches 15.21%, which is about 1.8 times that of A-shares
  • DuPont Analysis
    : The high valuations of U.S. securities firms mainly stem from the support of their higher return on equity

IV. Analysis of Reasons for Valuation Differences
4.1 Differences in Business Models
  • U.S. Securities Firms
    : Focus on wealth management and asset management as core businesses, with diversified revenue structures and higher profit stability
  • A-share Securities Firms
    : Traditional channel businesses (brokerage, investment banking) account for a relatively high proportion, with obvious cyclical characteristics
4.2 Differences in Market Environments
  • Maturity Differences
    : The U.S. capital market has a longer development history, with a more institutionalized investor structure
  • Liquidity Premium
    : The U.S. stock market usually has higher average daily trading volume and turnover rate
  • Regulatory Environment
    : There are differences in securities regulatory systems and capital adequacy requirements between China and the United States
4.3 Differences in Growth Expectations
  • U.S. Securities Firms
    : Have a well-established global layout, with relatively high certainty in performance growth
  • A-share Securities Firms
    : Benefit from capital market reforms and the advancement of the registration-based IPO system, but the transformation process is still ongoing

V. Industry Valuation Trends and Institutional Views
5.1 Current Valuation Position

According to the latest institutional analyses [1][2]:

  • The valuations of the securities sector and institutional holdings are both in historically low ranges
  • The non-bank financial sector rose 12% cumulatively in 2025, underperforming the CSI 300 Index’s 18% increase
  • The sector’s shareholding structure has improved, turnover rate has decreased, and the capital-side restraining factors have basically been cleared
5.2 2026 Outlook

Institutions generally believe [1][2]:

  • Conditions for Upward Breakthrough Are Met
    : The securities sector has favorable conditions for upward breakthrough, with limited room for valuation decline
  • Structural Opportunities as the Main Focus
    : More optimistic about structural opportunities driven by leading firm integration and intrinsic value
  • Catalytic Factors
    :
    • Catalysis of the spring market rally
    • Public fund reform policies
    • Growth in investment banking business
    • Expectations of mergers and acquisitions (advancement of the Guotai Haitong case)

VI. Investment Recommendations
6.1 Main Stock Selection Themes
Investment Theme Target Characteristics
Low-Valuation Leading Securities Firms Leading institutions such as CITIC Securities and China Merchants Securities
Targets with Advantages in Wealth Management With advantages in retail clients and fund agency sales capabilities
Targets with High Performance Elasticity High proportion of proprietary business and strong market sensitivity
6.2 Analysis of Valuation and Performance Matching
Company P/E Recommendation
CITIC Securities 13.83x Reasonably low valuation, keep an eye on
China Merchants Securities 12.15x Low-valuation leader, high cost performance
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities 13.81x Reasonable valuation, pay attention to business transformation
Everbright Securities 21.29x Relatively high valuation, needs performance verification
Haitong Securities 134.44x Under performance pressure, hold off for now

VII. Conclusion

The valuation levels of the securities industry exhibit the following characteristics:

  1. Obvious Cross-Market Valuation Differences
    : The P/E and P/B ratios of the A-share securities sector are significantly lower than those of U.S. stocks, reflecting the market’s different expectations for profitability and growth

  2. Profitability is the Core of Valuation
    : U.S. securities firms support higher valuation levels with higher ROE, while A-share securities firms need to enhance profitability through business transformation

  3. Sufficient Margin of Safety in Valuation
    : Currently, the valuations of the A-share securities sector are in a historically low range, with a good margin of safety and room for upward elasticity

  4. Differentiated Pattern Will Continue
    : The performance of the securities sector in 2026 is more likely to stabilize, and investment should focus on structural opportunities driven by leading firm integration and intrinsic value


References

[0] Jinling AI Financial Database - Valuation Data of Securities Firms
[1] Securities Times - “Spring Market Rally Plus Low Valuations: Institutions Are Bullish on Investment Opportunities in the Securities Sector” (https://www.stcn.com/article/detail/3575162.html)
[2] Eastmoney - “Securities Sector Posts Three Consecutive Years of Gains: 2026 Will Be a Decisive Year for the ‘Differentiation Logic’ of the Securities Sector” (https://caifuhao.eastmoney.com/news/20260115215046781958520)
[3] Sina Finance - “Spring Market Rally Plus Low Valuations: Institutions Are Bullish on Investment Opportunities in the Securities Sector” (https://finance.sina.com.cn/jjxw/2026-01-07/doc-inhfmtvv6415271.shtml)

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