Analysis of the Impact of Restricted Stock Unlocking for Zhongwu High-Tech (000657): Limited Impact from 0.87% Small-Scale Unlocking

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January 20, 2026

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I have collected sufficient data, and now I will provide you with a detailed analysis report on the small-scale restricted stock unlocking of Zhongwu High-Tech:


Analysis Report on the Impact of Restricted Stock Unlocking for Zhongwu High-Tech (000657.SZ)
1. Basic Information on Restricted Stock Unlocking
Item Data
Unlocking Date
January 21, 2026
Unlocking Shareholder
Hunan Woxi Mining Investment Co., Ltd.
Number of Unlocked Shares
19.8447 million shares
Proportion of Total Share Capital
0.87%
Market Value of Unlocked Shares
RMB 799 million
Type of Restricted Shares
Issuance of Shares to Purchase Assets (Acquisition of Equity in Shizhuyuan Company)

Data Sources: [0][1][2]

2. Background of Restricted Shares and Lock-Up Period Arrangements
2.1 Transaction Background

The restricted shares to be unlocked this time originate from Zhongwu High-Tech’s major asset restructuring project in 2024. The company acquired 100% equity interest in Hunan Shizhuyuan Nonferrous Metals Co., Ltd. by issuing shares and paying cash, with a transaction consideration of RMB 5.195 billion. Among them, Hunan Woxi Mining Investment Co., Ltd. held 2.64% equity interest in Shizhuyuan Company, and received share consideration of approximately RMB 137 million, corresponding to 19,844,749 shares. [0][3]

2.2 Lock-Up Period Arrangements

According to the acquisition report, the lock-up period arrangements for the new shares obtained by Woxi Mining are as follows:

  1. Basic Lock-Up Period
    : The shares cannot be transferred within
    12 months from the completion date of the issuance of new shares in this transaction
  2. Performance Commitment Lock-Up
    : 58.33% of the shares (corresponding to 11,574,495 shares) cannot be transferred until the performance commitment period expires and it is confirmed that all profit compensation obligations and impairment test compensation obligations have been fulfilled. [0]
2.3 Performance Commitment Details

The performance commitment period is

2024-2026
. The scope of committed assets is the assets of Shizhuyuan Company evaluated based on future earnings expectations, mainly including mining rights and patent technology asset groups. China Minmetals Tungsten Group Co., Ltd. and Hunan Woxi Mining Investment Co., Ltd. jointly undertake the performance compensation obligations as the performance commitment parties. [3]

3. Analysis of Current Market Performance
3.1 Stock Price Performance
Time Period Price Change
Past 1 Month +38.79%
Past 3 Months +127.70%
Past 6 Months +178.40%
Past 1 Year +297.59%
Past 5 Years +670.12%

Current Price
: RMB 37.89 (Closing Price on January 20, 2026) [0][2]

3.2 Technical Indicator Analysis
Indicator Value Signal Interpretation
KDJ
K:84.9, D:84.4, J:85.8
Overbought Zone Warning
RSI
Overbought Risk
Short-Term Adjustment Pressure
MACD
No Crossover Signal Bullish Bias
Beta Coefficient
0.34
Low Volatility Stock
Support Level
RMB 32.00 Technical Support Level
Resistance Level
RMB 38.96 Short-Term Resistance Level

Technical Analysis Conclusion
: The current stock price is in a
sideways consolidation
phase with no clear trend direction, and there is a risk of short-term pullback due to overbought conditions. [2]

3.3 Fundamental Data
Indicator Value Evaluation
Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E) 54.68x Relatively High
Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B) 8.75x High
ROE 17.29% Good
Net Profit Margin 9.14% Above Average
Current Ratio 1.67 Good Solvency
Debt Risk Low Risk Financially Healthy

Data Sources
: [0][2]

4. Analysis of Share Reduction Willingness
4.1 Factors Favorable to Share Reduction
  1. Huge Unrealized Gains
    : Calculated based on the current stock price of RMB 37.89, compared with the issuance price of RMB 6.92, the unrealized gain is approximately
    447%
    , giving shareholders strong motivation to cash out

  2. Stock Price at a Relatively High Level
    : The current price is close to the short-term resistance level of RMB 38.96, and there is technical adjustment pressure

  3. Nature of Minor Non-Controlling Shareholder
    : As a financial investor (non-controlling shareholder), Woxi Mining has relatively few restrictions on share reduction

4.2 Factors Restricting Share Reduction
  1. Performance Commitment Restrictions
    : 58.33% of the shares are still under the performance commitment lock-up period and cannot be reduced

  2. Limited Proportion of Reducible Shares
    : The actual tradable shares this time account for approximately 0.87% of total share capital (about 19.84 million shares), which will have a limited impact on the stock price

  3. Small Shareholding Ratio
    : Woxi Mining’s shareholding ratio is only about 2.64%, and only part of its shares are unlocked this time

  4. Low Volatility Characteristic
    : The Beta coefficient is only 0.34, indicating good stock price stability

  5. Obligations During Performance Commitment Period
    : If the performance commitment is not fulfilled, Woxi Mining needs to assume compensation responsibilities, and may maintain stock price stability in the short term

5. Assessment of Impact on Stock Price
5.1 Impact Assessment:
Low
Assessment Dimension Impact Level Explanation
Unlocking Ratio Low Only 0.87% of total share capital
Share Reduction Pressure Low Some shares are restricted by performance commitments
Market Absorption Capacity Medium Active recent trading volume (100 million shares daily average)
Sentiment Impact Medium Psychological pressure from minor non-controlling shareholder unlocking
5.2 Stock Price Trend Forecast

Short-Term (1-2 Weeks)
:

  • A
    minor pullback
    may occur to digest the unlocking pressure
  • Expected pullback range: 3%-8%
  • Support level: RMB 32.00

Mid-Term (1-3 Months)
:

  • If the performance commitment is well fulfilled, the stock price is expected to resume its upward trend
  • Resistance level: RMB 38.96

Long-Term
:

  • As a tungsten industry integration platform under China Minmetals, the company has strong fundamental support
  • The tungsten industry is recovering, and the valuation center is expected to move upward
5.3 Historical Reference

Looking at the history of restricted stock unlocking, Zhongwu High-Tech has carried out multiple asset acquisitions and supporting financings in the past, with mixed stock price performance after minor non-controlling shareholder unlocking. Considering the small unlocking ratio this time and the company’s large recent price increase,

the impact of the unlocking is expected to be limited
. [1][2]

6. Investment Recommendations
6.1 Risk Warnings
  1. Short-Term Adjustment Risk
    : KDJ and RSI indicators are in the overbought zone, and there is a technical need for a pullback
  2. Performance Commitment Risk
    : If the 2024-2026 performance commitment is not fulfilled, impairment test compensation may be triggered
  3. Tungsten Price Fluctuation Risk
    : The company’s performance is highly correlated with tungsten prices, so attention should be paid to commodity price trends
  4. Systematic Risk
    : The overall performance of the broader market and non-ferrous metals sector affects the company’s stock price
6.2 Strategy Recommendations
Investor Type Recommended Strategy
Holders
Can continue to hold, as share reduction pressure is limited; appropriately reduce holdings to lock in profits when approaching the resistance level
Wait-and-See Investors
Wait for the stock price to stabilize after the unlocking before entering, pay attention to the RMB 32.00 support level
Short-Term Investors
Consider buying on dips around the RMB 32.00 support level, with quick in and out operations
7. Summary

The impact of this 0.87% (approximately 19.84 million shares) small-scale restricted stock unlocking of Zhongwu High-Tech on the stock price is relatively limited, mainly based on the following judgments:

  1. Small Unlocking Ratio
    : Only 0.87% of total share capital, with limited impact on the tradable share structure
  2. Restrictions on Partial Shares
    : 58.33% of the shares are still under the performance commitment lock-up period, so the actual reducible ratio is even lower
  3. Nature of Shareholder
    : Woxi Mining is a financial investor with a small shareholding ratio, so the scale of share reduction is controllable
  4. Good Market Liquidity
    : The average daily trading volume is about 100 million shares, and the market absorption capacity is strong
  5. Robust Fundamentals
    : The company has a sound financial situation, with an ROE of 17.29% and low debt risk

Comprehensive Assessment
: This restricted stock unlocking
will not change the company’s positive medium-to-long-term trend
, but attention should be paid to the risk of short-term technical pullback. It is recommended that investors pay attention to the stock price performance and trading volume changes after the unlocking, and choose the right time to operate.


References

[0] Zhongwu High-Tech Acquisition Report and Financial Data (PDF Files)

[1] Zhongwu High-Tech Restricted Stock Unlocking Schedule - Sohu Securities

[2] Jinling AI Real-Time Market Data and Technical Analysis

[3] Zhongwu High-Tech’s Special Verification Report on the Fulfillment of 2024 Performance Commitments

[4] Sina Finance - Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Market Trading Reminders (January 20)

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Insights are generated using AI models and historical data for informational purposes only. They do not constitute investment advice or recommendations. Past performance is not indicative of future results.