Analysis of Reddit User's GOOGL Sale and Subsequent FOMO into NBIS/IREN
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A Reddit user sold $128k worth of GOOGL at $192 based on social media claims that ChatGPT would make search obsolete and Google would face declining ad revenue. They then purchased NBIS and IREN at their 52-week peaks, resulting in account value dropping from a potential $212k (if holding GOOGL) to under $107k [0][3]. GOOGL’s fundamental strength—diversified revenue streams (search:56.6%, cloud:12.4%, YouTube ads:10.3%) and strong financials (ROE:35%, net margin:32.23%)—drove a 65.9% price increase from $192 to $318.58 [0][3]. In contrast, NBIS and IREN exhibited extreme volatility: NBIS dropped 34.9% from its peak of $141.10 to $91.90 [1], while IREN fell 36.9% from $76.87 to $48.49 [2].
- Social media vs. fundamentals: The user’s sale of GOOGL ignored professional analyst consensus (81.2% Buy ratings [3]) and fundamental strength.
- FOMO risk: Purchasing NBIS and IREN at peak prices amplified losses due to their extreme volatility.
- Long-term value: GOOGL’s consistent growth highlights the benefit of holding fundamentally strong assets over reacting to short-term sentiment.
- Social media reliance: Impulsive decisions based on Reddit advice can lead to significant losses.
- Volatility: NBIS (52-week range: $18-$141 [1]) and IREN (range: $5-$76 [2]) pose high risks for short-term traders.
- Unprofitability: NBIS has negative EPS (-$0.19 [1]) indicating viability concerns.
- Fundamental focus: Prioritizing company fundamentals over social media sentiment can avoid such mistakes.
- Inverse strategy: The event supports considering inverse social media advice (though not guaranteed).
- GOOGL: 65.9% price increase from $192 to $318.58 [0][3]; 81.2% Buy ratings [3].
- NBIS: 34.9% drop from peak [1]; negative EPS [1].
- IREN:36.9% drop from peak [2]; mixed analyst ratings (JP Morgan Underweight [6], Canaccord Buy [7]).
- User loss: ~$105k from potential $212k to <$107k [0][3].
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.