r/Stocks Nov 21, 2025 Discussion: Fed Policy, Market Cap Shifts, and Earnings Volatility

• Fed Policy
  : Users analyze voting members and conclude a December rate cut is unlikely without flip from hold/against members (3 pro-cut,3 conditional,6 hold/against) [1].
• Market Cap Shifts
  : GOOG/GOOGL now ~50% larger than AMZN and surpassed MSFT in 2025 [1].
• Liquidity Risks
  : Concerns over thin liquidity leading to potential flash crash conditions, with parallels to Cisco 2000 for NVDA/Bitcoin [1].
• Stock Movements
  : ORCL sub-$200, MSTR sentiment negative; users buy CSU, META, MELI, consumer staples (CPB/PG) preferred [1].

• Engagement
  : Thread had 408-485 comments, indicating active fundamental analysis focus [1].
• Earnings
  : Volatility expected but long-term irrelevant; value stocks need EPS+revenue beats; Q4 earnings sell-off expected [1].
• Community Trend
  : Reluctance toward high-growth tech; weekly Fundamentals Friday threads are key for discussions [2].

Both Reddit and research align on earnings volatility and value investing preference. Reddit adds specific market cap shifts and liquidity risks, while research provides broader context on community engagement and weekly thread structure.

• Risks
  : Flash crash from thin liquidity, rate cut delays, Q4 earnings sell-offs.
• Opportunities
  : Value stocks (CPB/PG), data center plays (IESC), and selected tech (META, GOOG) with strong fundamentals.