Ingersoll Rand (IR) Insider Selling Analysis

Based on my comprehensive analysis of Ingersoll Rand’s business outlook, valuation, and insider trading activity, here is my interpretation for investors:

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The insider selling activity involves

, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Ingersoll Rand, who has executed significant stock sales recently:

• January 2026
  : Sale of shares worth approximately
  $16.8 million
  at $88.12 per share [1]
• February 2026
  : Additional sales of approximately
  $461,000
  at $124.86 per share [1]

The transaction was executed under a

, which is a pre-planned selling arrangement that allows insiders to sell shares at predetermined times without triggering insider trading concerns. This is an important context — such plans are typically established when the insider does not possess material non-public information [1].

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Ingersoll Rand delivered

(reported February 12, 2026) that exceeded analyst expectations:

Metric	Result	vs. Estimate
EPS	$0.96	+6.55% beat
Revenue	$2.09B	+2.58% beat
Orders	$1.95B	+8% YoY

• 2026 Revenue Guidance
  : 2.5%-4.5% growth, assuming stability rather than broad market recovery [2]
• Recurring Revenue
  : Surpassed $450 million in 2025 with $1.1 billion backlog — demonstrating rapid expansion [2]
• M&A Pipeline
  : Robust with 16 deals in 2025 ($525 million invested) and 9 additional transactions under LOI entering 2026 [2]
• Segment Performance
  : Both ITS (Industrial Technologies & Services) and PST (Precision and Science Technologies) delivered positive organic order growth [2]

The company’s management signaled “durability in order momentum” and continues to expand recurring revenue streams, which are higher-margin and more predictable [2].

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This is where the analysis becomes nuanced. The current valuation appears

relative to traditional metrics:

Valuation Metric	IR	Industry Benchmark
P/E Ratio (TTM)	66.60x	~20-25x for industrials
P/B Ratio	3.84x	~2-3x typical
DCF Base Case Fair Value	$42.65	-56.7% below current [0]

The DCF analysis suggests significant downside risk:

• Conservative Scenario
  : $32.92 (-66.6%)
• Base Case
  : $42.65 (-56.7%)
• Optimistic Scenario
  : $63.43 (-35.6%) [0]

Meanwhile, the

is more modest, with a price target of (approximately -6.6% from current levels), though with a from 53% of analysts [0].

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1. Pre-planned 10b5-1 plan
   : The sale was pre-scheduled, suggesting routine portfolio diversification rather than a signal of negative sentiment [1]

2. CEO still significantly invested
   : As the CEO, Vicente Reynal’s personal wealth is substantially tied to IR’s performance — selling a portion does not indicate lack of confidence

3. Recent strong results
   : Q4 beat expectations with 10% revenue growth and 14% EPS growth [0]

4. Continued growth investments
   : Company is actively deploying capital into M&A and recurring revenue initiatives [2]

1. Elevated valuation
   : The stock trades at 66x P/E — significantly above historical norms and peers

2. Insider timing
   : Sales at higher prices ($88 in January, $124 in February) after the stock’s significant run-up may reflect prudent profit-taking

3. Guidance implies moderation
   : 2026 guidance of 2.5%-4.5% revenue growth suggests management sees headwinds, not acceleration [2]

4. DCF disconnect
   : The substantial gap between market price and DCF fair value suggests the stock is pricing in very optimistic assumptions

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The stock is currently in a

with key technical levels:

• Support
  : $91.57
• Resistance
  : $100.13
• Beta
  : 1.31 (higher volatility than market) [0]

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Factor	Assessment
Business Quality	Strong — durable orders, expanding recurring revenue, active M&A
Valuation	Expensive — P/E 66x, DCF suggests 50%+ downside
Insider Signal	Neutral — pre-planned sales, but notable profit-taking at high prices
Technical Trend	Sideways — trading near resistance

: The insider selling activity, while notable in absolute terms ($16.8M), should be interpreted in the context of a pre-planned trading plan and the CEO’s long-term retention of substantial equity. However, the more important signal for investors is the — the stock appears to price in optimistic assumptions, while the fundamental outlook, while positive, calls for measured growth (2.5%-4.5% in 2026). Investors should weigh the company’s strong positioning in industrial equipment against the elevated valuation before making allocation decisions.

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[0]金灵API数据

[1] InsiderScreener - Ingersoll Rand Inc Insider Trading Activity (https://www.insiderscreener.com/en/company/ingersoll-rand-inc)

[2] Seeking Alpha - Ingersoll Rand Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript (https://seekingalpha.com/news/4552070-ingersoll-rand-outlines-2026-revenue-growth-target-of-2_5-percentminus-4_5-percent-while)