Analysis of Reddit's 'Black Friday Sale List' of Stocks Down From All-Time Highs

#reddit_analysis #tech_stocks #valuation_analysis #liquidity_risk #black_friday_sale_list #all_time_highs
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US Stock
November 25, 2025

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Analysis of Reddit's 'Black Friday Sale List' of Stocks Down From All-Time Highs

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ORCL
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Integrated Analysis

This analysis combines insights from a Reddit post [1] and internal financial metrics [0] to evaluate the ‘Black Friday Sale List’ of stocks down from ATHs:

  • ORCL
    : 42.5% down from ATH, but its current ratio of 0.62 (insufficient current assets to cover short-term liabilities) validates bearish debt concerns [0].
  • PLTR
    : 25.4% down from ATH, but its 334x P/E ratio (vs tech peer average of 25-30x) confirms overvaluation claims [0].
  • AMZN/MSFT/META
    : 14.7-25.4% down from ATHs, supported by high analyst buy ratings (81-90%) and strong margins (11-36%) [0].
  • NFLX
    : 22% down from ATH, with a 24% net profit margin aligning with its growth claim [0].
    The post’s framing of ATH declines as ‘sales’ ignores fundamental differences across stocks.
Key Insights
  • Cross-Domain Correlation
    : PLTR’s extreme valuation undermines its ATH decline as a ‘sale’—valuation metrics are more critical than price drops.
  • Liquidity vs Valuation
    : ORCL’s liquidity risk (current ratio <1) is a more pressing issue than its ATH drop, while PLTR’s problem is pure overvaluation.
  • Analyst Consensus
    : Bullish stocks (AMZN/MSFT/META/NFLX) have strong analyst backing, which the post correctly highlights but does not quantify.
Risks & Opportunities
  • Risks
    : ORCL’s liquidity risk (current ratio <1) requires monitoring; PLTR’s valuation poses downside risk; buying stocks solely based on ATH declines is a trap.
  • Opportunities
    : AMZN/MSFT/META/NFLX offer potential due to strong fundamentals and analyst support.
Key Information Summary

Critical metrics for decision-making:

Stock P/E Ratio Current Ratio Analyst Buy % ATH Decline
ORCL 45x 0.62 60% ~42.5%
PLTR 334x 6.43 21% ~25.4%
AMZN 30x 1.01 90% ~14.7%
META 25x 1.98 83% ~25.4%
MSFT 33x 1.40 81% ~15%
NFLX 42x 1.33 65% ~22%
Fundamental analysis is essential to distinguish valid ‘sales’ from risky investments.
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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.