November 2025 Market Vibe Shift: Tech Cooling & Value Rotation Analysis

: This analysis provides information gathering and market context to support decision-making. It is NOT investment advice, trading recommendations, or financial guidance.

The market has seen a notable vibe shift in November, marked by tech sector cooling amid AI bubble concerns (driven by Michael Burry’s warnings), fluctuating Federal Reserve rate cut expectations, and a rotation from high-growth tech to value/dividend sectors. While major indices like the S&P500 are slightly down, tech-heavy indices (NASDAQ) lagged, and value-focused ones (Dow Jones) gained—reflecting investor caution and portfolio rebalancing.

• Major Indices
  : Over 30 days, the S&P500 declined 0.38% (6628 → 6602), NASDAQ Composite fell ~1.35% (22578 → 22273), Dow Jones Industrial Average rose ~1.2% (45698 →46245), and Russell2000 dropped ~2.2% (2423→2369) [0].
• Sector Performance
  : Healthcare (+1.73%) led gains, followed by Industrials (+1.52%). Tech sector rose only +0.14% [0].
• Volatility
  : PLTR had a 3.6% daily volatility rate over 30 days [0].

1. Michael Burry’s AI Bubble Warnings
   : Burry warned of an AI bubble, revealing put positions against NVDA ($187M) and PLTR ($912M) [3][4].
2. Fluctuating Fed Rate Cut Expectations
   : December cut probabilities rose back to above70% on November22 [2].
3. Rotation to Value
   : Investors trimmed high-growth tech to move into value sectors [0][1].

• PLTR
  : Down ~13.34% over 30 days [0].
• Tech Sector
  : Lagged other sectors [0].

• Upcoming Catalysts: Burry’s Nov25 details on AI earnings manipulation [4], Fed’s December10 meeting [2].
• Risks: Further AI bubble sell-off, Fed not cutting rates as expected.
• Opportunities: Value sectors (healthcare, industrials) offer defensive plays.