Analysis of Reddit's 'Black Friday Sale List' of Stocks Down From All-Time Highs
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About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
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This analysis combines insights from a Reddit post [1] and internal financial metrics [0] to evaluate the ‘Black Friday Sale List’ of stocks down from ATHs:
- ORCL: 42.5% down from ATH, but its current ratio of 0.62 (insufficient current assets to cover short-term liabilities) validates bearish debt concerns [0].
- PLTR: 25.4% down from ATH, but its 334x P/E ratio (vs tech peer average of 25-30x) confirms overvaluation claims [0].
- AMZN/MSFT/META: 14.7-25.4% down from ATHs, supported by high analyst buy ratings (81-90%) and strong margins (11-36%) [0].
- NFLX: 22% down from ATH, with a 24% net profit margin aligning with its growth claim [0].
The post’s framing of ATH declines as ‘sales’ ignores fundamental differences across stocks.
- Cross-Domain Correlation: PLTR’s extreme valuation undermines its ATH decline as a ‘sale’—valuation metrics are more critical than price drops.
- Liquidity vs Valuation: ORCL’s liquidity risk (current ratio <1) is a more pressing issue than its ATH drop, while PLTR’s problem is pure overvaluation.
- Analyst Consensus: Bullish stocks (AMZN/MSFT/META/NFLX) have strong analyst backing, which the post correctly highlights but does not quantify.
- Risks: ORCL’s liquidity risk (current ratio <1) requires monitoring; PLTR’s valuation poses downside risk; buying stocks solely based on ATH declines is a trap.
- Opportunities: AMZN/MSFT/META/NFLX offer potential due to strong fundamentals and analyst support.
Critical metrics for decision-making:
| Stock | P/E Ratio | Current Ratio | Analyst Buy % | ATH Decline |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORCL | 45x | 0.62 | 60% | ~42.5% |
| PLTR | 334x | 6.43 | 21% | ~25.4% |
| AMZN | 30x | 1.01 | 90% | ~14.7% |
| META | 25x | 1.98 | 83% | ~25.4% |
| MSFT | 33x | 1.40 | 81% | ~15% |
| NFLX | 42x | 1.33 | 65% | ~22% |
| Fundamental analysis is essential to distinguish valid ‘sales’ from risky investments. |
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.