Performance Shift Between Apple (AAPL), Nvidia (NVDA), and Alphabet (GOOGL) Analysis

This analysis combines observations from a Reddit post [1] with internal market data [0] to examine the performance shift between Apple (AAPL), Nvidia (NVDA), and Alphabet (GOOGL). Over the past month:

• GOOGL
  : +19.71% (toward multi-trillion valuation, linked to AI rollout potential)
• AAPL
  : +3.48% (stable, driven by non-AI revenue streams like iPhone and Services)
• NVDA
  : -12.20% (decline despite high GPU demand, due to concerns over customer alternatives)

Revenue breakdowns highlight segment-specific risks and strengths:

• NVDA: 88.3% of revenue from Data Center (risk if customers adopt alternative GPUs)
• GOOGL:56.6% from Search,12.4% from Cloud (AI-driven growth opportunities)
• AAPL:50.4% from iPhone,26.2% from Services (stable, non-AI-dependent) [0]

The Reddit post’s dispersion theory (one MAG7 stock falls, another rises) aligns with the data: NVDA’s decline is offset by GOOGL’s gain, keeping the tech sector broadly stable (+0.53% on Nov28) [0].

1. MAG7 Dispersion
   : The shift reflects dispersion in MAG7 stocks—NVDA’s decline is balanced by GOOGL’s rise, as observed in the Reddit post [1].
2. Segment Vulnerability
   : NVDA’s heavy reliance on Data Center revenue (88.3%) makes it vulnerable to customer alternatives.
3. Stability vs. Growth
   : AAPL’s stability comes from non-AI revenue streams (iPhone, Services), while GOOGL’s growth is tied to its core segments (Search, Cloud) with AI potential.
4. Valuation Disparity
   : NVDA has the highest P/E ratio (43.29x), followed by AAPL (37.15x) and GOOGL (31.14x) [0].

• NVDA
  : Recent price decline (-12.20% 1-month) and high volatility (2.60% daily std dev) raise concerns over customer retention [0].
• AAPL
  : High P/E ratio (37.15x) relative to its stable revenue streams warrants caution [0].
• GOOGL
  : Current price exceeds consensus target (-6.3% gap), indicating potential overvaluation [0].

• GOOGL
  : AI-driven growth in Cloud segment (12.4% revenue) offers long-term upside [0].
• AAPL
  : Stable Services revenue (26.2%) provides consistent cash flow [0].

The performance shift between AAPL, NVDA, and GOOGL is a mix of MAG7 dispersion [1] and segment-specific strengths/weaknesses [0]. Key metrics:

• Valuation
  : NVDA ($4.30T) > AAPL ($4.11T) > GOOGL ($3.86T)
• Volatility
  : NVDA (2.60%) > GOOGL (2.31%) > AAPL (0.88%)

Critical information gaps include:

1. Recent news access (API error prevented updates)
2. YoY revenue growth data for AAPL
3. NVDA’s competitive position (alternative GPU providers)

This summary provides objective context without prescriptive investment recommendations.