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Analysis of Performance Shift Among AAPL, NVDA, and GOOGL (2025-11-28)

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December 1, 2025

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Analysis of Performance Shift Among AAPL, NVDA, and GOOGL (2025-11-28)

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GOOGL
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Integrated Analysis

This analysis is based on a November 28, 2025 (EST) Reddit discussion observing performance trends among AAPL, NVDA, and GOOGL. Short-term data (30 days to 2025-11-28) shows GOOGL up 27.68%, AAPL +12.43%, and NVDA -1.76% [0]. GOOGL’s growth stems from AI milestones including Gemini 3 and 13 AI product lines with over $1 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) [2]. Contrary to the Reddit claim of “no revenue growth” for AAPL, the company reported FY2025 revenue of $416.16 billion (+6.43% YoY) and Q4 2025 revenue of $102.47 billion (+7.94% YoY), driven by iPhone and Services (up 14% YoY) [1]. NVDA’s decline follows growing customer efforts (Meta, Google) to diversify from its AI chips using alternatives like Google TPUs and on-premise solutions [3].

Key Insights
  1. The Reddit claim of AAPL having “no revenue growth” is inaccurate—FY2025 and Q4 2025 results show steady YoY increases [1].
  2. The observed shift reflects rotation toward GOOGL’s AI-driven earnings and AAPL’s stable product ecosystem, while NVDA faces competitive headwinds [2][3].
  3. The Reddit mention of “dispersion” (one MAG7 stock falls as another rises) requires further index dynamics and hedging strategy analysis to confirm.
Risks & Opportunities
  • NVDA Risks
    : Customer diversification pressure [3], short-seller bets (Michael Burry) [4], and Jim Chanos’ warning about AI chip-backed loan defaults [5].
  • AAPL Risks
    : Low current ratio (0.89) indicating potential liquidity concerns [0].
  • GOOGL Risks
    : AI competition (Microsoft, Amazon) [2] and long-term risks from new initiatives like space data centers [6].
  • Opportunities: GOOGL’s AI revenue growth trajectory [2], AAPL’s product/service expansion [1], and NVDA’s market dominance (though adaptation to competition is needed).
Key Information Summary
  • 30-day returns: GOOGL +27.68%, AAPL +12.43%, NVDA -1.76% [0].
  • FY2025 AAPL revenue: $416.16B (+6.43% YoY) [1]; GOOGL Q1-Q3 2025 revenue: $351.6B (+15.5% YoY) [2].
  • Market caps: AAPL $4.11T, NVDA $4.30T, GOOGL $3.86T [0].
  • P/E ratios: AAPL 37.26, NVDA 43.69, GOOGL 31.64 [0].
    This report provides market context and risk/opportunity assessment without investment recommendations.
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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.