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Post-Market Recap - November 18, 2025

#market_recap #us_indices #sector_rotation #after_hours_trading #fed_rate_cuts #tech_sector #energy_sector #earnings_reports
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November 25, 2025

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Post-Market Recap - November 18, 2025

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Post-Market Recap - November 18, 2025
Executive Summary

US equities closed lower for the fourth consecutive session, with the S&P 500 (-0.37%), Nasdaq (-0.59%), and Dow Jones (-0.63%) declining amid fading Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, while the Russell 2000 (+0.84%) outperformed on small-cap strength [0]. Sector rotation away from tech and consumer cyclicals toward energy (+2.01%) and utilities (+1.17%) dominated the session [0]. After-hours trading saw mixed moves, with Alphabet (GOOG) gaining 4.07% and Veralto (VLTO) dropping 6.86% [7][8].

Market Performance
Major Indices
Index Close Change
S&P 500 (^GSPC) 6,616.94 -0.37%
Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) 22,432.85 -0.59%
Dow Jones (^DJI) 46,092.94 -0.63%
Russell 2000 (^RUT) 2,353.11 +0.84%
Source: [0]
Sector Performance
  • Top
    : Energy (+2.01%), Utilities (+1.17%), Communication Services (+0.97%)
  • Bottom
    : Consumer Defensive (-1.54%), Consumer Cyclical (-0.94%), Basic Materials (-0.75%)
    Source: [0]
Breadth & Sentiment
  • NYSE: Decliners outnumbered advancers 4.03:1
  • Nasdaq: Decliners outnumbered advancers 3.06:1
  • VIX (Fear Gauge): +12.86% to 22.38
    Sources: [1][2]
Key Catalysts & Developments
  1. Fading Fed Rate Cut Odds
    : December rate cut probabilities dropped from 90% to ~40-50% due to Fed officials pushing back on easing and stronger-than-expected economic data, triggering risk-off sentiment [3].
  2. Tech Sector Weakness
    : The S&P 500 broke below its 50-day moving average after 138 days, driven by AI valuation concerns. Nvidia (NVDA) fell 1.9% ahead of its November 19 earnings report [4][2].
  3. Sector Rotation
    : Investors shifted to defensive/energy sectors amid rate uncertainty. Energy gains were supported by relative valuation attractiveness [1].
  4. Economic Data
    : October Import/Export Price Indexes were released, showing stable inflation pressures [9].
  5. After-Hours Earnings
    : Star Bulk Carriers (SBLK) and Powell Industries (POWL) reported Q3 results, with SBLK missing consensus EPS expectations by 19.05% [6].
Notable Movers
Regular Session
  • Losers
    : Nvidia (NVDA: -1.9%), Super Micro Computer (-6.4%), Netflix (NFLX: -2.87%) [2][5]
  • Gainers
    : Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE: +2.01%), Russell 2000 ETF (IWM: +0.84%) [0]
After-Hours
  • Gainers
    : Alphabet (GOOG: +4.07%), Interpublic Group (IPG: +6.90%), Eastman Chemical (EMN: +6.27%) [7]
  • Losers
    : Veralto (VLTO: -6.86%), STERIS (STE: -6.16%), Transdigm (TDG: -3.86%) [8]
Looking Ahead
Upcoming Catalysts
  • Nvidia Earnings
    : November 19 after market close (key for tech sentiment) [2]
  • Fed Speakers
    : Multiple officials scheduled to comment on policy this week
  • Economic Data
    : Retail Sales (November 20) and Industrial Production (November 21)
Technical Levels
  • S&P 500: Watch for support at 6,574 (intraday low) and resistance at 6,667 (intraday high) [0]
Risks
  • Further decline in Fed rate cut odds
  • Tech valuation pressures
  • Geopolitical tensions

All data as of November18,2025 21:32 UTC.
This report is for informational purposes only and not investment advice.

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.