Pre-Market Overview: November 24, 2025

#pre_market_analysis #us_stocks #recession_outlook #housing_sector #rate_cut_expectations #thanksgiving_week
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Pre-Market Overview: November 24, 2025

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Pre-Market Overview: November 24, 2025

Prepared for Decision-Makers | Compliance ID: MO-2025-1124-PM | Not Investment Advice


Executive Summary

U.S. pre-market futures are higher on Monday (Nov 24) as rate-cut hopes and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent’s recession reassurance (no 2026 recession) lift sentiment ahead of a shortened Thanksgiving week [1][2][3]. Healthcare and industrials sectors lead pre-market gains, while tech-focused Nasdaq futures outpace broader indices amid signs of recovery from November’s AI-driven pullback [0][2]. Mixed housing data (rising existing sales but falling multifamily starts) underscores Bessent’s note of challenged rate-sensitive sectors [5][6].


Market Performance
Key Indices (Pre-Market Futures)
  • Nasdaq 100
    : +0.99% (as of 3:39 AM EST) [2]
  • S&P 500
    : +0.68% [2]
  • Dow Jones
    : +0.36% [2]
  • Commodities
    : Gold ($4,066, -0.1%), WTI Oil ($57.94, -0.21%) [3]
Sector Leadership

Top Gainers:

  • Healthcare (+1.73%) [0]
  • Industrials (+1.52%) [0]
  • Basic Materials (+1.39%) [0]

Laggards:

  • Utilities (-0.89%) [0]
  • Technology (+0.15%) [0] (modest recovery after 6% November decline) [4]
Housing Sector (October Data)
  • Existing home sales: +1.2% (median price: $415,200, +2.1% YoY) [6]
  • Multifamily starts: -38.5% (offsetting single-family gains of +2.2%) [5]
  • Builder confidence: HMI rose to
    37
    (highest since April) [7]

Key Catalysts & Developments
  1. Bessent’s Recession Reassurance
    :
    Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated the U.S. will avoid a 2026 recession, citing:

    • Permanent extension of Trump’s 2017 tax cuts [1]
    • Upcoming healthcare cost relief measures (to be announced this week) [1]
    • Weakness in housing and rate-sensitive sectors (acknowledged) [1]
  2. Rate-Cut Hopes
    :
    New York Fed President John Williams hinted at a
    December rate cut possibility
    , with markets pricing a
    60% chance
    of a cut [2][4].

  3. Shortened Trading Week
    :

    • Markets closed Thursday (Thanksgiving)
    • Early close Friday (1 PM ET) [4]
  4. Bayer’s Drug Trial Success
    :
    Bayer’s secondary stroke drug met late-stage trial goals, lifting its stock pre-market [8].

  5. Government Shutdown Impact
    :
    Q4 economic data may show weakness due to the
    43-day shutdown
    (longest in U.S. history) [1][4].


Notable Movers
  1. Bayer
    : Up pre-market on stroke drug trial success [8]
  2. Alibaba
    : +3% pre-market after Qwen AI hit
    10 million downloads
    [2]
  3. TCS
    : U.S. court upheld a
    $194 million penalty
    (trade secrets case vs. DXC) but vacated an injunction restricting software use [10]
  4. Prosus/Naspers
    : Reported 1H results, on track for FY adjusted EBITDA guidance [9]

Looking Ahead
Immediate Events
  • Thanksgiving closure (Nov 27) and early Friday close [4]
Key Upcoming Catalysts
  1. Fed’s December Policy Meeting
    : Market expects rate cut clarity [2]
  2. Healthcare Cost Relief
    : Trump admin to announce measures this week [1]
  3. Economic Data
    : November existing home sales (Dec 19 release) [6]
Risks to Monitor
  • Shortened week volatility
  • AI sector valuation concerns (Nasdaq down
    6%
    in November) [2][4]
  • Mixed housing sector trends [5][6]

References

[0] Ginlix Analytical Database (Sector Performance)
[1] CNBC: Bessent believes there won’t be a recession in 2026 but says some sectors are challenged
[2] Economic Times: US stock futures today: AI sell-off eases as Dow, S&P500 and Nasdaq rebound into Thanksgiving week
[3] Markets Insider: Premarket | Futures | Pre-market Trading
[4] CNBC: Stock market today: Live updates
[5] Construction Dive: Construction starts surge 21%, led by multibillion-dollar projects
[6] NAR: Existing-Home Sales
[7] NAHB: Amid Market Challenges, Builder Expectations Rise in October
[8] MarketWatch: Bayer’s stock is jumping on secondary stroke drug’s trial success
[9] SeekingAlpha: Prosus reports 1H results; on track to achieve FY adjusted EBITDA guidance
[10] Analytics India Magazine: US Court Upholds $194 Million Penalty Against TCS


Last Updated: Nov24,2025 at 7:00 AM EST | Data verified via primary sources | Compliance: Adhered to Ginlix’s traceability standards
Contact: analytics@ginlix.com | Version: MO-2025-1124-PM

©2025 Ginlix Analytics. All Rights Reserved.
Disclaimer: This report is for informational purposes only. Not investment advice.

Have a safe and happy Thanksgiving!
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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.