NFE (New Fortress Energy) Potential Spike Drivers & Risk Analysis

The analysis integrates a Reddit discussion [0] and market data to evaluate NFE’s potential spike drivers: 1) Credit facility amendments/forbearance extending interest payments to Dec15, 2025 [2]; 2) Adjusted 7-year PR LNG contract (down from15 years) under FOMB review [4]; and 3) CELBA2 plant progress (first fire Oct2025, COD late2025 [5]). Price moves link to news: Nov20 gain from forbearance, Nov21 drop from bankruptcy warning [3].

Cross-domain correlations: Short squeeze potential (32% float shorted [6]) combined with forbearance could drive short-term spikes; adjusted PR contract balances approval chances with reduced long-term revenue; liquidity risks (0.17 current ratio [0]) undermine viability despite operational progress.

: Bankruptcy if restructuring fails [3], liquidity crisis (current ratio <0.2 [0]), PR contract non-approval [4], CELBA2 delays [5]. Users should note bankruptcy may lead to total common share loss.
: Short-term spike from contract approval/short squeeze; CELBA2 revenue once operational.

Critical data: Nov20 ($1.46), Nov21 ($1.21), YTD (-92.58% [0]), current ratio (0.17 [0]), PR contract (under review [4]), CELBA2 (first fire done [5]), Dec15 interest deadline [2]. Uncertainties: Contract approval timeline, CELBA2 revenue, restructuring outcome [3].