Market Analysis Report: Meb Faber's Market Shift Recommendation (2025-11-28)
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On November 28, 2025, Seeking Alpha published an article featuring Cambria Investments CIO Meb Faber discussing a potential paradigm shift in global markets [5]. Faber argued that the next decade may favor value investing, foreign stocks, and yield-focused strategies over the concentrated group of US mega-caps known as the “Magnificent Seven” (Mag7). Key points include:
- Mag7 dominance is unlikely to persist
- Cheap international markets are showing their strongest signals in years
- Shareholder yield strategies (combining dividends, buybacks, and debt paydown) outperform traditional dividend investing
Recent data shows significant underperformance among core Mag7 stocks:
- Microsoft (MSFT): -11.73% (22 days ending Nov 26, 2025) [0]
- NVIDIA (NVDA): -6.63% (same period) [0]
- Apple (AAPL): +3.18% (outlier) [0]
The S&P 500 index declined by 1.23% during this period [0].
Sector performance on Nov 28 reflects a shift toward value-oriented sectors:
- Top performers: Energy (+1.76%), Consumer Defensive (+1.31%) [0]
- Technology (Mag7-heavy): +0.15% (near bottom) [0]
Faber’s comments align with growing skepticism about Mag7 dominance. His Nov 3 Bloomberg interview noted “this is as good as it gets for stocks” (implying potential correction) and highlighted investor nervousness about foreign markets despite their strong performance [3].
| Metric | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| MSFT 22-day change | -11.73% | [0] |
| NVDA 22-day change | -6.63% | [0] |
| AAPL 22-day change | +3.18% | [0] |
| S&P500 22-day change | -1.23% | [0] |
| Top sector (Nov28) | Energy (+1.76%) | [0] |
| Faber’s Ivy Portfolio 2025 YTD | 12.94% | [1] |
- Mag7 companies: MSFT, NVDA, AAPL [0]
- Underperforming: Technology (Mag7-heavy) [0]
- Outperforming: Energy, Consumer Defensive (value-focused) [0]
- Cambria Shareholder Yield ETF (SYLD) [2]
- Cambria Foreign Shareholder Yield ETF (FYLD) [4]
- Foreign market performance (e.g., MSCI EAFE) to validate Faber’s foreign stocks thesis [5]
- Recent returns of Cambria’s yield-focused ETFs (SYLD, FYLD) [2]
- Concentration Risk: Portfolios heavily weighted in Mag7 stocks (like MSFT) face significant downside risk, as evidenced by MSFT’s 11.73% decline over the past month [0].
- Sustainability Concerns: Mag7 dominance may be fading, requiring investors to reevaluate their exposure [5].
- Continued sector rotation (Energy/Consumer Defensive vs Technology) [0]
- Foreign market performance (to confirm Faber’s thesis) [5]
- Returns of yield-focused strategies (SYLD, FYLD) [2]
[0] Ginlix Analytical Database
[1] PortfoliosLab, “Mebane Faber Ivy Portfolio” (https://portfolioslab.com/portfolio/mebane-faber-ivy)
[2] Nasdaq, “KHC Quantitative Stock Analysis” (https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/khc-quantitative-stock-analysis-3)
[3] Bloomberg, “‘This Is As Good As It Gets’: Meb Faber” (https://www.bloomberg.com/news/videos/2025-11-03/-this-is-as-good-as-it-gets-meb-faber-video)
[4] Business Wire, “Cambria to Launch US Equal Weight ETF (USEW)” (https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20251111023849/en/Cambria-to-Launch-US-Equal-Weight-ETF-USEW-Fourth-Cambria-ETF-with-Innovative-351-ETF-Exchange-Feature)
[5] Seeking Alpha, “Meb Faber: When Volatility Strikes, Smart Investors Do This” (https://seekingalpha.com/article/4848498-meb-faber-when-volatility-strikes-smart-investors-do-this)
Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
About us: Ginlix AI is the AI Investment Copilot powered by real data, bridging advanced AI with professional financial databases to provide verifiable, truth-based answers. Please use the chat box below to ask any financial question.
