Analysis of Reddit Post on AVGO 370c Options 678% Gain Claim
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On November 24, 2025, a Reddit user claimed a 678% gain from AVGO 370-strike call options bought at $1.26 on November 21 [3]. AVGO’s stock rallied 8.81% from $340.20 (Nov21 close) to $378.42 (Nov24 close) [0], driven by AI infrastructure momentum (Google Gemini 3 adoption, $10B OpenAI deal) and strong Q3 AI revenue growth (63% YoY) [1]. A back-of-the-envelope calculation confirms the gain is plausible: if the option’s intrinsic value was $8 (378-370) plus $1 time value, the price could rise to ~$9, translating to a ~614% gain—close to the claimed 678% [0]. However, comments alleged the screenshot was fake due to inconsistent font sizes [3].
- AI Catalysts: AVGO’s stock surge aligns with broader AI infrastructure demand, highlighting the impact of hyperscaler announcements on semiconductor stocks [1].
- Option Risk vs Reward: Short-term options (like the 370c) carry high time decay but can yield extreme gains if timed with market rallies [0].
- Social Media Misinformation: The fake screenshot allegation underscores the need for verifying unsubstantiated claims in investment discussions [3].
- Risks: High valuation (P/E ratio of 88.2 vs S&P median of 22.8) [2], potential misinformation from fake screenshots [3], and elevated option trading risk due to time decay.
- Opportunities: Sustained AI infrastructure growth (driven by Google, OpenAI) [1] and AVGO’s strong earnings trajectory (next report Dec11) [1].
- AVGO’s stock gained 8.81% between Nov21-Nov24 [0].
- The claimed 678% option gain is plausible but unconfirmed due to missing exact option price data.
- Conflicting views exist: plausible market-driven gain vs fake screenshot allegation [3].
- Key factors to monitor: AVGO’s Dec11 earnings, AI infrastructure demand, and option expiry dates [1].
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.