Analysis of Nvidia (NVDA) Earnings Speculation & Weekly Earnings Calendar (Nov17-21,2025)

This analysis is based on a Reddit thread [5] highlighting the weekly earnings calendar (Nov17-21,2025) with dominant speculation on Nvidia’s (NVDA) upcoming earnings. NVDA closed up 1.77% on Nov15 [0], aligning with the Technology sector’s 2.03% gain [2] and NASDAQ’s 8.33% 60-day outperformance [1]. Wall Street expects Q3 revenue of $54.83B (56% YoY) and adjusted EPS of $1.25 (54% YoY) [3], with Morningstar’s fair value at $225 (18% upside) [3]. Key affected instruments include NVDA directly, plus related tech sector stocks and weekly earners like Home Depot (HD), Medtronic (MDT), and Walmart (WMT) [4].

1. Cross-Sector Impact
   : NVDA’s earnings are likely to influence the broader Technology sector due to its leadership position in AI infrastructure [2].
2. Expectation Risk
   : NVDA’s 19/21 quarter beat rate [3] has raised market expectations, increasing volatility risk for misses.
3. Regulatory Headwinds
   : No H20 chip revenue from China in Q3 due to export controls [3] highlights long-term growth constraints.

• High market expectations may lead to tech sell-off if results/guidance miss [3].
• Export controls to China limit revenue streams [3].
• Morningstar’s fair value suggests limited upside without strong guidance [3].

• 18% upside potential from Morningstar’s fair value [3].
• Continued AI demand driving long-term growth [3].

Critical data points include NVDA’s Q3 estimates [3], pre-earnings performance [0], and weekly earners like HD, MDT, WMT [4]. Decision-makers should monitor actual earnings results, guidance, and China export control commentary [3].