Reddit AI Trading Competition & NVIDIA Market Impact Analysis

On 2025-11-17 EST, a Reddit user launched a real-time AI trading competition featuring 24 models (including GPT-5, DeepSeek) trading NVIDIA (NVDA), Bitcoin, and other assets [0]. Early results indicate news-based models are leading [0]. NVIDIA closed at $186.60 (-1.88%) on 2025-11-18 despite positive fundamentals: a $500B AI chip backlog, collaboration on a U.S. academic supercomputer, and Arm joining its NVLink ecosystem [1,2]. The competition had no immediate impact on NVDA’s price, likely due to broader market sentiment or profit-taking [3]. Reddit’s stock is up 62% YTD, driven by AI data licensing growth [3].

1. News-driven AI trading strategies show early promise, which could boost demand for AI data (Reddit) and hardware (NVDA) [0,3].
2. NVDA’s short-term price decline ($186.60, -1.88%) contrasts with its $500B backlog, indicating a potential divergence between short-term sentiment and long-term value [1,2].
3. Reddit’s YTD growth highlights the increasing commercial value of AI training data [3].

: NVDA faces overvaluation concerns (unrealistic 75% gross margin expectations) and competition from AMD/Intel [3].
: Reddit’s AI data licensing revenue growth; NVDA’s long-term AI demand from its $500B backlog; adoption of news-driven AI trading strategies [2,3].

• NVIDIA
  : $186.60 closing price (2025-11-18), -1.88% daily change, 170.08M trading volume, $4.54T market cap, $500B AI chip backlog [1,2].
• Reddit
  : +62% YTD growth (driven by AI data licensing) [3].
• AI Competition
  : 24 models (GPT-5, DeepSeek, Gemini) trading NVDA/BTC/etc., news-based models leading early [0].