Tesla Stock Movement Analysis: Melius 'Must Own' Call vs Bearish Reddit Sentiment (Nov 24, 2025)

On November 24, 2025, Tesla (TSLA) stock closed up 3.88% [0] after Melius Research labeled it a ‘must own’ citing Full Self-Driving (FSD) potential and Elon Musk’s AI chip progress [1]. Musk announced Tesla is near tape-out of its AI5 chip and starting work on AI6 [2], though AI5 production is delayed to mid-2027 [3]. Reddit users criticized the move, claiming an unverified 7% jump and labeling FSD overhyped compared to Waymo [10]. Waymo launched a fully autonomous highway robotaxi service on November12 [4], while Tesla’s FSD remains supervised [5]. Financials show Q3 2025 revenue beat ($28.1B) but EPS declined37% YoY [6], with energy storage revenue growing50% YoY [7]. Legal risks include NHTSA probes into door handles and a fatal crash lawsuit [8,9].

1. Discrepancy in Stock Jump
   : Reddit’s 7% claim contrasts with actual 3.88% close [0,10].
2. AI Chip Delays Impact Robotaxi
   : AI5 production delay to mid-2027 may push robotaxi profitability timelines [3].
3. Energy Storage Offset
   : 50% YoY growth in energy storage mitigates some EV sales decline [7].
4. FSD Gap
   : Waymo’s fully autonomous service highlights Tesla’s lag in unsupervised driving [4,5].

: EPS decline (37% YoY), AI chip delays, legal probes [6,3,8,9]; FSD regulatory hurdles [5].
: Energy storage growth [7]; AI chip leadership potential [2]; EU FSD approval target (Feb2026 [5]).

• Stock
  : TSLA closed +3.88% (Nov24) [0].
• Financials
  : Q3 revenue beat ($28.1B), EPS down37% YoY, energy storage up50% YoY [6,7].
• Competition
  : Waymo leads in fully autonomous driving [4].
• Legal
  : Ongoing NHTSA probes and crash lawsuit [8,9].

This analysis provides objective context for decision-making without investment recommendations.